Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Daria Kasatkina v Susan Bandecchi

Kickoff: 2026-05-28 14:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Daria Kasatkina (Local)

Prediction 85.61%1.17fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -10.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.71%85.60%85.64%88.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.101.101.1594.34%90.79%90.91%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Susan Bandecchi (Visit)

Prediction 14.39%6.95fair odd
EV +15.13%
Edge +1.89%
Kelly +2.16%
Growth +0.327%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.89%14.40%14.36%17.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.306.536.508.0018.87%15.31%15.38%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Daria Kasatkina (Local): 85.61%; Susan Bandecchi (Visit): 14.39%. For Susan Bandecchi (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.95. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 8.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +15.13%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -7.54%E -6.98%K -94.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +15.13%E +1.89%K +2.16%G +0.327%5.1%2026-05-28 13:52
BetOnline.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +9.52%E +1.25%K +1.44%G +0.137%4.0%2026-05-28 13:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +9.52%E +1.25%K +1.44%G +0.137%4.0%2026-05-28 13:39
Coolbet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.69%E -6.13%K -74.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +7.94%E +1.06%K +1.22%G +0.097%5.1%2026-05-28 13:59
BetUS🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.54%E -6.98%K -94.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +7.94%E +1.06%K +1.22%G +0.097%5.9%2026-05-28 13:49
Betsson🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.57%EV -9.26%E -8.73%K -154.25%G +0.000%7.47I 13.39%NM 12.43%EV +7.51%E +1.00%K +1.16%G +0.087%7.7%2026-05-28 13:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.96%EV -4.97%E -4.48%K -45.23%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.04%EV +6.50%E +0.878%K +1.02%G +0.066%3.6%2026-05-28 13:49
Pinnacle🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.84%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.32%G +0.000%7.39I 13.53%NM 13.16%EV +6.36%E +0.860%K +0.995%G +0.063%2.8%2026-05-28 13:40
Fanatics🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.97%E -4.48%K -45.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +0.742%E +0.106%K +0.124%G +0.001%4.4%2026-05-28 13:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.742%E +0.106%K +0.124%G +0.001%5.2%2026-05-28 13:58
Bet Right🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.742%E +0.106%K +0.124%G +0.001%5.2%2026-05-28 13:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.742%E +0.106%K +0.124%G +0.001%5.2%2026-05-28 13:59
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.742%E +0.106%K +0.124%G +0.001%5.2%2026-05-28 13:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.742%E +0.106%K +0.124%G +0.001%5.2%2026-05-28 13:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.69%E -6.13%K -74.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +0.742%E +0.106%K +0.124%G +0.001%6.0%2026-05-28 13:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.69%E -6.13%K -74.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +0.742%E +0.106%K +0.124%G +0.001%6.0%2026-05-28 13:39
Neds🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.86%E -0.423%K -0.497%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 13:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.86%E -0.423%K -0.497%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 13:40
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.86%E -0.423%K -0.497%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 13:49
1xBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.97%E -4.48%K -45.23%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -3.58%E -0.534%K -0.627%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 13:56
Fliff🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.40%E -7.85%K -119.99%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -3.58%E -0.534%K -0.627%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-28 13:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.70%EV -4.97%E -4.48%K -45.23%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.30%EV -4.29%E -0.646%K -0.760%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 13:54
NordicBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.92%EV -7.54%E -6.98%K -94.29%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.08%EV -5.16%E -0.783%K -0.923%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-28 13:59
GTbets🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.45%E -0.993%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 13:49
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.97%E -4.48%K -45.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.45%E -0.993%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 13:59
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.97%E -4.48%K -45.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.45%E -0.993%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 13:40
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.45%E -0.993%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 13:59
TABtouch🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.45%E -0.993%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 13:59
Everygame🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.45%E -0.993%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 13:39
888sport🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.45%E -0.993%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 13:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.45%E -0.993%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.45%E -0.993%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.45%E -0.993%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 14:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.69%E -6.13%K -74.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -6.45%E -0.993%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-28 14:00
TAB🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.69%E -6.13%K -74.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -6.45%E -0.993%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-28 14:00
Betway🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.54%E -6.98%K -94.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -6.45%E -0.993%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-28 13:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.54%E -6.98%K -94.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -6.45%E -0.993%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-28 13:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.69%E -6.13%K -74.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -7.89%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 13:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.69%E -6.13%K -74.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -7.89%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 13:59
Grosvenor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.69%E -6.13%K -74.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -7.89%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 13:59
Bally Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.69%E -6.13%K -74.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -7.89%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 13:59
PlayUp🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.32%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.05%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 13:29
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.32%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.05%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 13:44
BetAnything🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.32%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.05%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 13:59
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.32%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.05%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 13:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.32%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.05%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 13:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -10.05%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 13:57
LeoVegas🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.27%EV -7.54%E -6.98%K -94.29%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -10.05%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-28 13:59
Casumo🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.32%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -12.21%E -2.00%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.32%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -12.21%E -2.00%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.32%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -12.21%E -2.00%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 14:00
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.65%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 14:00
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.65%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 13:59
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.97%E -4.48%K -45.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -13.65%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-28 14:00
Caesars🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.97%E -4.48%K -45.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -13.65%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-28 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.97%E -4.48%K -45.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -13.65%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-28 14:00
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -13.65%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 13:38
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -17.25%E -3.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-28 13:58
Winamax (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.95%EV -6.69%E -6.13%K -74.30%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.05%EV -17.97%E -3.15%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-28 14:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.58%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -19.41%E -3.47%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-28 13:58
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -1.55%E -1.35%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -20.85%E -3.79%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 13:58
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.33%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -20.85%E -3.79%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-28 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 83.07%EV -7.54%E -6.98%K -94.29%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.93%EV -23.72%E -4.48%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-28 14:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-05-28 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65%1.3%2026-05-28 13:59
Smarkets1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%1.8%2026-05-28 13:40
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 86.52%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.48%2.3%2026-05-28 14:00
Matchbook1.13I 88.50%NM 85.75%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.25%3.2%2026-05-28 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%4.0%2026-05-28 14:00