La escuela de los momios

Elina Svitolina v Marta Kostyuk

Inicio: 2026-06-02 10:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Elina Svitolina (Local)

Predicción 47.22%2.12momio equitativo
EV -0.841%
Ventaja -0.400%
Kelly -0.765%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
45.74%47.18%47.30%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.902.012.002.1052.63%49.73%50.00%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Marta Kostyuk (Visitante)

Predicción 52.78%1.89momio equitativo
EV +0.285%
Ventaja +0.150%
Kelly +0.316%
Crecimiento +0.001%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.90

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
50.00%52.82%52.70%54.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.721.801.811.9058.14%55.47%55.40%52.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -10.28%E -5.41%K -11.43%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +0.285%E +0.150%K +0.316%G +0.001%5.3%2026-06-02 10:19
Pinnacle2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%EV -2.73%E -1.33%K -2.58%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%EV -2.35%E -1.27%K -2.77%G +0.000%2.6%2026-06-02 10:20
DraftKings1.97I 50.76%NM 48.43%EV -6.98%E -3.54%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.57%EV -2.35%E -1.27%K -2.77%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-02 10:20
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.92%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.35%E -1.27%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 10:20
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.92%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.35%E -1.27%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 10:20
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.92%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -2.35%E -1.27%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-02 10:20
Coolbet2.05I 48.78%NM 47.30%EV -3.20%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.70%EV -2.88%E -1.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-02 10:20
Winamax (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.92%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 52.08%EV -2.88%E -1.57%K -3.43%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-02 10:10
Betclic (FR)2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -4.15%E -2.04%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -3.41%E -1.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-02 10:09
Codere (IT)2.03I 49.26%NM 47.41%EV -4.15%E -2.04%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.59%EV -3.41%E -1.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.9%2026-06-02 10:10
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.41%E -1.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 10:20
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.41%E -1.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 10:19
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -7.92%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -3.41%E -1.86%K -4.11%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-02 10:20
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -3.20%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -3.94%E -2.16%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-02 10:20
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -3.20%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -3.94%E -2.16%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-02 10:20
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -3.20%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -3.94%E -2.16%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-02 10:20
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -3.20%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -3.94%E -2.16%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-02 10:20
Unibet (FR)2.05I 48.78%NM 47.03%EV -3.20%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.97%EV -3.94%E -2.16%K -4.80%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-02 10:09
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 47.15%EV -3.67%E -1.80%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.85%EV -3.94%E -2.16%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.0%2026-06-02 10:20
1xBet2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -4.62%E -2.29%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -3.94%E -2.16%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-02 10:20
Bet Right2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.94%E -2.16%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-02 10:20
Winamax (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.94%E -2.16%K -4.80%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-02 10:10
PlayUp1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.51%E -3.29%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.94%E -2.16%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-02 10:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.51%E -3.29%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.94%E -2.16%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-02 10:20
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -6.51%E -3.29%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -3.94%E -2.16%K -4.80%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-02 10:20
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.67%E -1.80%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.47%E -2.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-02 10:10
Grosvenor2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.67%E -1.80%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.47%E -2.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-02 10:10
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.67%E -1.80%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.47%E -2.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-02 10:10
Bally Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.67%E -1.80%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.47%E -2.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-02 10:10
betPARX2.04I 49.02%NM 47.01%EV -3.67%E -1.80%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.99%EV -4.47%E -2.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-02 10:10
MyBookie.ag2.01I 49.75%NM 47.38%EV -5.09%E -2.53%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.62%EV -4.47%E -2.47%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-02 10:10
theScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.20%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-02 10:09
Hard Rock Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.20%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-02 10:10
BetRivers2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.67%E -1.80%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 10:05
TABtouch2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%EV -3.67%E -1.80%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 10:20
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-02 10:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-02 10:00
BoyleSports2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-02 10:10
TAB2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-02 10:19
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-02 10:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.92%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-02 10:20
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.92%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.99%E -2.77%K -6.24%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-02 10:20
FanDuel2.05I 48.78%NM 46.61%EV -3.20%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.39%EV -5.52%E -3.08%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-02 10:00
Virgin Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.62%E -2.29%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.52%E -3.08%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-02 10:20
LiveScore Bet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.98%EV -4.62%E -2.29%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.02%EV -5.52%E -3.08%K -6.99%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-02 10:20
Betsson1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -6.51%E -3.29%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -5.52%E -3.08%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-02 10:10
NordicBet1.98I 50.51%NM 47.48%EV -6.51%E -3.29%K -6.64%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.52%EV -5.52%E -3.08%K -6.99%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-02 10:10
PointsBet (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-02 10:10
NetBet (FR)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -6.05%E -3.40%K -7.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-02 10:10
BetAnything2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.841%E -0.400%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-02 10:09
BetOnline.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.841%E -0.400%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-02 10:10
LowVig.ag2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -0.841%E -0.400%K -0.765%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.54%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-02 10:10
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-02 10:20
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.58%E -3.72%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-02 10:20
GTbets2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.20%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -7.10%E -4.04%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-31 14:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.97I 50.76%NM 47.18%EV -6.98%E -3.54%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.82%EV -7.10%E -4.04%K -9.35%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-02 10:20
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.92%E -4.06%K -8.34%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.63%E -4.36%K -10.18%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-02 10:09
Caesars2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -3.20%E -1.56%K -3.05%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.03%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-31 17:20
Fliff2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -8.16%E -4.69%K -11.03%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-02 10:00
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-02 09:10
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.56%E -2.78%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.69%E -5.02%K -11.90%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-02 10:10
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 47.12%EV -8.87%E -4.59%K -9.54%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.88%EV -9.22%E -5.36%K -12.80%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-02 10:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%0.3%2026-06-02 10:20
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50%0.3%2026-06-02 10:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-06-02 10:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-06-02 10:10
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.58%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.42%2.0%2026-06-02 10:20
Novig2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%3.2%2026-06-02 10:20