Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maja Chwalinska v Diane Parry

Kickoff: 2026-06-01 12:45 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Maja Chwalinska (Local)

Prediction 61.93%1.61fair odd
EV +0.320%
Edge +0.197%
Kelly +0.516%
Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 1.62

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.59%61.85%61.89%63.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.541.531.6266.67%64.89%65.36%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Diane Parry (Visit)

Prediction 38.07%2.63fair odd
EV +0.897%
Edge +0.338%
Kelly +0.543%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.45%38.15%38.11%42.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.492.502.6545.45%40.19%40.00%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Maja Chwalinska (Local): 61.93%; Diane Parry (Visit): 38.07%. For Diane Parry (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.63. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.897%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV +0.897%E +0.338%K +0.543%G +0.005%3.5%2026-06-01 12:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.01%E -0.387%K -0.629%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-01 12:40
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -1.77%E -0.685%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-01 12:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.15%E -0.836%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-01 12:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.15%E -0.836%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-01 12:40
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -2.16%E -1.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -2.91%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-01 12:40
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -2.91%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-01 12:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.02%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -2.91%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-01 12:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.91%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-01 12:39
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.91%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-01 12:40
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.91%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-01 12:40
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.91%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-01 12:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -3.67%E -1.45%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-01 12:39
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:40
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 12:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 12:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 12:40
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 12:40
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 12:40
LeoVegas🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 12:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 12:40
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 12:36
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 12:40
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 12:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 12:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 12:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 12:40
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-01 12:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-01 12:38
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-01 12:40
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-01 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-01 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-01 12:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-01 12:40
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-01 12:40
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.49%E -4.30%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 12:40
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.49%E -4.30%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 12:40
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-01 12:40
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-01 12:40
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.02%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:29
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.02%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -5.96%E -2.41%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-01 12:40
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.02%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 12:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.02%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 12:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 12:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 12:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 12:40
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 12:40
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 12:40
TAB🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 12:39
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-01 12:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -4.02%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -7.10%E -2.91%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-01 12:34
GTbets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -7.48%E -3.08%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-01 12:40
DraftKings🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -2.16%E -1.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -8.24%E -3.42%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:40
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-01 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-01 12:40
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-01 12:39
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.38%E -3.94%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-01 12:39
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.38%E -3.94%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-01 12:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV +0.320%E +0.197%K +0.516%G +0.002%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -16.24%E -7.38%K -13.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-01 12:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%0.2%2026-06-01 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%0.2%2026-06-01 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-06-01 12:40
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-06-01 12:40
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.9%2026-06-01 12:38
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%2.3%2026-06-01 12:40