Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Maja Chwalinska v Diane Parry

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-01 12:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Maja Chwalinska (Local)

Prévision 61.93%1.61cote équitable
EV +0.320%
Avantage +0.197%
Kelly +0.516%
Croissance +0.002%

avec la cote maximale 1.62

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.59%61.85%61.89%63.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.501.541.531.6266.67%64.89%65.36%61.73%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Diane Parry (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.07%2.63cote équitable
EV +0.897%
Avantage +0.338%
Kelly +0.543%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 2.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.45%38.15%38.11%42.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.492.502.6545.45%40.19%40.00%37.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Maja Chwalinska (Local) : 61.93% ; Diane Parry (Visiteur) : 38.07%. Pour Diane Parry (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.63. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.65, soit une espérance positive de +0.897%.

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 63.55%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.45%EV +0.897%E +0.338%K +0.543%G +0.005%3.5%2026-06-01 12:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.01%E -0.387%K -0.629%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-01 12:40
FanDuel🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -1.77%E -0.685%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-01 12:40
LowVig.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.15%E -0.836%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-01 12:40
BetOnline.ag🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 62.23%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.57I 38.91%NM 37.77%EV -2.15%E -0.836%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-01 12:40
Pinnacle🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 61.74%EV -2.16%E -1.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.26%EV -2.91%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.5%2026-06-01 12:40
Coolbet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -2.91%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%2.9%2026-06-01 12:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 62.20%EV -4.02%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.80%EV -2.91%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-01 12:40
Codere (IT)🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.91%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-01 12:39
BetAnything🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -2.91%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-01 12:40
Fanatics🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.91%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-01 12:40
theScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -2.91%E -1.14%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-01 12:40
MyBookie.ag🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -3.67%E -1.45%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-01 12:39
1xBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.63%E -3.01%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.94%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:40
Unibet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 12:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 12:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 12:40
Casumo🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 12:40
Grosvenor🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 12:40
LeoVegas🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 12:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 12:40
Bovada🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 12:36
betPARX🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 12:40
Bally Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 12:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 12:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 12:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.40%E -2.18%K -6.06%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 12:40
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-01 12:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-01 12:38
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-01 12:40
888sport🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-01 12:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-01 12:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-01 12:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-01 12:40
PlayUp🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.87%E -3.86%K -11.29%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-01 12:40
NordicBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.49%E -4.30%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 12:40
Betsson🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.49%E -4.30%K -12.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 12:40
Betway🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-01 12:40
Paddy Power🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.81%E -1.93%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-01 12:40
BetRivers🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.02%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:29
TABtouch🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.54%EV -4.02%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.58%E -2.25%K -3.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:40
NetBet (FR)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.75%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.25%EV -5.96%E -2.41%K -4.05%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-01 12:40
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.02%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 12:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.02%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 12:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 12:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 12:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 12:40
Everygame🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 12:40
BetMGM🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 12:40
TAB🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 12:39
Fliff🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.72%E -2.74%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-01 12:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.15%EV -4.02%E -2.59%K -7.30%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.85%EV -7.10%E -2.91%K -4.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-01 12:34
GTbets🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.83%EV -7.11%E -4.74%K -14.22%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.17%EV -7.48%E -3.08%K -5.23%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-01 12:40
DraftKings🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -2.16%E -1.37%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -8.24%E -3.42%K -5.84%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-01 12:40
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-01 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-01 12:40
Caesars🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -8.62%E -3.59%K -6.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-01 12:39
BoyleSports🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.78%E -1.77%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.38%E -3.94%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-01 12:39
Bet Victor🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -5.25%E -3.43%K -9.91%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.38%E -3.94%K -6.80%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-01 12:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV +0.320%E +0.197%K +0.516%G +0.002%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -16.24%E -7.38%K -13.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-01 12:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%0.2%2026-06-01 12:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%0.2%2026-06-01 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-06-01 12:40
Matchbook1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-06-01 12:40
Novig1.57I 63.69%NM 62.53%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.47%1.9%2026-06-01 12:38
Smarkets1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%2.3%2026-06-01 12:40