Language:English
Emma Raducanu v Solana Sierra
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Emma Raducanu (Local)
Prediction 38.84%2.57fair odd
EV -0.947%
Edge -0.371%
Kelly -0.611%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%38.78%39.03%41.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.292.462.452.5543.67%40.62%40.82%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Solana Sierra (Visit)
Prediction 61.16%1.64fair odd
EV +0.295%
Edge +0.180%
Kelly +0.461%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 1.64
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.27%61.22%60.97%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.541.531.6466.67%64.81%65.36%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Emma Raducanu (Local): 38.84%; Solana Sierra (Visit): 61.16%. For Solana Sierra (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.635. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.640, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.295%.
Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -11.05%E -4.82%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV +0.295%E +0.180%K +0.461%G +0.001% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -1.54%E -0.956%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-24 15:35 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.76%E -1.74%K -4.68%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -2.11%E -0.838%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -3.37%E -2.14%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.37%E -2.14%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.37%E -2.14%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -0.947%E -0.371%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -6.00%E -2.48%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.55%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.55%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.55%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.55%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -0.947%E -0.371%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -0.947%E -0.371%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -0.947%E -0.371%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.29%EV -6.38%E -2.65%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 15:38 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-24 15:38 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.47%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -2.11%E -0.838%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 15:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.78%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.947%E -0.371%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.947%E -0.371%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.947%E -0.371%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.947%E -0.371%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.947%E -0.371%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.947%E -0.371%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.947%E -0.371%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.947%E -0.371%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 15:32 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.947%E -0.371%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.947%E -0.371%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 15:38 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.947%E -0.371%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.947%E -0.371%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.947%E -0.371%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.947%E -0.371%K -0.611%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -2.50%E -0.996%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-24 15:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.89%E -1.16%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -3.28%E -1.32%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:38 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-24 15:36 |
| Caesars🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 15:38 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.55%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.55%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-24 15:38 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.55%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -10.66%E -4.63%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -7.04%E -4.63%K -13.55%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-05-24 15:35 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -10.66%E -4.63%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -7.66%E -5.07%K -15.01%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -3.67%E -1.48%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -8.27%E -5.51%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -3.67%E -1.48%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -8.27%E -5.51%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -3.67%E -1.48%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -8.27%E -5.51%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.27%E -5.51%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.27%E -5.51%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.27%E -5.51%K -16.53%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-24 15:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61% | 0.2% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 0.6% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50% | 2.3% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |
| Novig◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99% | 2.8% | 2026-05-24 15:40 |