Language:English
Maria Sakkari v Claire Liu
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Maria Sakkari (Local)
Prediction 64.56%1.55fair odd
EV -1.22%
Edge -0.800%
Kelly -2.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.19%64.50%64.71%66.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.471.471.5370.42%68.08%68.03%65.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Claire Liu (Visit)
Prediction 35.44%2.82fair odd
EV -0.765%
Edge -0.273%
Kelly -0.425%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.80
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.65%35.50%35.29%37.81%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.692.702.8040.00%37.12%37.04%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maria Sakkari (Local): 64.56%; Claire Liu (Visit): 35.44%. For Claire Liu (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.80, with an expected value of -0.765%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -1.22%E -0.800%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV -5.02%E -1.87%K -2.99%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-28 13:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -1.87%E -1.23%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -11.40%E -4.56%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 17:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -1.87%E -1.23%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -11.40%E -4.56%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-26 17:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.72%EV -2.52%E -1.67%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 35.28%EV -1.83%E -0.660%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-28 12:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 64.47%EV -2.52%E -1.67%K -4.93%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.53%EV -2.89%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-27 20:00 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.16%E -2.11%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.54%E -0.923%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-27 20:10 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.16%E -2.11%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.31%E -1.60%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-28 08:49 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.16%E -2.11%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.08%E -2.29%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-27 07:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.16%E -2.11%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.85%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 09:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.16%E -2.11%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.85%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 13:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.16%E -2.11%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.85%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 13:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.16%E -2.11%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.85%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-27 13:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.16%E -2.11%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.63%E -3.77%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 17:50 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.16%E -2.11%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.63%E -3.77%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-27 13:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.16%E -2.11%K -6.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.40%E -4.56%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -3.81%E -2.56%K -7.77%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -7.50%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 13:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.54%E -0.923%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.54%E -0.923%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-28 11:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.54%E -0.923%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-28 11:49 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -3.25%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 12:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.31%E -1.60%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-28 13:18 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.31%E -1.60%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-28 13:19 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.08%E -2.29%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 07:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.08%E -2.29%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 11:39 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.08%E -2.29%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-27 20:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.85%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 08:49 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.85%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 18:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -11.40%E -4.56%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-26 17:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.28%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -11.40%E -4.56%K -7.60%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-26 17:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -5.10%E -3.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -0.765%E -0.273%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-28 02:19 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -5.10%E -3.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-27 20:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.10%E -3.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.31%E -1.60%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-28 13:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -5.10%E -3.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -5.37%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 10:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.10%E -3.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.08%E -2.29%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 07:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.10%E -3.47%K -10.85%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.08%E -2.29%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 13:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%EV -5.74%E -3.93%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -1.47%E -0.530%K -0.828%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-28 02:28 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.74%E -3.93%K -12.49%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.08%E -2.29%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 11:49 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.39%E -4.41%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.765%E -0.273%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 07:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.39%E -4.41%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.31%E -1.60%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 13:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.39%E -4.41%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.31%E -1.60%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-27 23:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.72%EV -6.39%E -4.41%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.28%EV -5.73%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-27 20:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.72%EV -6.39%E -4.41%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.28%EV -5.73%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-27 20:10 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.39%E -4.41%K -14.20%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.85%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-28 12:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.04%E -4.89%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.765%E -0.273%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 07:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.04%E -4.89%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.765%E -0.273%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 07:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.04%E -4.89%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.765%E -0.273%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 07:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.04%E -4.89%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.765%E -0.273%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 07:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.04%E -4.89%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.765%E -0.273%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 07:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.04%E -4.89%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.765%E -0.273%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 07:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.04%E -4.89%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.765%E -0.273%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 07:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.04%E -4.89%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.765%E -0.273%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 07:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.04%E -4.89%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.765%E -0.273%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 07:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.04%E -4.89%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.765%E -0.273%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 07:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.04%E -4.89%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.765%E -0.273%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 07:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.04%E -4.89%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.765%E -0.273%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 07:50 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.04%E -4.89%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.765%E -0.273%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 07:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.04%E -4.89%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.54%E -0.923%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-27 20:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.04%E -4.89%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.08%E -2.29%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-27 20:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.68%E -5.37%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -2.54%E -0.923%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-27 19:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.68%E -5.37%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -2.54%E -0.923%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-27 19:49 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.68%E -5.37%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -2.54%E -0.923%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-27 19:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.33%E -5.86%K -19.82%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -0.765%E -0.273%K -0.425%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 10:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 0.7% | 2026-05-28 13:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24% | 0.7% | 2026-05-28 13:19 |
| Novig◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 65.22% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 34.78% | 0.9% | 2026-05-28 13:07 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 0.9% | 2026-05-28 13:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94% | 0.9% | 2026-05-28 13:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75% | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25% | 2.1% | 2026-05-28 13:19 |