L’École des cotes

Kimberly Birrell v Jessica Pegula

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-26 19:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

59 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kimberly Birrell (Local)

Prévision 5.41%18.49cote équitable
EV +148.72%
Avantage +3.23%
Kelly +3.30%
Croissance +4.91%

avec la cote maximale 46.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
2.13%5.51%5.53%9.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
10.0017.3315.0046.0010.00%5.77%6.67%2.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jessica Pegula (Visiteur)

Prévision 94.59%1.06cote équitable
EV -0.677%
Avantage -0.645%
Kelly -13.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.05

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
90.50%94.49%94.47%97.87%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.001.021.011.05100.00%98.25%99.01%95.24%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (59 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Coral46.00I 2.17%NM 2.13%EV +148.72%E +3.23%K +3.30%G +4.91%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.87%EV -5.41%E -5.41%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-26 18:40
FanDuel35.00I 2.86%NM 2.80%EV +89.24%E +2.55%K +2.62%G +2.34%1.01I 99.01%NM 97.20%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000%1.9%2026-05-26 18:40
BetMGM34.00I 2.94%NM 2.88%EV +83.84%E +2.47%K +2.54%G +2.13%1.01I 99.01%NM 97.12%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-26 18:40
Ladbrokes (UK)34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +83.84%E +2.47%K +2.54%G +2.13%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.41%E -5.41%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-26 18:40
BoyleSports34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +83.84%E +2.47%K +2.54%G +2.13%1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.41%E -5.41%K +0.000%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-26 18:39
Winamax (DE)30.00I 3.33%NM 3.26%EV +62.21%E +2.07%K +2.15%G +1.33%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.74%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-26 18:40
Bovada29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +56.80%E +1.96%K +2.03%G +1.15%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -5.41%E -5.41%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-26 18:38
Winamax (FR)29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +56.80%E +1.96%K +2.03%G +1.15%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -5.41%E -5.41%K +0.000%G +0.000%3.4%2026-05-26 18:40
theScore Bet26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +40.58%E +1.56%K +1.62%G +0.659%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-26 18:40
DraftKings25.00I 4.00%NM 3.92%EV +35.17%E +1.41%K +1.47%G +0.515%1.02I 98.04%NM 96.08%EV -3.52%E -3.45%K -175.75%G +0.000%2.0%2026-05-26 18:40
Betclic (FR)25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +35.17%E +1.41%K +1.47%G +0.515%1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-26 18:37
888sport21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +13.55%E +0.645%K +0.677%G +0.092%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.41%E -5.41%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 18:39
Paddy Power21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +13.55%E +0.645%K +0.677%G +0.092%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.41%E -5.41%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 18:40
Mr Green (SE)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +13.55%E +0.645%K +0.677%G +0.092%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.41%E -5.41%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 18:40
888sport (SE)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +13.55%E +0.645%K +0.677%G +0.092%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.41%E -5.41%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 18:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +13.55%E +0.645%K +0.677%G +0.092%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.41%E -5.41%K +0.000%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 18:40
Fanatics19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +2.73%E +0.144%K +0.152%G +0.004%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 18:40
PointsBet (AU)19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +2.73%E +0.144%K +0.152%G +0.004%1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -5.41%E -5.41%K +0.000%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 18:40
Coolbet17.50I 5.71%NM 5.46%EV -5.38%E -0.307%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.54%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 18:40
Betway17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -8.08%E -0.475%K -0.505%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 18:40
Unibet (SE)17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -8.08%E -0.475%K -0.505%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 18:37
Caesars17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV -8.08%E -0.475%K -0.505%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 18:40
BetAnything16.70I 5.99%NM 5.76%EV -9.70%E -0.581%K -0.618%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 94.24%EV -3.52%E -3.45%K -175.75%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-26 18:09
NetBet (FR)16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -13.49%E -0.843%K -0.899%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 18:20
Unibet (FR)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -18.90%E -1.26%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 18:20
Codere (IT)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -18.90%E -1.26%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 18:30
Hard Rock Bet15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -18.90%E -1.26%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.52%E -3.45%K -175.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 18:36
NordicBet15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -18.90%E -1.26%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 18:40
Neds15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -18.90%E -1.26%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 18:20
Ladbrokes (AU)15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -18.90%E -1.26%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 18:20
Betsson15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -18.90%E -1.26%K -1.35%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 18:40
Bet Right13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%EV -29.71%E -2.29%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 18:29
Virgin Bet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -29.71%E -2.29%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 18:36
LiveScore Bet13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -29.71%E -2.29%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 18:36
Bet Victor13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -29.71%E -2.29%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.00I 100.00%NM 92.86%EV -5.41%E -5.41%K +0.000%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 18:39
Marathon Bet12.75I 7.84%NM 7.41%EV -31.06%E -2.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.59%EV -3.52%E -3.45%K -175.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 18:14
SportsBet12.50I 8.00%NM 7.61%EV -32.41%E -2.59%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.39%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-26 18:18
GTbets12.20I 8.20%NM 7.72%EV -34.04%E -2.79%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 92.28%EV -3.52%E -3.45%K -175.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 18:20
Unibet (NL)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -35.12%E -2.93%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 18:20
BetRivers12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -35.12%E -2.93%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 18:11
Casumo12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -35.12%E -2.93%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 18:10
Unibet12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -35.12%E -2.93%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 18:20
TABtouch12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -35.12%E -2.93%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 18:10
betPARX12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -35.12%E -2.93%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 18:20
ATG (SE)12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -35.12%E -2.93%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 18:20
Svenska Spel12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -35.12%E -2.93%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 18:20
Fliff11.70I 8.55%NM 8.02%EV -36.74%E -3.14%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.98%EV -3.52%E -3.45%K -175.75%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 18:30
LowVig.ag11.69I 8.55%NM 8.24%EV -36.79%E -3.15%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.76%EV -0.677%E -0.645%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 18:33
BetOnline.ag11.69I 8.55%NM 8.24%EV -36.79%E -3.15%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.76%EV -0.677%E -0.645%K -13.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 18:29
LeoVegas11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -37.82%E -3.29%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 18:34
Betr (AU)11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -39.17%E -3.48%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 18:29
Pinnacle11.13I 8.98%NM 8.62%EV -39.82%E -3.58%K -3.93%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 91.38%EV -0.677%E -0.645%K -13.55%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 18:20
Tipico (DE)11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -40.52%E -3.68%K -4.05%G +0.000%1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -3.52%E -3.45%K -175.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 18:33
Grosvenor10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -43.23%E -4.12%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 18:20
Bally Bet10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -43.23%E -4.12%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 18:20
William Hill10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -45.93%E -4.59%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -0.677%E -0.645%K -13.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 18:20
Everygame10.00I 10.00%NM 9.42%EV -45.93%E -4.59%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.04I 96.15%NM 90.58%EV -1.62%E -1.56%K -40.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 18:20
TAB10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -45.93%E -4.59%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -2.57%E -2.49%K -85.64%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 18:20
LeoVegas (SE)10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -45.93%E -4.59%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -4.46%E -4.42%K -446.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-26 18:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)46.00I 2.17%NM 2.17%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.83%0.2%2026-05-26 18:40
Smarkets44.05I 2.27%NM 2.26%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.74%0.3%2026-05-26 18:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)42.00I 2.38%NM 2.37%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.63%0.4%2026-05-26 18:40
Matchbook42.00I 2.38%NM 2.37%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.63%0.4%2026-05-26 18:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)40.00I 2.50%NM 2.49%1.02I 98.04%NM 97.51%0.5%2026-05-26 18:40
Novig25.64I 3.90%NM 3.75%1.00I 100.00%NM 96.25%3.9%2026-05-26 18:40