StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aryna Sabalenka v Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

Matchstart: 2026-05-26 11:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

56 spelbolag (21 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aryna Sabalenka (Hemma)

Prognos 94.07%1.06rättvist odds
EV -2.17%
Fördel -2.09%
Kelly -54.23%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.04

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
89.64%93.95%94.29%97.48%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.001.021.011.04100.00%98.49%99.01%96.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Borta)

Prognos 5.93%16.86rättvist odds
EV +131.34%
Fördel +3.37%
Kelly +3.46%
Tillväxt +4.54%

med antagandet om högsta odds 39.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
2.52%6.05%5.71%10.36%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
9.0016.0915.0039.0011.11%6.22%6.67%2.56%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Aryna Sabalenka (Hemma): 94.07%; Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Borta): 5.93%. För Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 16.86. 23 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 39.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +131.34%.

Spelbolagsodds (56 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
FanDuel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 97.48%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%39.00I 2.56%NM 2.52%EV +131.34%E +3.37%K +3.46%G +4.54%1.6%2026-05-26 10:19
Paddy Power🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.93%E -5.93%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +101.68%E +2.99%K +3.08%G +3.13%2.9%2026-05-26 10:20
DraftKings🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -4.05%E -3.97%K -202.52%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +24.57%E +1.17%K +1.23%G +0.302%2.8%2026-05-26 10:19
BoyleSports🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -4.05%E -3.97%K -202.52%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +24.57%E +1.17%K +1.23%G +0.302%2.8%2026-05-26 10:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +24.57%E +1.17%K +1.23%G +0.302%3.8%2026-05-26 10:20
888sport🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.93%E -5.93%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +24.57%E +1.17%K +1.23%G +0.302%4.8%2026-05-26 10:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.93%E -5.93%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +24.57%E +1.17%K +1.23%G +0.302%4.8%2026-05-26 10:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.93%E -5.93%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +24.57%E +1.17%K +1.23%G +0.302%4.8%2026-05-26 10:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.93%E -5.93%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +24.57%E +1.17%K +1.23%G +0.302%4.8%2026-05-26 10:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -4.05%E -3.97%K -202.52%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +18.64%E +0.932%K +0.981%G +0.183%3.0%2026-05-26 10:19
Coral🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +12.70%E +0.669%K +0.706%G +0.090%4.3%2026-05-26 10:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.82%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.18%EV +9.74%E +0.526%K +0.556%G +0.054%4.4%2026-05-26 10:18
theScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.05%E -3.97%K -202.52%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +6.77%E +0.376%K +0.398%G +0.027%3.6%2026-05-26 10:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +6.77%E +0.376%K +0.398%G +0.027%4.6%2026-05-26 10:20
Unibet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +6.77%E +0.376%K +0.398%G +0.027%4.6%2026-05-26 10:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +6.77%E +0.376%K +0.398%G +0.027%4.6%2026-05-26 10:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +6.77%E +0.376%K +0.398%G +0.027%4.6%2026-05-26 10:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +6.77%E +0.376%K +0.398%G +0.027%4.6%2026-05-26 10:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +6.77%E +0.376%K +0.398%G +0.027%4.6%2026-05-26 10:20
BetMGM🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.54%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.46%EV +3.81%E +0.217%K +0.231%G +0.009%4.7%2026-05-26 10:20
Pinnacle🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.11%E -3.02%K -103.66%G +0.000%17.02I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +0.959%E +0.056%K +0.060%G +0.001%3.0%2026-05-26 10:10
Coolbet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +0.840%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 10:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.37%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%16.93I 5.91%NM 5.63%EV +0.425%E +0.025%K +0.027%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 10:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.04%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%15.93I 6.28%NM 5.96%EV -5.51%E -0.346%K -0.369%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 10:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.11%E -3.02%K -103.66%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -11.02%E -0.735%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 09:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.05%E -3.97%K -202.52%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -11.02%E -0.735%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 10:20
Bovada🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.05%E -3.97%K -202.52%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -11.02%E -0.735%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 10:10
betPARX🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.05%E -3.97%K -202.52%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -11.02%E -0.735%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 10:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -11.02%E -0.735%K -0.787%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 10:20
Fanatics🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -11.02%E -0.735%K -0.787%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 10:20
TAB🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -11.02%E -0.735%K -0.787%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 10:17
1xBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.55%EV -4.05%E -3.97%K -202.52%G +0.000%14.80I 6.76%NM 6.45%EV -12.21%E -0.825%K -0.885%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 09:59
Betsson🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -13.99%E -0.965%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 10:18
Marathon Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -15.47%E -1.09%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 09:58
Bet Right🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.05%E -3.97%K -202.52%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -16.96%E -1.21%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 10:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -16.96%E -1.21%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 09:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.98%EV -4.05%E -3.97%K -202.52%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.02%EV -19.92%E -1.48%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:59
NordicBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV -19.92%E -1.48%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 10:20
William Hill🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.05%E -3.97%K -202.52%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -22.89%E -1.76%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 10:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -22.89%E -1.76%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 10:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -22.89%E -1.76%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 10:20
Bet Victor🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -22.89%E -1.76%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 10:19
GTbets🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.47%EV -4.05%E -3.97%K -202.52%G +0.000%12.52I 7.99%NM 7.53%EV -25.73%E -2.06%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 09:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.05%E -3.97%K -202.52%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -25.85%E -2.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 10:08
Casumo🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.11%E -3.02%K -103.66%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -28.82%E -2.40%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:58
TABtouch🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.11%E -3.02%K -103.66%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -28.82%E -2.40%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:58
Caesars🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.05%E -3.97%K -202.52%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -28.82%E -2.40%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 10:20
Grosvenor🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -31.78%E -2.76%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 10:10
Neds🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.17%E -2.09%K -54.23%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -34.75%E -3.16%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 10:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.17%E -2.09%K -54.23%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -34.75%E -3.16%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 10:04
PlayUp🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.11%E -3.02%K -103.66%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -34.75%E -3.16%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 10:09
Betway🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -34.75%E -3.16%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-26 10:20
LeoVegas🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -34.75%E -3.16%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-26 10:16
Bally Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -3.11%E -3.02%K -103.66%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -37.72%E -3.59%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -37.72%E -3.59%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-26 10:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -2.17%E -2.09%K -54.23%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -46.61%E -5.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 10:14
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Smarkets1.02I 98.04%NM 97.83%46.08I 2.17%NM 2.17%0.2%2026-05-26 10:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 97.83%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.17%0.2%2026-05-26 10:20
Matchbook1.02I 98.04%NM 97.63%42.00I 2.38%NM 2.37%0.4%2026-05-26 10:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 97.51%40.00I 2.50%NM 2.49%0.5%2026-05-26 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.02I 98.04%NM 97.51%40.00I 2.50%NM 2.49%0.5%2026-05-26 10:20
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 96.43%27.03I 3.70%NM 3.57%3.7%2026-05-26 10:19