Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Madison Keys v Diana Shnaider

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-01 12:25 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

60 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Madison Keys (Local)

Prévision 57.00%1.75cote équitable
EV -0.250%
Avantage -0.143%
Kelly -0.333%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.97%56.97%57.14%58.99%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.621.681.681.7561.73%59.49%59.52%57.14%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Diana Shnaider (Visiteur)

Prévision 43.00%2.33cote équitable
EV +0.190%
Avantage +0.082%
Kelly +0.143%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.33

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.01%43.03%42.86%45.03%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.102.192.202.3347.62%45.58%45.45%42.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Madison Keys (Local) : 57.00% ; Diana Shnaider (Visiteur) : 43.00%. Pour Diana Shnaider (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.326. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 2.330, soit une espérance positive de +0.190%.

Cotes des opérateurs (60 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -7.66%E -4.73%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV +0.190%E +0.082%K +0.143%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-01 12:20
Winamax (DE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 58.08%EV -5.38%E -3.24%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.92%EV -1.10%E -0.478%K -0.846%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-01 12:20
Fanatics🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV -5.95%E -3.61%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -1.10%E -0.478%K -0.846%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-01 12:19
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -7.66%E -4.73%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -1.10%E -0.478%K -0.846%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-01 12:20
DraftKings🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 58.06%EV -6.52%E -3.98%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 41.94%EV -2.39%E -1.05%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-01 12:20
FanDuel🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.65%EV -5.38%E -3.24%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 42.35%EV -2.82%E -1.25%K -2.24%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-01 12:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.24%E -2.52%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.25%E -1.44%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-01 12:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.25%EV -4.24%E -2.52%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.75%EV -3.25%E -1.44%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-01 12:19
Bovada🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.25%E -1.44%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-01 12:19
theScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -3.25%E -1.44%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-01 12:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.54%EV -5.38%E -3.24%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.46%EV -3.25%E -1.44%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-01 12:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.66%E -4.73%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.25%E -1.44%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 12:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.66%E -4.73%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.25%E -1.44%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 12:20
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -7.66%E -4.73%K -12.35%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -3.25%E -1.44%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-01 12:20
Codere (IT)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 57.14%EV -4.24%E -2.52%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.86%EV -3.68%E -1.64%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-01 12:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.47%EV -5.95%E -3.61%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.53%EV -4.11%E -1.84%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-01 12:09
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.92%EV -0.250%E -0.143%K -0.333%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.08%EV -4.54%E -2.05%K -3.72%G +0.000%2.2%2026-06-01 12:20
MyBookie.ag🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.07%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 42.93%EV -4.54%E -2.05%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-01 12:19
Unibet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.53%E -1.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-01 12:20
Grosvenor🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.53%E -1.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-01 12:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.53%E -1.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-01 12:20
LeoVegas🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.53%E -1.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-01 12:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.53%E -1.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-01 12:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.53%E -1.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-01 12:20
Casumo🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.53%E -1.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-01 12:20
betPARX🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.53%E -1.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-01 12:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.53%E -1.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-01 12:20
Bally Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.53%E -1.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-01 12:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.53%E -1.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-01 12:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -2.53%E -1.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-01 12:20
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 12:20
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 12:20
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 12:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 12:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.40%E -2.45%K -4.50%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 12:20
LowVig.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -1.96%E -1.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -5.83%E -2.66%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-01 12:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 56.01%EV -1.96%E -1.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.99%EV -5.83%E -2.66%K -4.90%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-01 12:20
Betsson🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -5.95%E -3.61%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -5.83%E -2.66%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-01 12:19
NordicBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.03%EV -5.95%E -3.61%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 42.97%EV -5.83%E -2.66%K -4.90%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-01 12:19
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV -4.24%E -2.52%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -6.26%E -2.87%K -5.31%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-01 12:20
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.36%EV -4.24%E -2.52%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.64%EV -6.69%E -3.08%K -5.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-01 12:20
NetBet (FR)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -6.69%E -3.08%K -5.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-01 12:20
GTbets🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -5.95%E -3.61%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -7.12%E -3.30%K -6.14%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-01 12:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -2.53%E -1.48%K -3.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -7.55%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-01 12:20
PlayUp🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.10%E -1.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.55%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 12:14
TAB🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -3.10%E -1.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -7.55%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-01 12:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.24%E -2.52%K -6.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.55%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-01 12:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.55%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-01 12:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.55%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-01 12:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.55%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-01 12:20
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -5.95%E -3.61%K -9.15%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.55%E -3.51%K -6.57%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-01 12:20
BetRivers🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -1.96%E -1.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -7.98%E -3.73%K -7.00%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-01 12:17
Neds🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.96%E -1.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -9.70%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-01 12:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -1.96%E -1.14%K -2.72%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -9.70%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-01 12:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.10%E -1.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.70%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-01 12:20
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.10%E -1.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.70%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-01 12:20
Everygame🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -3.10%E -1.82%K -4.43%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -9.70%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-01 12:14
BetMGM🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.41%EV -3.67%E -2.17%K -5.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.59%EV -9.70%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-01 12:18
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.70%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-01 12:20
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.81%E -2.88%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.70%E -4.62%K -8.82%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-01 12:17
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-06-01 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-06-01 12:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.75I 57.14%NM 57.00%2.32I 43.10%NM 43.00%0.2%2026-06-01 12:20
Matchbook1.74I 57.47%NM 57.14%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.86%0.6%2026-06-01 12:20
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-06-01 12:20
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.6%2026-06-01 12:20