Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kimberly Birrell v Jessica Pegula

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-26 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Kimberly Birrell (Local)

Prévision 5.41%18.49cote équitable
EV +148.72%
Avantage +3.23%
Kelly +3.30%
Croissance +4.91%

avec la cote maximale 46.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
2.13%5.51%5.53%9.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
10.0017.3315.0046.0010.00%5.77%6.67%2.17%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Jessica Pegula (Visiteur)

Prévision 94.59%1.06cote équitable
EV -0.677%
Avantage -0.645%
Kelly -13.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
90.50%94.49%94.47%97.87%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.001.021.011.05100.00%98.25%99.01%95.24%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Kimberly Birrell (Local) : 5.41% ; Jessica Pegula (Visiteur) : 94.59%. Pour Kimberly Birrell (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 18.49. 18 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 46.00, soit une espérance positive de +148.72%.

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Coral🎯46.00I 2.17%NM 2.13%EV +148.72%E +3.23%K +3.30%G +4.91%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.87%EV -5.41%E -5.41%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-26 18:40
FanDuel🎯35.00I 2.86%NM 2.80%EV +89.24%E +2.55%K +2.62%G +2.34%1.01I 99.01%NM 97.20%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-26 18:40
BetMGM🎯34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +83.84%E +2.47%K +2.54%G +2.13%1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-26 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +83.84%E +2.47%K +2.54%G +2.13%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.41%E -5.41%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-26 18:40
BoyleSports🎯34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +83.84%E +2.47%K +2.54%G +2.13%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.41%E -5.41%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-26 18:39
Winamax (DE)🎯30.00I 3.33%NM 3.26%EV +62.21%E +2.07%K +2.15%G +1.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.74%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-26 18:40
Bovada🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +56.80%E +1.96%K +2.03%G +1.15%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -5.41%E -5.41%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-26 18:38
Winamax (FR)🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +56.80%E +1.96%K +2.03%G +1.15%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -5.41%E -5.41%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-26 18:40
theScore Bet🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +40.58%E +1.56%K +1.62%G +0.659%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-26 18:40
DraftKings🎯25.00I 4.00%NM 3.92%EV +35.17%E +1.41%K +1.47%G +0.515%1.02I 98.04%NM 96.08%EV -3.52%E -3.45%K -175.75%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-26 18:40
Betclic (FR)🎯25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +35.17%E +1.41%K +1.47%G +0.515%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-26 18:37
888sport🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +13.55%E +0.645%K +0.677%G +0.092%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.41%E -5.41%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 18:39
Paddy Power🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +13.55%E +0.645%K +0.677%G +0.092%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.41%E -5.41%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 18:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +13.55%E +0.645%K +0.677%G +0.092%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.41%E -5.41%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 18:40
888sport (SE)🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +13.55%E +0.645%K +0.677%G +0.092%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.41%E -5.41%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +13.55%E +0.645%K +0.677%G +0.092%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.41%E -5.41%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 18:40
Fanatics🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +2.73%E +0.144%K +0.152%G +0.004%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 18:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +2.73%E +0.144%K +0.152%G +0.004%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -5.41%E -5.41%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 18:40
Coolbet🎯17.50I 5.71%NM 5.46%EV -5.38%E -0.307%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.54%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 18:40
Betway🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -8.08%E -0.475%K -0.505%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 18:40
Unibet (SE)🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -8.08%E -0.475%K -0.505%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 18:37
Caesars🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -8.08%E -0.475%K -0.505%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 18:40
BetAnything🎯16.70I 5.99%NM 5.76%EV -9.70%E -0.581%K -0.618%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.24%EV -3.52%E -3.45%K -175.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-26 18:09
NetBet (FR)🎯16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -13.49%E -0.843%K -0.899%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 18:20
Unibet (FR)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -18.90%E -1.26%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 18:20
Codere (IT)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -18.90%E -1.26%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 18:30
Hard Rock Bet🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -18.90%E -1.26%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.52%E -3.45%K -175.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 18:36
NordicBet🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -18.90%E -1.26%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 18:40
Neds🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -18.90%E -1.26%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -18.90%E -1.26%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 18:20
Betsson🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -18.90%E -1.26%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 18:40
Bet Right🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -29.71%E -2.29%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 18:29
Virgin Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -29.71%E -2.29%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 18:36
LiveScore Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -29.71%E -2.29%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 18:36
Bet Victor🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -29.71%E -2.29%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 92.86%EV -5.41%E -5.41%K +0.000%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 18:39
Marathon Bet🎯12.75I 7.84%NM 7.41%EV -31.06%E -2.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.59%EV -3.52%E -3.45%K -175.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 18:14
SportsBet🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -32.41%E -2.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 18:18
GTbets🎯12.20I 8.20%NM 7.72%EV -34.04%E -2.79%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.28%EV -3.52%E -3.45%K -175.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 18:20
Unibet (NL)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -35.12%E -2.93%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 18:20
BetRivers🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -35.12%E -2.93%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 18:11
Casumo🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -35.12%E -2.93%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 18:10
Unibet🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -35.12%E -2.93%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 18:20
TABtouch🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -35.12%E -2.93%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 18:10
betPARX🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -35.12%E -2.93%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 18:20
ATG (SE)🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -35.12%E -2.93%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 18:20
Svenska Spel🎯12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -35.12%E -2.93%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 18:20
Fliff🎯11.70I 8.55%NM 8.02%EV -36.74%E -3.14%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.98%EV -3.52%E -3.45%K -175.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 18:30
LowVig.ag🎯11.69I 8.55%NM 8.24%EV -36.79%E -3.15%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.76%EV -0.677%E -0.645%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 18:33
BetOnline.ag🎯11.69I 8.55%NM 8.24%EV -36.79%E -3.15%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.76%EV -0.677%E -0.645%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 18:29
LeoVegas🎯11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -37.82%E -3.29%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 18:34
Betr (AU)🎯11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -39.17%E -3.48%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 18:29
Pinnacle🎯11.13I 8.98%NM 8.62%EV -39.82%E -3.58%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.38%EV -0.677%E -0.645%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 18:20
Tipico (DE)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -40.52%E -3.68%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -3.52%E -3.45%K -175.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 18:33
Grosvenor🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -43.23%E -4.12%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 18:20
Bally Bet🎯10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -43.23%E -4.12%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 18:20
William Hill🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -45.93%E -4.59%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -0.677%E -0.645%K -13.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 18:20
Everygame🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -45.93%E -4.59%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -1.62%E -1.56%K -40.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 18:20
TAB🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -45.93%E -4.59%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -45.93%E -4.59%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-26 18:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)46.00I 2.17%NM 2.17%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.83%0.2%2026-05-26 18:40
Smarkets44.05I 2.27%NM 2.26%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.74%0.3%2026-05-26 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)42.00I 2.38%NM 2.37%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.63%0.4%2026-05-26 18:40
Matchbook42.00I 2.38%NM 2.37%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.63%0.4%2026-05-26 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)40.00I 2.50%NM 2.49%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.51%0.5%2026-05-26 18:40
Novig25.64I 3.90%NM 3.75%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.25%3.9%2026-05-26 18:40