Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Daria Kasatkina v Susan Bandecchi

Início: 2026-05-28 14:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

63 casas de apostas (21 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Daria Kasatkina (Local)

Previsão 85.61%1.17odd justa
EV -1.55%
Vantagem -1.35%
Kelly -10.34%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
82.71%85.60%85.64%88.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.061.101.101.1594.34%90.79%90.91%86.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Susan Bandecchi (Visitante)

Previsão 14.39%6.95odd justa
EV +15.13%
Vantagem +1.89%
Kelly +2.16%
Crescimento +0.327%

pressupondo odds máximas de 8.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
11.89%14.40%14.36%17.29%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
5.306.536.508.0018.87%15.31%15.38%12.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Daria Kasatkina (Local): 85.61%; Susan Bandecchi (Visitante): 14.39%. Para Susan Bandecchi (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 6.95. 16 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 8.00, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +15.13%.

Odds das casas de apostas (63 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
SportsBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.11%EV -7.54%E -6.98%K -94.29%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.89%EV +15.13%E +1.89%K +2.16%G +0.327%5.1%2026-05-28 13:52
BetOnline.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +9.52%E +1.25%K +1.44%G +0.137%4.0%2026-05-28 13:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.37%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%7.61I 13.14%NM 12.63%EV +9.52%E +1.25%K +1.44%G +0.137%4.0%2026-05-28 13:39
Coolbet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -6.69%E -6.13%K -74.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV +7.94%E +1.06%K +1.22%G +0.097%5.1%2026-05-28 13:59
BetUS🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -7.54%E -6.98%K -94.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.59%EV +7.94%E +1.06%K +1.22%G +0.097%5.9%2026-05-28 13:49
Betsson🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 87.57%EV -9.26%E -8.73%K -154.25%G +0.000%7.47I 13.39%NM 12.43%EV +7.51%E +1.00%K +1.16%G +0.087%7.7%2026-05-28 13:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.96%EV -4.97%E -4.48%K -45.23%G +0.000%7.40I 13.51%NM 13.04%EV +6.50%E +0.878%K +1.02%G +0.066%3.6%2026-05-28 13:49
Pinnacle🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.84%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.32%G +0.000%7.39I 13.53%NM 13.16%EV +6.36%E +0.860%K +0.995%G +0.063%2.8%2026-05-28 13:40
Fanatics🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.31%EV -4.97%E -4.48%K -45.23%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.69%EV +0.742%E +0.106%K +0.124%G +0.001%4.4%2026-05-28 13:34
MyBookie.ag🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.742%E +0.106%K +0.124%G +0.001%5.2%2026-05-28 13:58
Bet Right🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.742%E +0.106%K +0.124%G +0.001%5.2%2026-05-28 13:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.742%E +0.106%K +0.124%G +0.001%5.2%2026-05-28 13:59
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.742%E +0.106%K +0.124%G +0.001%5.2%2026-05-28 13:59
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +0.742%E +0.106%K +0.124%G +0.001%5.2%2026-05-28 13:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.69%E -6.13%K -74.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +0.742%E +0.106%K +0.124%G +0.001%6.0%2026-05-28 13:39
NetBet (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -6.69%E -6.13%K -74.30%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV +0.742%E +0.106%K +0.124%G +0.001%6.0%2026-05-28 13:39
Neds🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.86%E -0.423%K -0.497%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 13:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.86%E -0.423%K -0.497%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 13:40
theScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -2.86%E -0.423%K -0.497%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 13:49
1xBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -4.97%E -4.48%K -45.23%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -3.58%E -0.534%K -0.627%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-28 13:56
Fliff🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.40%E -7.85%K -119.99%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -3.58%E -0.534%K -0.627%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-28 13:59
Marathon Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.70%EV -4.97%E -4.48%K -45.23%G +0.000%6.65I 15.04%NM 14.30%EV -4.29%E -0.646%K -0.760%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 13:54
NordicBet🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.92%EV -7.54%E -6.98%K -94.29%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.08%EV -5.16%E -0.783%K -0.923%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-28 13:59
GTbets🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -6.45%E -0.993%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 13:49
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.97%E -4.48%K -45.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.45%E -0.993%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 13:59
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.97%E -4.48%K -45.23%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -6.45%E -0.993%K -1.17%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 13:40
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.45%E -0.993%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 13:59
TABtouch🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.45%E -0.993%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 13:59
Everygame🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.45%E -0.993%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 13:39
888sport🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.45%E -0.993%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 13:59
888sport (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.45%E -0.993%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 14:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.45%E -0.993%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 14:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -6.45%E -0.993%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 14:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.69%E -6.13%K -74.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -6.45%E -0.993%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-28 14:00
TAB🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.69%E -6.13%K -74.30%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -6.45%E -0.993%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-28 14:00
Betway🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.54%E -6.98%K -94.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -6.45%E -0.993%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-28 13:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.54%E -6.98%K -94.29%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -6.45%E -0.993%K -1.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-28 13:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.69%E -6.13%K -74.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -7.89%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 13:59
Virgin Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.69%E -6.13%K -74.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -7.89%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 13:59
Grosvenor🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.69%E -6.13%K -74.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -7.89%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 13:59
Bally Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.69%E -6.13%K -74.30%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -7.89%E -1.23%K -1.46%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 13:59
PlayUp🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.32%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.05%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 13:29
BetRivers🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.32%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.05%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 13:44
BetAnything🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.32%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.05%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 13:59
betPARX🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.32%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.05%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 13:49
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.32%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -10.05%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 13:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.03%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.97%EV -10.05%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-28 13:57
LeoVegas🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.27%EV -7.54%E -6.98%K -94.29%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -10.05%E -1.61%K -1.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-28 13:59
Casumo🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.32%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -12.21%E -2.00%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 14:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.32%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -12.21%E -2.00%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 14:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.49%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.32%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.51%EV -12.21%E -2.00%K -2.39%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 14:00
FanDuel🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.65%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 14:00
Coral🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -13.65%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-28 13:59
Paddy Power🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.97%E -4.48%K -45.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -13.65%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-28 14:00
Caesars🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.97%E -4.48%K -45.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -13.65%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-28 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.97%E -4.48%K -45.23%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -13.65%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-28 14:00
Bet Victor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -13.65%E -2.27%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 13:38
BetMGM🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -4.12%E -3.68%K -34.32%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV -17.25%E -3.00%K -3.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-28 13:58
Winamax (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 83.95%EV -6.69%E -6.13%K -74.30%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.05%EV -17.97%E -3.15%K -3.82%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-28 14:00
Betclic (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.58%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.42%EV -19.41%E -3.47%K -4.22%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-28 13:58
Bovada🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -1.55%E -1.35%K -10.34%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -20.85%E -3.79%K -4.63%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-28 13:58
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 83.33%EV -5.83%E -5.30%K -58.31%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -20.85%E -3.79%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-28 14:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 83.07%EV -7.54%E -6.98%K -94.29%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 16.93%EV -23.72%E -4.48%K -5.52%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-28 14:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-05-28 14:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.35%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.65%1.3%2026-05-28 13:59
Smarkets1.12I 89.29%NM 87.72%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.28%1.8%2026-05-28 13:40
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 86.52%7.25I 13.79%NM 13.48%2.3%2026-05-28 14:00
Matchbook1.13I 88.50%NM 85.75%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.25%3.2%2026-05-28 14:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.86%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.14%4.0%2026-05-28 14:00