L’École des cotes

Dalma Galfi v Mayar Sherif

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-26 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Dalma Galfi (Local)

Prévision 54.38%1.84cote équitable
EV -2.12%
Avantage -1.18%
Kelly -2.65%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
52.91%54.47%54.47%58.14%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.711.731.8063.69%58.39%57.80%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Mayar Sherif (Visiteur)

Prévision 45.62%2.19cote équitable
EV +2.65%
Avantage +1.18%
Kelly +2.12%
Croissance +0.056%

avec la cote maximale 2.25

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.86%45.53%45.53%47.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.002.112.102.2550.00%47.44%47.62%44.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Caesars1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -11.91%E -7.35%K -19.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +2.65%E +1.18%K +2.12%G +0.056%6.2%2026-05-26 12:50
GTbets1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -9.73%E -5.86%K -14.75%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV +2.19%E +0.979%K +1.77%G +0.039%4.9%2026-05-22 22:39
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.19%E -5.50%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.369%E +0.168%K +0.307%G +0.001%5.3%2026-05-23 06:39
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.19%E -5.50%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.369%E +0.168%K +0.307%G +0.001%5.3%2026-05-23 06:39
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.19%E -5.50%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.369%E +0.168%K +0.307%G +0.001%5.3%2026-05-23 06:39
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.19%E -5.50%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.369%E +0.168%K +0.307%G +0.001%5.3%2026-05-23 06:39
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.19%E -5.50%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.369%E +0.168%K +0.307%G +0.001%5.3%2026-05-23 06:39
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.19%E -5.50%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.369%E +0.168%K +0.307%G +0.001%5.3%2026-05-23 06:39
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.19%E -5.50%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.369%E +0.168%K +0.307%G +0.001%5.3%2026-05-23 06:39
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.19%E -5.50%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.369%E +0.168%K +0.307%G +0.001%5.3%2026-05-23 06:39
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -9.19%E -5.50%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +0.369%E +0.168%K +0.307%G +0.001%5.3%2026-05-23 06:40
LiveScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -10.28%E -6.23%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -1.46%E -0.674%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 12:50
Virgin Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -10.28%E -6.23%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -1.46%E -0.674%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 12:50
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -10.28%E -6.23%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -1.46%E -0.674%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 12:50
Bally Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 56.69%EV -10.28%E -6.23%K -15.81%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.31%EV -1.46%E -0.674%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 12:50
Coolbet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.85%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.15%EV -1.91%E -0.889%K -1.66%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-26 11:30
Tipico (DE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -9.19%E -5.50%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -1.91%E -0.889%K -1.66%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 07:00
LeoVegas1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -11.36%E -6.97%K -18.04%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -2.37%E -1.11%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-26 12:50
Pinnacle1.79I 55.87%NM 54.22%EV -2.66%E -1.49%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.78%EV -3.28%E -1.55%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-26 10:40
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -3.28%E -1.55%K -2.93%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.68%EV -11.91%E -7.35%K -19.21%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.32%EV -3.28%E -1.55%K -2.93%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-26 12:50
Bet Right1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -5.93%E -3.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -3.74%E -1.77%K -3.37%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 12:50
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 10:39
SportsBet1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 10:43
LowVig.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 12:50
BetOnline.ag1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-26 12:50
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 06:10
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.93%E -3.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 06:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.93%E -3.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 06:40
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.93%E -3.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 19:30
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.93%E -3.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 19:30
888sport (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.93%E -3.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 19:30
Mr Green (SE)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.93%E -3.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-25 19:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.93%E -3.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 12:00
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.47%E -3.76%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 11:29
NetBet (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.47%E -3.76%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 10:39
Unibet (FR)1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -7.01%E -4.10%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 11:30
Betway1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.19%E -5.50%K -13.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.19%E -2.00%K -3.81%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-26 12:50
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.57%EV -5.38%E -3.09%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.09I 47.85%NM 45.43%EV -4.65%E -2.22%K -4.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 12:43
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -5.11%E -2.45%K -4.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-26 10:50
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -5.11%E -2.45%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 12:50
PointsBet (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.59%EV -5.93%E -3.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.41%EV -5.11%E -2.45%K -4.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 12:09
PMU (FR)1.57I 63.69%NM 56.99%EV -14.63%E -9.32%K -25.66%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.01%EV -5.11%E -2.45%K -4.73%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-26 12:50
Winamax (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -2.12%E -1.18%K -2.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 12:40
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 12:40
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 06:10
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -7.01%E -4.10%K -9.88%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 12:50
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.56%E -4.45%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 10:42
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.56%E -4.45%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 06:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.56%E -4.45%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.47%E -3.16%K -6.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-26 06:40
Betclic (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -7.56%E -4.45%K -10.80%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.58%EV -7.39%E -3.64%K -7.17%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-26 12:48
DraftKings1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -3.21%E -1.80%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -7.84%E -3.88%K -7.69%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 12:40
Betsson1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -8.30%E -4.13%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 12:40
NordicBet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.32%EV -4.29%E -2.44%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.68%EV -8.30%E -4.13%K -8.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 12:40
Winamax (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.21%E -1.80%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.76%E -4.38%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 12:39
Fanatics1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.75%E -2.12%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.76%E -4.38%K -8.76%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-26 12:40
BoyleSports1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.84%E -2.76%K -6.45%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.76%E -4.38%K -8.76%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 12:50
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.93%E -3.43%K -8.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -8.76%E -4.38%K -8.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-26 10:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-05-26 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-05-26 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-05-26 12:50
Matchbook1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-05-26 12:50
Novig1.80I 55.56%NM 53.00%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.00%4.8%2026-05-26 12:50