Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Madison Keys v Diana Shnaider

Kickoff: 2026-06-01 12:25 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

60 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Madison Keys (Local)

Prediction 57.00%1.75fair odd
EV -0.250%
Edge -0.143%
Kelly -0.333%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.97%56.97%57.14%58.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.621.681.681.7561.73%59.49%59.52%57.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Diana Shnaider (Visit)

Prediction 43.00%2.33fair odd
EV +0.190%
Edge +0.082%
Kelly +0.143%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.33

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.01%43.03%42.86%45.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.192.202.3347.62%45.58%45.45%42.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Madison Keys (Local): 57.00%; Diana Shnaider (Visit): 43.00%. For Diana Shnaider (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.326. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.330, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.190%.

Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -7.66%E -4.73%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV +0.190%E +0.082%K +0.143%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-01 12:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -5.38%E -3.24%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -1.10%E -0.478%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-01 12:20
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.95%E -3.61%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.10%E -0.478%K -0.846%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 12:19
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.66%E -4.73%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.10%E -0.478%K -0.846%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-01 12:20
DraftKings🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -6.52%E -3.98%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -2.39%E -1.05%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-01 12:20
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -5.38%E -3.24%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -2.82%E -1.25%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-01 12:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.24%E -2.52%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.25%E -1.44%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-01 12:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.24%E -2.52%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.25%E -1.44%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-01 12:19
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.25%E -1.44%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-01 12:19
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.25%E -1.44%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-01 12:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.38%E -3.24%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.25%E -1.44%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-01 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.66%E -4.73%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.25%E -1.44%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 12:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.66%E -4.73%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.25%E -1.44%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 12:20
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.66%E -4.73%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.25%E -1.44%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 12:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.24%E -2.52%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.68%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-01 12:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.95%E -3.61%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.11%E -1.84%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-01 12:09
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -0.250%E -0.143%K -0.333%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -4.54%E -2.05%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-01 12:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.54%E -2.05%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-01 12:19
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.53%E -1.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-01 12:20
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.53%E -1.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-01 12:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.53%E -1.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-01 12:20
LeoVegas🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.53%E -1.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-01 12:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.53%E -1.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-01 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.53%E -1.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-01 12:20
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.53%E -1.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-01 12:20
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.53%E -1.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-01 12:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.53%E -1.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-01 12:20
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.53%E -1.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-01 12:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.53%E -1.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-01 12:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.53%E -1.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-01 12:20
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 12:20
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 12:20
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 12:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 12:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 12:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -1.96%E -1.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -5.83%E -2.66%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-01 12:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -1.96%E -1.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -5.83%E -2.66%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-01 12:20
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -5.95%E -3.61%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -5.83%E -2.66%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-01 12:19
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -5.95%E -3.61%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -5.83%E -2.66%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-01 12:19
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.24%E -2.52%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.26%E -2.87%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-01 12:20
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.24%E -2.52%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.69%E -3.08%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-01 12:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -6.69%E -3.08%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-01 12:20
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -5.95%E -3.61%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -7.12%E -3.30%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-01 12:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.53%E -1.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.55%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-01 12:20
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.10%E -1.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.55%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 12:14
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.10%E -1.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.55%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 12:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.24%E -2.52%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.55%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-01 12:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.55%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-01 12:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.55%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-01 12:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.55%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-01 12:20
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.95%E -3.61%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.55%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-01 12:20
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.96%E -1.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -7.98%E -3.73%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-01 12:17
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.96%E -1.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -9.70%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-01 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.96%E -1.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -9.70%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-01 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.10%E -1.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.70%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-01 12:20
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.10%E -1.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.70%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-01 12:20
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.10%E -1.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.70%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-01 12:14
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -3.67%E -2.17%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -9.70%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-01 12:18
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.70%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-01 12:20
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.70%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-01 12:17
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-06-01 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-06-01 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-06-01 12:20
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-06-01 12:20
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-06-01 12:20
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.6%2026-06-01 12:20