Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Caty McNally v Belinda Bencic

Kickoff: 2026-05-27 09:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Caty McNally (Local)

Prediction 26.19%3.82fair odd
EV +0.315%
Edge +0.082%
Kelly +0.111%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.00%26.34%26.19%28.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.583.603.8330.77%27.94%27.78%26.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Belinda Bencic (Visit)

Prediction 73.81%1.35fair odd
EV -2.57%
Edge -1.95%
Kelly -8.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.32

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.59%73.66%73.81%75.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.251.291.301.3280.00%77.39%76.92%75.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Caty McNally (Local): 26.19%; Belinda Bencic (Visit): 73.81%. For Caty McNally (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.82. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.83, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.315%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯3.83I 26.11%NM 25.49%EV +0.315%E +0.082%K +0.111%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.51%EV -3.31%E -2.53%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-27 08:50
Pinnacle🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64%EV -0.471%E -0.124%K -0.168%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36%EV -3.31%E -2.53%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-27 07:00
SportsBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -0.471%E -0.124%K -0.168%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.26%E -4.93%K -23.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 08:19
Winamax (DE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.78%E -0.475%K -0.647%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-25 11:19
FanDuel🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.78%E -0.475%K -0.647%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 08:10
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.78%E -0.475%K -0.647%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 06:30
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.78%E -0.475%K -0.647%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 00:20
Codere (IT)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.09%E -0.835%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-26 21:09
LowVig.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.09%E -0.835%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-27 07:00
BetOnline.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.09%E -0.835%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-27 07:00
Tipico (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.09%E -0.835%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.26%E -4.93%K -23.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 20:00
Betclic (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.09%E -0.835%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.26%E -4.93%K -23.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 08:50
GTbets🎯3.67I 27.25%NM 26.31%EV -3.88%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.69%EV -3.31%E -2.53%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-26 08:30
MyBookie.ag🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 14:19
Marathon Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 08:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.26%E -4.93%K -23.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 07:10
NetBet (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.26%E -4.93%K -23.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 06:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.31%E -2.53%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 07:49
Bovada🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.31%E -2.53%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 08:48
Unibet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 07:50
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 07:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 07:50
Grosvenor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 07:50
BetRivers🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 07:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 07:50
Casumo🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 07:49
TABtouch🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 07:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 07:50
Bally Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 07:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 07:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 07:49
betPARX🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 07:50
BetAnything🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 07:00
Bet Right🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 08:50
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 19:20
Unibet (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 01:20
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 06:20
Winamax (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 11:20
Betsson🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 26.19%EV -6.23%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.81%EV -6.26%E -4.93%K -23.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 09:10
NordicBet🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 26.19%EV -6.23%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.81%EV -6.26%E -4.93%K -23.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 09:12
DraftKings🎯3.57I 28.01%NM 26.54%EV -6.49%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.46%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 22:40
theScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.02%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 21:10
Everygame🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.02%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 20:50
PlayUp🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 07:00
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 17:30
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 17:30
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 21:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 21:50
Virgin Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 07:50
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 18:30
LiveScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 07:50
PMU (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 07:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 00:50
BetUS🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 08:50
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.31%E -2.53%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 22:40
TAB🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 22:10
Caesars🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.26%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.57%E -1.95%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 22:40
Neds🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.26%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.57%E -1.95%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 22:39
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 22:40
Bet Victor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.88%E -4.58%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-27 07:48
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-05-27 08:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-05-27 08:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-05-27 08:40
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-05-27 08:30
Novig3.91I 25.58%NM 25.10%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.90%1.9%2026-05-27 08:30
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%3.1%2026-05-27 08:40