Language:English
Maja Chwalinska v Elise Mertens
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Maja Chwalinska (Local)
Prediction 34.61%2.89fair odd
EV -0.327%
Edge -0.114%
Kelly -0.174%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.71%34.55%34.73%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.742.752.8839.22%36.56%36.36%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Elise Mertens (Visit)
Prediction 65.39%1.53fair odd
EV -1.91%
Edge -1.28%
Kelly -3.83%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.96%65.45%65.27%67.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.451.441.5071.43%69.14%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maja Chwalinska (Local): 34.61%; Elise Mertens (Visit): 65.39%. For Maja Chwalinska (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.89. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.88, with an expected value of -0.327%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -0.327%E -0.114%K -0.174%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 12:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%EV -1.02%E -0.357%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%EV -3.22%E -2.18%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-28 11:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%EV -1.02%E -0.357%K -0.548%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%EV -3.22%E -2.18%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-28 11:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.37%E -0.479%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 11:56 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.37%E -0.479%K -0.738%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-28 11:59 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.57%E -1.72%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.8% | 2026-05-28 11:49 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 11:39 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 11:59 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 11:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-28 11:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 11:57 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 11:57 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -3.79%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -2.57%E -1.72%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-28 11:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -3.79%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-28 11:53 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -4.48%E -1.62%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 11:32 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.22%E -2.18%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-28 11:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.22%E -2.18%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-28 11:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.22%E -2.18%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-28 11:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.22%E -2.18%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-05-28 11:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.87%E -2.64%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-28 11:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.87%E -2.64%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-05-28 11:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 11:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 11:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 11:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 11:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 11:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 11:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 11:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 11:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 11:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 11:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 11:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 11:28 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 11:58 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-28 12:00 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-28 11:58 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-28 11:59 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.77%EV -5.86%E -2.16%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.23%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-28 11:49 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -6.21%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -3.87%E -2.64%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 11:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 11:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 11:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 11:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 11:49 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 11:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-28 11:39 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 11:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 11:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-28 11:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-28 11:59 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -7.60%E -2.84%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -3.87%E -2.64%K -8.24%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 11:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.28%EV -7.94%E -2.99%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.72%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-28 11:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.66I 37.59%NM 35.28%EV -7.94%E -2.99%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.72%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-28 11:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.29%E -3.13%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 11:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.33%E -3.56%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-28 11:59 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.33%E -3.56%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-28 11:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.33%E -3.56%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-28 11:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.02%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-28 11:38 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -10.02%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-28 11:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.75%E -4.61%K -7.58%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.91%E -1.28%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 11:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31% | 0.1% | 2026-05-28 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15% | 0.3% | 2026-05-28 12:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91% | 0.5% | 2026-05-28 12:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98% | 0.8% | 2026-05-28 12:00 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06% | 2.3% | 2026-05-28 12:00 |
| Novig◎ | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.95% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.05% | 4.3% | 2026-05-28 12:00 |