L’École des cotes

Maja Chwalinska v Elise Mertens

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-28 12:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Maja Chwalinska (Local)

Prévision 34.61%2.89cote équitable
EV -0.327%
Avantage -0.114%
Kelly -0.174%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.88

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
32.71%34.55%34.73%37.04%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.552.742.752.8839.22%36.56%36.36%34.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Elise Mertens (Visiteur)

Prévision 65.39%1.53cote équitable
EV -1.91%
Avantage -1.28%
Kelly -3.83%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.96%65.45%65.27%67.29%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.401.451.441.5071.43%69.14%69.44%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -0.327%E -0.114%K -0.174%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 12:00
1xBet2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%EV -1.02%E -0.357%K -0.548%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%EV -3.22%E -2.18%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-28 11:59
Pinnacle2.86I 34.97%NM 34.10%EV -1.02%E -0.357%K -0.548%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.90%EV -3.22%E -2.18%K -6.71%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-28 11:49
Unibet (SE)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.37%E -0.479%K -0.738%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 11:56
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.37%E -0.479%K -0.738%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 11:59
Coolbet2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -2.57%E -1.72%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-28 11:49
FanDuel2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 11:39
Bovada2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 11:59
Bet Right2.80I 35.71%NM 33.96%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 66.04%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 11:59
Fanatics2.80I 35.71%NM 33.81%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.19%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-28 11:39
Virgin Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 11:57
LiveScore Bet2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -3.10%E -1.11%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 11:57
GTbets2.78I 35.97%NM 34.89%EV -3.79%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.11%EV -2.57%E -1.72%K -5.24%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-28 11:39
Marathon Bet2.78I 35.97%NM 34.12%EV -3.79%E -1.36%K -2.13%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.88%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-28 11:53
SportsBet2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -4.48%E -1.62%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 11:32
Winamax (DE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.22%E -2.18%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-28 11:39
Codere (IT)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.22%E -2.18%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-28 11:39
LowVig.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.22%E -2.18%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-28 11:39
BetOnline.ag2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -3.22%E -2.18%K -6.71%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-28 11:39
BetAnything2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.87%E -2.64%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-28 11:50
BetUS2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -3.87%E -2.64%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-28 11:59
Hard Rock Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 11:30
Unibet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 11:29
Grosvenor2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 11:29
Casumo2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 11:29
Unibet (NL)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 11:29
TABtouch2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 11:29
Betr (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 11:49
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 11:40
ATG (SE)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 11:29
Bally Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 11:29
Svenska Spel2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 11:29
betPARX2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 11:28
PointsBet (AU)2.75I 36.36%NM 34.21%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.79%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 11:58
Caesars2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-28 12:00
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-28 11:58
Paddy Power2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.83%E -1.76%K -2.76%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-28 11:59
NetBet (FR)2.72I 36.76%NM 34.77%EV -5.86%E -2.16%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.23%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 11:49
MyBookie.ag2.71I 36.90%NM 35.17%EV -6.21%E -2.29%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.83%EV -3.87%E -2.64%K -8.24%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 11:39
Winamax (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 11:39
Unibet (FR)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 11:39
Neds2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 11:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 11:49
Everygame2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 11:39
theScore Bet2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 11:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 11:59
BetMGM2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -6.49%E -4.54%K -15.09%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 11:59
Ladbrokes (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-28 11:59
Coral2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -6.56%E -2.43%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -8.45%E -6.04%K -21.13%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-28 11:59
DraftKings2.67I 37.45%NM 35.51%EV -7.60%E -2.84%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.49%EV -3.87%E -2.64%K -8.24%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 11:39
Betsson2.66I 37.59%NM 35.28%EV -7.94%E -2.99%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.72%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-28 11:39
NordicBet2.66I 37.59%NM 35.28%EV -7.94%E -2.99%K -4.78%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.72%EV -5.18%E -3.57%K -11.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-28 11:39
TAB2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.29%E -3.13%K -5.02%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.53%E -3.10%K -9.84%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 11:39
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.33%E -3.56%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 11:59
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.33%E -3.56%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 11:59
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.33%E -3.56%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 11:59
Bet Victor2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -10.02%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -5.84%E -4.05%K -13.26%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-28 11:38
Betclic (FR)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.32%EV -10.02%E -3.85%K -6.26%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.68%EV -7.14%E -5.03%K -17.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-28 11:59
PlayUp2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -11.75%E -4.61%K -7.58%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -1.91%E -1.28%K -3.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 11:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 34.69%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.31%0.1%2026-05-28 12:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.86I 34.97%NM 34.85%1.53I 65.36%NM 65.15%0.3%2026-05-28 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-05-28 12:00
Matchbook3.10I 32.26%NM 32.02%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.98%0.8%2026-05-28 12:00
Smarkets2.88I 34.72%NM 33.94%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.06%2.3%2026-05-28 12:00
Novig2.91I 34.36%NM 32.95%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.05%4.3%2026-05-28 12:00