Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Caty McNally v Belinda Bencic

Inicio: 2026-05-27 09:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

62 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Caty McNally (Local)

Predicción 26.19%3.82momio equitativo
EV +0.315%
Ventaja +0.082%
Kelly +0.111%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.83

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.00%26.34%26.19%28.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.583.603.8330.77%27.94%27.78%26.11%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Belinda Bencic (Visitante)

Predicción 73.81%1.35momio equitativo
EV -2.57%
Ventaja -1.95%
Kelly -8.04%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.32

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.59%73.66%73.81%75.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.251.291.301.3280.00%77.39%76.92%75.76%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Caty McNally (Local): 26.19%; Belinda Bencic (Visitante): 73.81%. Para Caty McNally (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.82. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.83, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.315%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
1xBet🎯3.83I 26.11%NM 25.49%EV +0.315%E +0.082%K +0.111%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.51%EV -3.31%E -2.53%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.4%2026-05-27 08:50
Pinnacle🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.64%EV -0.471%E -0.124%K -0.168%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.36%EV -3.31%E -2.53%K -10.68%G +0.000%2.7%2026-05-27 07:00
SportsBet🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.05%EV -0.471%E -0.124%K -0.168%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.95%EV -6.26%E -4.93%K -23.20%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-27 08:19
Winamax (DE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.74%EV -1.78%E -0.475%K -0.647%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.26%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-25 11:19
FanDuel🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.78%E -0.475%K -0.647%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-27 08:10
BoyleSports🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.78%E -0.475%K -0.647%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 06:30
Paddy Power🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.78%E -0.475%K -0.647%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.74%E -6.19%K -30.96%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-25 00:20
Codere (IT)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.09%E -0.835%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-26 21:09
LowVig.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.09%E -0.835%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-27 07:00
BetOnline.ag🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -3.09%E -0.835%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-27 07:00
Tipico (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.09%E -0.835%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.26%E -4.93%K -23.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-24 20:00
Betclic (FR)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -3.09%E -0.835%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -6.26%E -4.93%K -23.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-27 08:50
GTbets🎯3.67I 27.25%NM 26.31%EV -3.88%E -1.06%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.69%EV -3.31%E -2.53%K -10.68%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-26 08:30
MyBookie.ag🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.51%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 14:19
Marathon Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 08:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.26%E -4.93%K -23.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 07:10
NetBet (FR)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -4.40%E -1.21%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.19%EV -6.26%E -4.93%K -23.20%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 06:00
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.31%E -2.53%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 07:49
Bovada🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -3.31%E -2.53%K -10.68%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-27 08:48
Unibet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 07:50
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 07:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 07:50
Grosvenor🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 07:50
BetRivers🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 07:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 07:50
Casumo🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 07:49
TABtouch🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 07:50
Unibet (NL)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 07:50
Bally Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 07:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 07:50
Svenska Spel🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 07:49
betPARX🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 07:50
BetAnything🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.53%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.47%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-27 07:00
Bet Right🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-27 08:50
Fanatics🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-25 19:20
Unibet (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 01:20
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-27 06:20
Winamax (FR)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.71%E -1.59%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 11:20
Betsson🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 26.19%EV -6.23%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.81%EV -6.26%E -4.93%K -23.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 09:10
NordicBet🎯3.58I 27.93%NM 26.19%EV -6.23%E -1.74%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.81%EV -6.26%E -4.93%K -23.20%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 09:12
DraftKings🎯3.57I 28.01%NM 26.54%EV -6.49%E -1.82%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.46%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 22:40
theScore Bet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -7.02%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.51%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 21:10
Everygame🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -7.02%E -1.98%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.73%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-24 20:50
PlayUp🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-27 07:00
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 17:30
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 17:30
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 21:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-26 21:50
Virgin Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 07:50
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-24 18:30
LiveScore Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 07:50
PMU (FR)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 07:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 00:50
BetUS🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.33%E -2.38%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.51%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-27 08:50
BetMGM🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -3.31%E -2.53%K -10.68%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-25 22:40
TAB🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -4.05%E -3.12%K -13.50%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 22:10
Caesars🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -10.95%E -3.22%K -4.56%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-24 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.26%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.57%E -1.95%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 22:40
Neds🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -12.26%E -3.66%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -2.57%E -1.95%K -8.04%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 22:39
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 22:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -13.57%E -4.11%K -5.90%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -5.53%E -4.32%K -19.73%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 22:40
Bet Victor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.88%E -4.58%K -6.61%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.79%E -3.71%K -16.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-27 07:48
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-05-27 08:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-05-27 08:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-05-27 08:40
Matchbook4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%0.7%2026-05-27 08:30
Novig3.91I 25.58%NM 25.10%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.90%1.9%2026-05-27 08:30
Smarkets4.00I 25.00%NM 24.24%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.76%3.1%2026-05-27 08:40