L’École des cotes

Jasmine Paolini v Dayana Yastremska

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-25 09:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Jasmine Paolini (Local)

Prévision 62.14%1.61cote équitable
EV -1.20%
Avantage -0.755%
Kelly -2.04%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.59

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.43%62.13%62.11%64.18%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.481.541.531.5967.57%65.09%65.36%62.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Dayana Yastremska (Visiteur)

Prévision 37.86%2.64cote équitable
EV +1.09%
Avantage +0.409%
Kelly +0.654%
Croissance +0.007%

avec la cote maximale 2.67

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.82%37.87%37.89%40.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.492.502.6743.48%40.19%40.00%37.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Betclic (FR)1.49I 67.11%NM 64.18%EV -7.41%E -4.98%K -15.13%G +0.000%2.67I 37.45%NM 35.82%EV +1.09%E +0.409%K +0.654%G +0.007%4.6%2026-05-25 08:50
BetOnline.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -0.044%E -0.017%K -0.027%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-25 08:10
LowVig.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 63.31%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 36.69%EV -0.044%E -0.017%K -0.027%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-25 08:10
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -1.56%E -0.599%K -0.974%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-25 08:20
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -3.07%E -1.96%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%EV -1.94%E -0.748%K -1.22%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-25 08:50
DraftKings1.50I 66.67%NM 63.05%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.95%EV -3.07%E -1.20%K -1.97%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 08:10
Coolbet1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -2.44%E -1.56%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -3.45%E -1.35%K -2.23%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-25 08:20
Winamax (DE)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.45%E -1.35%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 08:30
BetAnything1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.45%E -1.35%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 08:20
Codere (IT)1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -3.45%E -1.35%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-25 08:30
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.45%E -1.35%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 08:30
FanDuel1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -3.45%E -1.35%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-25 07:20
Tipico (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.45%E -1.35%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 08:30
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -3.83%E -1.51%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 08:20
SportsBet1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -5.55%E -3.65%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -4.21%E -1.66%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 07:34
MyBookie.ag1.53I 65.36%NM 62.22%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.78%EV -4.59%E -1.82%K -3.02%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-25 08:30
NetBet (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.69%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.31%EV -4.59%E -1.82%K -3.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 08:30
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 61.22%EV -1.20%E -0.755%K -2.04%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.78%EV -4.97%E -1.98%K -3.29%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-25 08:10
GTbets1.54I 64.94%NM 61.98%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.02%EV -4.97%E -1.98%K -3.29%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 08:30
Bovada1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -3.07%E -1.96%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-25 08:50
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -3.69%E -2.38%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 08:50
Unibet (FR)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 08:30
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 08:10
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 08:30
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 08:10
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 08:10
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 07:20
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 08:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.55%E -3.65%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 08:20
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.55%E -3.65%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 08:20
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -5.55%E -3.65%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-25 08:30
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.04%E -5.43%K -16.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 08:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -8.04%E -5.43%K -16.74%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -5.34%E -2.14%K -3.56%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 08:20
Marathon Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.60%EV -4.31%E -2.80%K -7.98%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.40%EV -6.48%E -2.62%K -4.41%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 08:50
NordicBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -5.55%E -3.65%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -6.48%E -2.62%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 08:30
Betsson1.52I 65.79%NM 61.90%EV -5.55%E -3.65%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.10%EV -6.48%E -2.62%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-25 08:30
Hard Rock Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.95%EV -2.44%E -1.56%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 39.05%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-25 06:30
Unibet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.07%E -1.96%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 06:30
TABtouch1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.07%E -1.96%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 06:30
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.07%E -1.96%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 06:30
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.07%E -1.96%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 06:30
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.07%E -1.96%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 06:30
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.07%E -1.96%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 06:30
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.07%E -1.96%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 06:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.07%E -1.96%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 06:30
BetRivers1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.07%E -1.96%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 06:30
Svenska Spel1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.07%E -1.96%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 06:30
Bally Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.07%E -1.96%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 06:30
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.07%E -1.96%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 06:30
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.07%E -1.96%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-25 06:30
PointsBet (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 08:10
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 08:50
TAB1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 08:40
Fliff1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -6.17%E -4.09%K -12.10%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -7.24%E -2.95%K -4.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 08:50
LiveScore Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.69%E -2.38%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.13%E -3.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 06:30
PMU (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.69%E -2.38%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.13%E -3.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 06:30
Virgin Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -3.69%E -2.38%K -6.70%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -9.13%E -3.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-25 06:30
Caesars1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -9.13%E -3.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 08:20
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.79%E -4.53%K -13.59%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -9.13%E -3.80%K -6.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-25 08:29
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -2.44%E -1.56%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -9.89%E -4.15%K -7.17%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 08:29
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -4.93%E -3.22%K -9.30%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -9.89%E -4.15%K -7.17%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-25 08:50
Betr (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -2.44%E -1.56%K -4.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -12.92%E -5.62%K -9.94%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 08:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-05-25 08:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-05-25 08:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-05-25 08:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-05-25 08:50
Smarkets1.57I 63.69%NM 62.35%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.65%2.2%2026-05-25 08:50
Novig1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%3.0%2026-05-25 08:40