Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dalma Galfi v Mayar Sherif

Kickoff: 2026-05-26 13:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

58 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Dalma Galfi (Local)

Prediction 54.38%1.84fair odd
EV -2.12%
Edge -1.18%
Kelly -2.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.91%54.47%54.47%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.711.731.8063.69%58.39%57.80%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Mayar Sherif (Visit)

Prediction 45.62%2.19fair odd
EV +2.65%
Edge +1.18%
Kelly +2.12%
Growth +0.056%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.86%45.53%45.53%47.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.112.102.2550.00%47.44%47.62%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Dalma Galfi (Local): 54.38%; Mayar Sherif (Visit): 45.62%. For Mayar Sherif (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.19. 11 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.65%.

Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Caesars🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -11.91%E -7.35%K -19.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +2.65%E +1.18%K +2.12%G +0.056%6.2%2026-05-26 12:50
GTbets🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -9.73%E -5.86%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV +2.19%E +0.979%K +1.77%G +0.039%4.9%2026-05-22 22:39
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.19%E -5.50%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.369%E +0.168%K +0.307%G +0.001%5.3%2026-05-23 06:39
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.19%E -5.50%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.369%E +0.168%K +0.307%G +0.001%5.3%2026-05-23 06:39
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.19%E -5.50%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.369%E +0.168%K +0.307%G +0.001%5.3%2026-05-23 06:39
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.19%E -5.50%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.369%E +0.168%K +0.307%G +0.001%5.3%2026-05-23 06:39
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.19%E -5.50%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.369%E +0.168%K +0.307%G +0.001%5.3%2026-05-23 06:39
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.19%E -5.50%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.369%E +0.168%K +0.307%G +0.001%5.3%2026-05-23 06:39
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.19%E -5.50%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.369%E +0.168%K +0.307%G +0.001%5.3%2026-05-23 06:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.19%E -5.50%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.369%E +0.168%K +0.307%G +0.001%5.3%2026-05-23 06:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.19%E -5.50%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.369%E +0.168%K +0.307%G +0.001%5.3%2026-05-23 06:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -10.28%E -6.23%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -1.46%E -0.674%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 12:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -10.28%E -6.23%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -1.46%E -0.674%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 12:50
Grosvenor🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -10.28%E -6.23%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -1.46%E -0.674%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 12:50
Bally Bet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -10.28%E -6.23%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -1.46%E -0.674%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 12:50
Coolbet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -1.91%E -0.889%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-26 11:30
Tipico (DE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.19%E -5.50%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -1.91%E -0.889%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 07:00
LeoVegas🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -11.36%E -6.97%K -18.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -2.37%E -1.11%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-26 12:50
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -2.66%E -1.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -3.28%E -1.55%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-26 10:40
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.28%E -1.55%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -11.91%E -7.35%K -19.21%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -3.28%E -1.55%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-26 12:50
Bet Right🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.93%E -3.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.74%E -1.77%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 12:50
Bovada🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 10:39
SportsBet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 10:43
LowVig.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 12:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 12:50
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 06:10
Neds🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.93%E -3.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 06:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.93%E -3.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 06:40
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.93%E -3.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 19:30
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.93%E -3.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 19:30
888sport (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.93%E -3.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 19:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.93%E -3.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.93%E -3.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 12:00
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.47%E -3.76%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 11:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.47%E -3.76%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 10:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.01%E -4.10%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 11:30
Betway🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.19%E -5.50%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 12:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 12:43
FanDuel🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.11%E -2.45%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 10:50
PlayUp🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.11%E -2.45%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 12:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.93%E -3.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.11%E -2.45%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 12:09
PMU (FR)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.99%EV -14.63%E -9.32%K -25.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.01%EV -5.11%E -2.45%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-26 12:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.12%E -1.18%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 12:40
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 12:40
Everygame🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 06:10
BetMGM🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.01%E -4.10%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 12:50
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.56%E -4.45%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 10:42
Coral🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.56%E -4.45%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 06:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.56%E -4.45%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 06:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -7.56%E -4.45%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.58%EV -7.39%E -3.64%K -7.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-26 12:48
DraftKings🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.21%E -1.80%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.84%E -3.88%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 12:40
Betsson🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -8.30%E -4.13%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 12:40
NordicBet🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -8.30%E -4.13%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 12:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.21%E -1.80%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.76%E -4.38%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 12:39
Fanatics🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.76%E -4.38%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 12:40
BoyleSports🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.76%E -4.38%K -8.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 12:50
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.93%E -3.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.76%E -4.38%K -8.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-26 10:49
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-05-26 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-05-26 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-05-26 12:50
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-05-26 12:50
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%4.8%2026-05-26 12:50