L’École des cotes

Emma Raducanu v Solana Sierra

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-24 15:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Emma Raducanu (Local)

Prévision 38.84%2.57cote équitable
EV -0.947%
Avantage -0.371%
Kelly -0.611%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.50%38.78%39.03%41.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.292.462.452.5543.67%40.62%40.82%39.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Solana Sierra (Visiteur)

Prévision 61.16%1.64cote équitable
EV +0.295%
Avantage +0.180%
Kelly +0.461%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 1.64

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.27%61.22%60.97%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.541.531.6466.67%64.81%65.36%60.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
1xBet2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -11.05%E -4.82%K -8.56%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV +0.295%E +0.180%K +0.461%G +0.001%4.6%2026-05-24 15:39
GTbets2.45I 40.82%NM 39.66%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 60.34%EV -1.54%E -0.956%K -2.52%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-24 15:35
Bovada2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -2.76%E -1.74%K -4.68%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 15:40
Coolbet2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV -2.11%E -0.838%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -3.37%E -2.14%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-24 15:40
Winamax (DE)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.37%E -2.14%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 15:40
Codere (IT)2.45I 40.82%NM 39.21%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.79%EV -3.37%E -2.14%K -5.82%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-24 15:40
Pinnacle2.55I 39.22%NM 38.11%EV -0.947%E -0.371%K -0.611%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.89%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -6.99%G +0.000%2.9%2026-05-24 15:40
MyBookie.ag2.42I 41.32%NM 39.35%EV -6.00%E -2.48%K -4.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.65%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-24 15:39
888sport2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.55%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 15:39
William Hill2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.55%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 15:40
Mr Green (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.55%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 15:40
888sport (SE)2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.55%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.99%E -2.54%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-24 15:39
BetOnline.ag2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -0.947%E -0.371%K -0.611%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-24 15:39
LowVig.ag2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -0.947%E -0.371%K -0.611%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-24 15:39
BetAnything2.55I 39.22%NM 37.96%EV -0.947%E -0.371%K -0.611%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.04%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.21%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-24 15:39
DraftKings2.41I 41.49%NM 39.29%EV -6.38%E -2.65%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.71%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-24 15:39
Winamax (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 15:40
Fanatics2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -4.60%E -2.95%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 15:40
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 15:40
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 15:38
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.47%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-24 15:38
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:40
TAB2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:40
NordicBet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:40
Betsson2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.21%E -3.36%K -9.47%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:40
FanDuel2.52I 39.68%NM 37.93%EV -2.11%E -0.838%K -1.39%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.07%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 15:40
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 15:34
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 15:40
theScore Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.82%E -3.78%K -10.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 15:40
Unibet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.947%E -0.371%K -0.611%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 15:39
TABtouch2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.947%E -0.371%K -0.611%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 15:40
LeoVegas2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.947%E -0.371%K -0.611%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 15:39
Unibet (NL)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.947%E -0.371%K -0.611%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 15:40
Unibet (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.947%E -0.371%K -0.611%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 15:39
Casumo2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.947%E -0.371%K -0.611%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 15:39
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.947%E -0.371%K -0.611%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 15:39
BetRivers2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.947%E -0.371%K -0.611%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 15:32
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.947%E -0.371%K -0.611%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 15:40
betPARX2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.947%E -0.371%K -0.611%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 15:38
Bally Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.947%E -0.371%K -0.611%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 15:39
ATG (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.947%E -0.371%K -0.611%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 15:40
Svenska Spel2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.947%E -0.371%K -0.611%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 15:39
Hard Rock Bet2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.947%E -0.371%K -0.611%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-24 15:40
SportsBet2.51I 39.84%NM 37.87%EV -2.50%E -0.996%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.13%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-24 15:35
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.89%E -1.16%K -1.93%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-24 15:40
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 38.06%EV -3.28%E -1.32%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.94%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-24 15:40
PointsBet (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:40
Everygame2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:38
NetBet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-24 15:36
Caesars2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 15:38
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.55%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 15:40
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.55%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 15:38
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.55%E -3.17%K -5.47%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.43%E -4.20%K -12.14%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-24 15:40
Betclic (FR)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -10.66%E -4.63%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -7.04%E -4.63%K -13.55%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-24 15:35
Fliff2.30I 43.48%NM 39.63%EV -10.66%E -4.63%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.37%EV -7.66%E -5.07%K -15.01%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-24 15:39
Virgin Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -3.67%E -1.48%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -8.27%E -5.51%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 15:40
LiveScore Bet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -3.67%E -1.48%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -8.27%E -5.51%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 15:40
PMU (FR)2.48I 40.32%NM 37.69%EV -3.67%E -1.48%K -2.48%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.31%EV -8.27%E -5.51%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-24 15:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.27%E -5.51%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 15:39
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.83%E -1.97%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.27%E -5.51%K -16.53%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-24 15:39
Coral2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.77%E -2.82%K -4.84%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.27%E -5.51%K -16.53%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-24 15:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.39%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.61%0.2%2026-05-24 15:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-05-24 15:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-05-24 15:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-05-24 15:40
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 38.50%1.59I 62.89%NM 61.50%2.3%2026-05-24 15:40
Novig2.56I 39.06%NM 38.01%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.99%2.8%2026-05-24 15:40