L’École des cotes

Coco Gauff v Taylor Townsend

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-26 14:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

41 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Coco Gauff (Local)

Prévision 91.81%1.09cote équitable
EV -0.844%
Avantage -0.781%
Kelly -10.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.08

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
86.63%91.47%91.61%93.90%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.011.031.031.0899.01%96.68%97.09%92.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Taylor Townsend (Visiteur)

Prévision 8.19%12.21cote équitable
EV +31.02%
Avantage +1.94%
Kelly +2.07%
Croissance +0.642%

avec la cote maximale 16.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
6.10%8.53%8.39%13.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
7.0011.0711.0016.0014.29%9.03%9.09%6.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (41 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
DraftKings1.04I 96.15%NM 93.90%EV -4.52%E -4.34%K -112.91%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 6.10%EV +31.02%E +1.94%K +2.07%G +0.642%2.4%2026-05-26 14:20
theScore Bet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -6.35%E -6.23%K -317.63%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV +14.64%E +1.05%K +1.13%G +0.165%5.2%2026-05-26 14:20
Pinnacle1.07I 93.46%NM 92.49%EV -1.76%E -1.65%K -25.17%G +0.000%13.18I 7.59%NM 7.51%EV +7.93%E +0.602%K +0.651%G +0.052%1.0%2026-05-26 14:10
BoyleSports1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -71.97%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%EV +6.45%E +0.497%K +0.538%G +0.035%2.9%2026-05-26 14:10
Coolbet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.44%EV -5.43%E -5.28%K -181.15%G +0.000%12.60I 7.94%NM 7.56%EV +3.18%E +0.252%K +0.274%G +0.009%5.0%2026-05-26 14:19
Unibet (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.43%E -5.28%K -181.15%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.73%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 14:20
Unibet (NL)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.43%E -5.28%K -181.15%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.73%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 14:20
Unibet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.43%E -5.28%K -181.15%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.73%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 14:20
betPARX1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.43%E -5.28%K -181.15%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.73%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 14:19
Hard Rock Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.43%E -5.28%K -181.15%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.73%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 14:19
ATG (SE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.43%E -5.28%K -181.15%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.73%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 14:20
Svenska Spel1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.43%E -5.28%K -181.15%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.73%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 14:20
Winamax (DE)1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -5.43%E -5.28%K -181.15%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -1.73%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 14:20
888sport1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.35%E -6.23%K -317.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -1.73%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 14:20
Mr Green (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.35%E -6.23%K -317.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -1.73%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 14:20
888sport (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.35%E -6.23%K -317.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -1.73%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 14:20
Winamax (FR)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -6.35%E -6.23%K -317.63%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -1.73%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 14:20
Betclic (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -7.27%E -7.20%K -727.07%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -1.73%E -0.145%K -0.158%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 14:19
Fanatics1.03I 97.09%NM 91.61%EV -5.43%E -5.28%K -181.15%G +0.000%11.25I 8.89%NM 8.39%EV -7.88%E -0.700%K -0.768%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 14:20
FanDuel1.05I 95.24%NM 91.29%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -71.97%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.71%EV -9.92%E -0.902%K -0.992%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-26 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -4.52%E -4.34%K -112.91%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -9.92%E -0.902%K -0.992%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 14:20
NordicBet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.43%E -5.28%K -181.15%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.92%E -0.902%K -0.992%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 14:20
PointsBet (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.43%E -5.28%K -181.15%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.92%E -0.902%K -0.992%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 14:20
Betsson1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -5.43%E -5.28%K -181.15%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -9.92%E -0.902%K -0.992%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 14:20
Tipico (DE)1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -6.35%E -6.23%K -317.63%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -9.92%E -0.902%K -0.992%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 14:20
Virgin Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -5.43%E -5.28%K -181.15%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -14.02%E -1.33%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 14:20
LiveScore Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -5.43%E -5.28%K -181.15%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -14.02%E -1.33%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 14:20
Grosvenor1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -5.43%E -5.28%K -181.15%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -14.02%E -1.33%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 14:10
Bally Bet1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -5.43%E -5.28%K -181.15%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -14.02%E -1.33%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 14:20
Coral1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -71.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -18.11%E -1.81%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 90.50%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -71.97%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.50%EV -18.11%E -1.81%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 14:20
Paddy Power1.03I 97.09%NM 90.66%EV -5.43%E -5.28%K -181.15%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.34%EV -18.11%E -1.81%K -2.01%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 14:20
Betway1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.35%E -6.23%K -317.63%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -18.11%E -1.81%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-26 14:10
LeoVegas1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -6.35%E -6.23%K -317.63%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -18.11%E -1.81%K -2.01%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-26 14:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -7.27%E -7.20%K -727.07%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -18.11%E -1.81%K -2.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-26 14:19
Caesars1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -71.97%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -26.30%E -2.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 14:20
BetMGM1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -4.52%E -4.34%K -112.91%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -26.30%E -2.92%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 14:20
Bovada1.07I 93.46%NM 89.10%EV -1.76%E -1.65%K -25.17%G +0.000%8.75I 11.43%NM 10.90%EV -28.35%E -3.24%K -3.66%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 14:18
TAB1.05I 95.24%NM 89.01%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -71.97%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.99%EV -30.40%E -3.58%K -4.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 14:20
Fliff1.05I 95.24%NM 87.86%EV -3.60%E -3.43%K -71.97%G +0.000%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.14%EV -37.76%E -4.97%K -5.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-26 14:18
Bet Victor1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -0.844%E -0.781%K -10.55%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -42.68%E -6.10%K -7.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 14:18
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.05I 95.24%NM 94.63%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.37%0.6%2026-05-26 14:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.49%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.51%0.8%2026-05-26 14:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.05I 95.24%NM 94.34%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.66%1.0%2026-05-26 14:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-05-26 14:20
Smarkets1.02I 98.04%NM 94.63%17.99I 5.56%NM 5.37%3.6%2026-05-26 14:20
Novig1.02I 98.04%NM 92.54%12.66I 7.90%NM 7.46%5.9%2026-05-26 14:20