L’École des cotes

Maria Sakkari v Claire Liu

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-28 13:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Maria Sakkari (Local)

Prévision 64.56%1.55cote équitable
EV -1.22%
Avantage -0.800%
Kelly -2.31%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.19%64.50%64.71%66.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.421.471.471.5370.42%68.08%68.03%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Claire Liu (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.44%2.82cote équitable
EV -0.765%
Avantage -0.273%
Kelly -0.425%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.65%35.50%35.29%37.81%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.502.692.702.8040.00%37.12%37.04%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
1xBet1.53I 65.36%NM 63.66%EV -1.22%E -0.800%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 36.34%EV -5.02%E -1.87%K -2.99%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-28 13:09
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -1.87%E -1.23%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -11.40%E -4.56%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 17:50
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -1.87%E -1.23%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -11.40%E -4.56%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 17:50
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23%NM 64.72%EV -2.52%E -1.67%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 35.28%EV -1.83%E -0.660%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-28 12:19
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 64.47%EV -2.52%E -1.67%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.53%EV -2.89%E -1.06%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-27 20:00
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.71%EV -3.16%E -2.11%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 35.29%EV -2.54%E -0.923%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-27 20:10
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 64.29%EV -3.16%E -2.11%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.71%EV -4.31%E -1.60%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-28 08:49
BetUS1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -3.16%E -2.11%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -6.08%E -2.29%K -3.69%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-27 07:00
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.16%E -2.11%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.85%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 09:20
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.16%E -2.11%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.85%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 13:00
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.16%E -2.11%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.85%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 13:00
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.16%E -2.11%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.85%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 13:20
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.16%E -2.11%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.63%E -3.77%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 17:50
Everygame1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.16%E -2.11%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -9.63%E -3.77%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 13:40
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.16%E -2.11%K -6.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -11.40%E -4.56%K -7.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 23:59
Marathon Bet1.49I 67.11%NM 63.66%EV -3.81%E -2.56%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.34%EV -7.50%E -2.87%K -4.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 13:09
Codere (IT)1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.54%E -0.923%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-27 23:59
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.54%E -0.923%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-28 11:49
LowVig.ag1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -2.54%E -0.923%K -1.45%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-28 11:49
Betclic (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.85%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 35.15%EV -3.25%E -1.19%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-28 12:59
Bovada1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.31%E -1.60%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 13:18
BetAnything1.48I 67.57%NM 64.59%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.41%EV -4.31%E -1.60%K -2.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-28 13:19
Unibet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.08%E -2.29%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 07:39
PlayUp1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.08%E -2.29%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 11:39
Fanatics1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -6.08%E -2.29%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 20:10
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.85%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 08:49
Caesars1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -7.85%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 18:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -11.40%E -4.56%K -7.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 17:50
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.45%E -3.01%K -9.28%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -11.40%E -4.56%K -7.60%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 17:50
FanDuel1.47I 68.03%NM 65.57%EV -5.10%E -3.47%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.43%EV -0.765%E -0.273%K -0.425%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-28 02:19
MyBookie.ag1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -5.10%E -3.47%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -3.95%E -1.46%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-27 20:10
Bet Right1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -5.10%E -3.47%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -4.31%E -1.60%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 13:19
NetBet (FR)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -5.10%E -3.47%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -5.37%E -2.01%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 10:40
Betr (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.10%E -3.47%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.08%E -2.29%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 07:59
DraftKings1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.10%E -3.47%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -6.08%E -2.29%K -3.69%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 13:50
SportsBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.57%EV -5.74%E -3.93%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 34.43%EV -1.47%E -0.530%K -0.828%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-28 02:28
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -5.74%E -3.93%K -12.49%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -6.08%E -2.29%K -3.69%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 11:49
Hard Rock Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.39%E -4.41%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -0.765%E -0.273%K -0.425%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 07:49
PointsBet (AU)1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.39%E -4.41%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.31%E -1.60%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 13:19
theScore Bet1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.39%E -4.41%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.31%E -1.60%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-27 23:59
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 64.72%EV -6.39%E -4.41%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.28%EV -5.73%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 20:10
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 64.72%EV -6.39%E -4.41%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.66I 37.59%NM 35.28%EV -5.73%E -2.15%K -3.45%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-27 20:10
Bet Victor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.39%E -4.41%K -14.20%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.85%E -3.02%K -4.91%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 12:39
BetRivers1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.04%E -4.89%K -15.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.765%E -0.273%K -0.425%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 07:50
Casumo1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.04%E -4.89%K -15.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.765%E -0.273%K -0.425%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 07:50
Unibet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.04%E -4.89%K -15.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.765%E -0.273%K -0.425%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 07:50
Unibet (NL)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.04%E -4.89%K -15.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.765%E -0.273%K -0.425%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 07:50
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.04%E -4.89%K -15.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.765%E -0.273%K -0.425%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 07:50
TABtouch1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.04%E -4.89%K -15.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.765%E -0.273%K -0.425%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 07:50
Unibet (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.04%E -4.89%K -15.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.765%E -0.273%K -0.425%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 07:50
Grosvenor1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.04%E -4.89%K -15.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.765%E -0.273%K -0.425%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 07:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.04%E -4.89%K -15.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.765%E -0.273%K -0.425%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 07:50
ATG (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.04%E -4.89%K -15.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.765%E -0.273%K -0.425%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 07:50
Svenska Spel1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.04%E -4.89%K -15.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.765%E -0.273%K -0.425%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 07:50
betPARX1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.04%E -4.89%K -15.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.765%E -0.273%K -0.425%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 07:50
Bally Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -7.04%E -4.89%K -15.99%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -0.765%E -0.273%K -0.425%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 07:50
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.04%E -4.89%K -15.99%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -2.54%E -0.923%K -1.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 20:09
Betway1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -7.04%E -4.89%K -15.99%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV -6.08%E -2.29%K -3.69%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-27 20:00
LiveScore Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.68%E -5.37%K -17.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -2.54%E -0.923%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 19:50
Virgin Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.68%E -5.37%K -17.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -2.54%E -0.923%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 19:49
PMU (FR)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -7.68%E -5.37%K -17.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -2.54%E -0.923%K -1.45%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 19:49
Tipico (DE)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -8.33%E -5.86%K -19.82%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -0.765%E -0.273%K -0.425%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 10:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-05-28 13:20
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 65.76%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.24%0.7%2026-05-28 13:19
Novig1.52I 65.79%NM 65.22%2.85I 35.09%NM 34.78%0.9%2026-05-28 13:07
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%0.9%2026-05-28 13:09
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 66.06%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.94%0.9%2026-05-28 13:10
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%NM 65.75%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.25%2.1%2026-05-28 13:19