Language:English
Jasmine Paolini v Dayana Yastremska
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jasmine Paolini (Local)
Prediction 62.14%1.61fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.755%
Kelly -2.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.59
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.43%62.13%62.11%64.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.481.541.531.5967.57%65.09%65.36%62.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Dayana Yastremska (Visit)
Prediction 37.86%2.64fair odd
EV +1.09%
Edge +0.409%
Kelly +0.654%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 2.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.82%37.87%37.89%40.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.492.502.6743.48%40.19%40.00%37.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jasmine Paolini (Local): 62.14%; Dayana Yastremska (Visit): 37.86%. For Dayana Yastremska (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.64. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.67, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.09%.
Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 64.18%EV -7.41%E -4.98%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 2.67I 37.45%NM 35.82%EV +1.09%E +0.409%K +0.654%G +0.007% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 08:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -0.044%E -0.017%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-25 08:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -0.044%E -0.017%K -0.027%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-25 08:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.56%E -0.599%K -0.974%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-25 08:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -3.07%E -1.96%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%EV -1.94%E -0.748%K -1.22%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-25 08:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.05%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.95%EV -3.07%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 08:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.44%E -1.56%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -3.45%E -1.35%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-25 08:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.45%E -1.35%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 08:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.45%E -1.35%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 08:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.45%E -1.35%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-25 08:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.45%E -1.35%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 08:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.45%E -1.35%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-25 07:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.45%E -1.35%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 08:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -3.83%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 08:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.55%E -3.65%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.21%E -1.66%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-25 07:34 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.59%E -1.82%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-25 08:30 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.69%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.31%EV -4.59%E -1.82%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 08:30 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.22%EV -1.20%E -0.755%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.78%EV -4.97%E -1.98%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-05-25 08:10 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -4.97%E -1.98%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 08:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.07%E -1.96%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-25 08:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.69%E -2.38%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 08:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 08:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 08:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 08:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 08:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 08:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 07:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 08:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.55%E -3.65%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 08:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.55%E -3.65%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 08:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.55%E -3.65%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-25 08:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.04%E -5.43%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 08:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.04%E -5.43%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 08:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -6.48%E -2.62%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-25 08:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -5.55%E -3.65%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -6.48%E -2.62%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 08:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -5.55%E -3.65%K -10.67%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -6.48%E -2.62%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-25 08:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.44%E -1.56%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-25 06:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.07%E -1.96%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 06:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.07%E -1.96%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 06:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.07%E -1.96%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 06:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.07%E -1.96%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 06:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.07%E -1.96%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 06:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.07%E -1.96%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 06:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.07%E -1.96%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 06:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.07%E -1.96%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 06:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.07%E -1.96%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 06:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.07%E -1.96%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 06:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.07%E -1.96%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 06:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.07%E -1.96%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 06:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.07%E -1.96%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-25 06:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 08:10 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 08:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 08:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.17%E -4.09%K -12.10%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 08:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.69%E -2.38%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.13%E -3.80%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 06:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.69%E -2.38%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.13%E -3.80%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 06:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.69%E -2.38%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.13%E -3.80%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-25 06:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.13%E -3.80%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 08:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.13%E -3.80%K -6.52%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-25 08:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.44%E -1.56%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.89%E -4.15%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-25 08:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.89%E -4.15%K -7.17%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-25 08:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -2.44%E -1.56%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -12.92%E -5.62%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-25 08:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 0.8% | 2026-05-25 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 0.8% | 2026-05-25 08:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 0.8% | 2026-05-25 08:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 0.8% | 2026-05-25 08:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65% | 2.2% | 2026-05-25 08:50 |
| Novig◎ | 1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35% | 3.0% | 2026-05-25 08:40 |