Language:English
Kimberly Birrell v Jessica Pegula
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Kimberly Birrell (Local)
Prediction 5.41%18.49fair odd
EV +148.72%
Edge +3.23%
Kelly +3.30%
Growth +4.91%
assuming max odds 46.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
2.13%5.51%5.53%9.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
10.0017.3315.0046.0010.00%5.77%6.67%2.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Jessica Pegula (Visit)
Prediction 94.59%1.06fair odd
EV -0.677%
Edge -0.645%
Kelly -13.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
90.50%94.49%94.47%97.87%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.001.021.011.05100.00%98.25%99.01%95.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kimberly Birrell (Local): 5.41%; Jessica Pegula (Visit): 94.59%. For Kimberly Birrell (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 18.49. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 46.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +148.72%.
Sportsbook Odds (59 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.13%EV +148.72%E +3.23%K +3.30%G +4.91% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.87%EV -5.41%E -5.41%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 2.2% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 35.00I 2.86%NM 2.80%EV +89.24%E +2.55%K +2.62%G +2.34% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.20%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000% | 1.9% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +83.84%E +2.47%K +2.54%G +2.13% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +83.84%E +2.47%K +2.54%G +2.13% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.41%E -5.41%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +83.84%E +2.47%K +2.54%G +2.13% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.41%E -5.41%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-26 18:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 30.00I 3.33%NM 3.26%EV +62.21%E +2.07%K +2.15%G +1.33% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.74%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +56.80%E +1.96%K +2.03%G +1.15% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -5.41%E -5.41%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-26 18:38 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +56.80%E +1.96%K +2.03%G +1.15% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -5.41%E -5.41%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +40.58%E +1.56%K +1.62%G +0.659% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.92%EV +35.17%E +1.41%K +1.47%G +0.515% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.08%EV -3.52%E -3.45%K -175.75%G +0.000% | 2.0% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +35.17%E +1.41%K +1.47%G +0.515% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-26 18:37 |
| 888sport🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +13.55%E +0.645%K +0.677%G +0.092% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.41%E -5.41%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 18:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +13.55%E +0.645%K +0.677%G +0.092% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.41%E -5.41%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +13.55%E +0.645%K +0.677%G +0.092% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.41%E -5.41%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +13.55%E +0.645%K +0.677%G +0.092% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.41%E -5.41%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +13.55%E +0.645%K +0.677%G +0.092% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.41%E -5.41%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +2.73%E +0.144%K +0.152%G +0.004% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +2.73%E +0.144%K +0.152%G +0.004% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -5.41%E -5.41%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.46%EV -5.38%E -0.307%K -0.326%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.54%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -8.08%E -0.475%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -8.08%E -0.475%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 18:37 |
| Caesars🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -8.08%E -0.475%K -0.505%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 16.70I 5.99%NM 5.76%EV -9.70%E -0.581%K -0.618%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.24%EV -3.52%E -3.45%K -175.75%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-26 18:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -13.49%E -0.843%K -0.899%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-26 18:20 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -18.90%E -1.26%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-26 18:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -18.90%E -1.26%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-26 18:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -18.90%E -1.26%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.52%E -3.45%K -175.75%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-26 18:36 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -18.90%E -1.26%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -18.90%E -1.26%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 18:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -18.90%E -1.26%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 18:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -18.90%E -1.26%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -29.71%E -2.29%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-26 18:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -29.71%E -2.29%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 18:36 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -29.71%E -2.29%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-26 18:36 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -29.71%E -2.29%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 92.86%EV -5.41%E -5.41%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-26 18:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 12.75I 7.84%NM 7.41%EV -31.06%E -2.44%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.59%EV -3.52%E -3.45%K -175.75%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 18:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -32.41%E -2.59%K -2.82%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-26 18:18 |
| GTbets🎯 | 12.20I 8.20%NM 7.72%EV -34.04%E -2.79%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.28%EV -3.52%E -3.45%K -175.75%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 18:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -35.12%E -2.93%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 18:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -35.12%E -2.93%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 18:11 |
| Casumo🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -35.12%E -2.93%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 18:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -35.12%E -2.93%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 18:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -35.12%E -2.93%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 18:10 |
| betPARX🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -35.12%E -2.93%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 18:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -35.12%E -2.93%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 18:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -35.12%E -2.93%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 18:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 11.70I 8.55%NM 8.02%EV -36.74%E -3.14%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.98%EV -3.52%E -3.45%K -175.75%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-26 18:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 11.69I 8.55%NM 8.24%EV -36.79%E -3.15%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.76%EV -0.677%E -0.645%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-26 18:33 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 11.69I 8.55%NM 8.24%EV -36.79%E -3.15%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.76%EV -0.677%E -0.645%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-26 18:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -37.82%E -3.29%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-26 18:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -39.17%E -3.48%K -3.82%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 18:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 11.13I 8.98%NM 8.62%EV -39.82%E -3.58%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.38%EV -0.677%E -0.645%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-26 18:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -40.52%E -3.68%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -3.52%E -3.45%K -175.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 18:33 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -43.23%E -4.12%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-26 18:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -43.23%E -4.12%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-26 18:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -45.93%E -4.59%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -0.677%E -0.645%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 18:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -45.93%E -4.59%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -1.62%E -1.56%K -40.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 18:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -45.93%E -4.59%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 18:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -45.93%E -4.59%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-26 18:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.17% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.83% | 0.2% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 44.05I 2.27%NM 2.26% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.74% | 0.3% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 42.00I 2.38%NM 2.37% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.63% | 0.4% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 42.00I 2.38%NM 2.37% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.63% | 0.4% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 40.00I 2.50%NM 2.49% | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.51% | 0.5% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |
| Novig◎ | 25.64I 3.90%NM 3.75% | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.25% | 3.9% | 2026-05-26 18:40 |