Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elina Svitolina v Marta Kostyuk

Kickoff: 2026-06-02 10:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Elina Svitolina (Local)

Prediction 47.22%2.12fair odd
EV -0.841%
Edge -0.400%
Kelly -0.765%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%47.18%47.30%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.902.012.002.1052.63%49.73%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Marta Kostyuk (Visit)

Prediction 52.78%1.89fair odd
EV +0.285%
Edge +0.150%
Kelly +0.316%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.82%52.70%54.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.801.811.9058.14%55.47%55.40%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Elina Svitolina (Local): 47.22%; Marta Kostyuk (Visit): 52.78%. For Marta Kostyuk (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.285%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -10.28%E -5.41%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +0.285%E +0.150%K +0.316%G +0.001%5.3%2026-06-02 10:19
Pinnacle🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -2.73%E -1.33%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -2.35%E -1.27%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-02 10:20
DraftKings🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.98%E -3.54%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.35%E -1.27%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 10:20
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.92%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.35%E -1.27%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 10:20
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.92%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.35%E -1.27%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 10:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.92%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.35%E -1.27%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 10:20
Coolbet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -3.20%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -2.88%E -1.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-02 10:20
Winamax (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -2.88%E -1.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-02 10:10
Betclic (FR)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -4.15%E -2.04%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -3.41%E -1.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-02 10:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -4.15%E -2.04%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -3.41%E -1.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-02 10:10
BetMGM🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.41%E -1.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 10:20
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.41%E -1.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 10:19
Everygame🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.92%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.41%E -1.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-02 10:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -3.20%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -3.94%E -2.16%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-02 10:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -3.20%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -3.94%E -2.16%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-02 10:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -3.20%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -3.94%E -2.16%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-02 10:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -3.20%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -3.94%E -2.16%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-02 10:20
Unibet (FR)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -3.20%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -3.94%E -2.16%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-02 10:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.67%E -1.80%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.94%E -2.16%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-02 10:20
1xBet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.62%E -2.29%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.94%E -2.16%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-02 10:20
Bet Right🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.94%E -2.16%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-02 10:20
Winamax (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.94%E -2.16%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-02 10:10
PlayUp🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.51%E -3.29%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.94%E -2.16%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-02 10:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.51%E -3.29%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.94%E -2.16%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-02 10:20
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.51%E -3.29%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.94%E -2.16%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-02 10:20
Unibet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.67%E -1.80%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.47%E -2.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-02 10:10
Grosvenor🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.67%E -1.80%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.47%E -2.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-02 10:10
Casumo🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.67%E -1.80%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.47%E -2.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-02 10:10
Bally Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.67%E -1.80%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.47%E -2.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-02 10:10
betPARX🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.67%E -1.80%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.47%E -2.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-02 10:10
MyBookie.ag🎯2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -5.09%E -2.53%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.47%E -2.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-02 10:10
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.20%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-02 10:09
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.20%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-02 10:10
BetRivers🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.67%E -1.80%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 10:05
TABtouch🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.67%E -1.80%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 10:20
Fanatics🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-02 10:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-02 10:00
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-02 10:10
TAB🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-02 10:19
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-02 10:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.92%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-02 10:20
Coral🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.92%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-02 10:20
FanDuel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.20%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.52%E -3.08%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 10:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.62%E -2.29%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.52%E -3.08%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-02 10:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.62%E -2.29%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.52%E -3.08%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-02 10:20
Betsson🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -6.51%E -3.29%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -5.52%E -3.08%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-02 10:10
NordicBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -6.51%E -3.29%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -5.52%E -3.08%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-02 10:10
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-02 10:10
NetBet (FR)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-02 10:10
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.841%E -0.400%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-02 10:09
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.841%E -0.400%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-02 10:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.841%E -0.400%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-02 10:10
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-02 10:20
Tipico (DE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-02 10:20
GTbets🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.20%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -7.10%E -4.04%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 14:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -6.98%E -3.54%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -7.10%E -4.04%K -9.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-02 10:20
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.92%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-02 10:09
Caesars🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.20%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 17:20
Fliff🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-02 10:00
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-02 09:10
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-02 10:10
PMU (FR)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%EV -8.87%E -4.59%K -9.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88%EV -9.22%E -5.36%K -12.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-02 10:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%0.3%2026-06-02 10:20
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%0.3%2026-06-02 10:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-06-02 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-06-02 10:10
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.0%2026-06-02 10:20
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%3.2%2026-06-02 10:20