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Coco Gauff v Taylor Townsend
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Coco Gauff (Local)
Prediction 91.81%1.09fair odd
EV -0.844%
Edge -0.781%
Kelly -10.55%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.63%91.47%91.61%93.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.031.031.0899.01%96.68%97.09%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Taylor Townsend (Visit)
Prediction 8.19%12.21fair odd
EV +31.02%
Edge +1.94%
Kelly +2.07%
Growth +0.642%
assuming max odds 16.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
6.10%8.53%8.39%13.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.0011.0711.0016.0014.29%9.03%9.09%6.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Coco Gauff (Local): 91.81%; Taylor Townsend (Visit): 8.19%. For Taylor Townsend (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 12.21. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 16.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +31.02%.
Sportsbook Odds (41 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.90%EV -4.52%E -4.34%K -112.91%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 6.10%EV +31.02%E +1.94%K +2.07%G +0.642% | 2.4% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.35%E -6.23%K -317.63%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +14.64%E +1.05%K +1.13%G +0.165% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 92.49%EV -1.76%E -1.65%K -25.17%G +0.000% | 13.18I 7.59%NM 7.51%EV +7.93%E +0.602%K +0.651%G +0.052% | 1.0% | 2026-05-26 14:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -71.97%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +6.45%E +0.497%K +0.538%G +0.035% | 2.9% | 2026-05-26 14:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.44%EV -5.43%E -5.28%K -181.15%G +0.000% | 12.60I 7.94%NM 7.56%EV +3.18%E +0.252%K +0.274%G +0.009% | 5.0% | 2026-05-26 14:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.43%E -5.28%K -181.15%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.73%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.43%E -5.28%K -181.15%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.73%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.43%E -5.28%K -181.15%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.73%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.43%E -5.28%K -181.15%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.73%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 14:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.43%E -5.28%K -181.15%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.73%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 14:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.43%E -5.28%K -181.15%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.73%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.43%E -5.28%K -181.15%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.73%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.43%E -5.28%K -181.15%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.73%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.35%E -6.23%K -317.63%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -1.73%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.35%E -6.23%K -317.63%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -1.73%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.35%E -6.23%K -317.63%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -1.73%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.35%E -6.23%K -317.63%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -1.73%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -7.27%E -7.20%K -727.07%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -1.73%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-26 14:19 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -5.43%E -5.28%K -181.15%G +0.000% | 11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -7.88%E -0.700%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -71.97%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -9.92%E -0.902%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.52%E -4.34%K -112.91%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.92%E -0.902%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.43%E -5.28%K -181.15%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.92%E -0.902%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.43%E -5.28%K -181.15%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.92%E -0.902%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.43%E -5.28%K -181.15%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.92%E -0.902%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.35%E -6.23%K -317.63%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -9.92%E -0.902%K -0.992%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -5.43%E -5.28%K -181.15%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -14.02%E -1.33%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -5.43%E -5.28%K -181.15%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -14.02%E -1.33%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -5.43%E -5.28%K -181.15%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -14.02%E -1.33%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-26 14:10 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -5.43%E -5.28%K -181.15%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -14.02%E -1.33%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -71.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -18.11%E -1.81%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -71.97%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -18.11%E -1.81%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.43%E -5.28%K -181.15%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -18.11%E -1.81%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.35%E -6.23%K -317.63%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -18.11%E -1.81%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-26 14:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.35%E -6.23%K -317.63%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -18.11%E -1.81%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-26 14:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -7.27%E -7.20%K -727.07%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -18.11%E -1.81%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-26 14:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -71.97%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -26.30%E -2.92%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -4.52%E -4.34%K -112.91%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -26.30%E -2.92%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -1.76%E -1.65%K -25.17%G +0.000% | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -28.35%E -3.24%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-26 14:18 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -71.97%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -30.40%E -3.58%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 87.86%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -71.97%G +0.000% | 7.60I 13.16%NM 12.14%EV -37.76%E -4.97%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-26 14:18 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -0.844%E -0.781%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -42.68%E -6.10%K -7.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-26 14:18 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37% | 0.6% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.49% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51% | 0.8% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66% | 1.0% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38% | 1.0% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.63% | 17.99I 5.56%NM 5.37% | 3.6% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.54% | 12.66I 7.90%NM 7.46% | 5.9% | 2026-05-26 14:20 |