Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Aryna Sabalenka v Jessica Bouzas Maneiro

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-26 11:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Aryna Sabalenka (Local)

Prévision 94.07%1.06cote équitable
EV -2.17%
Avantage -2.09%
Kelly -54.23%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.04

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
89.64%93.95%94.29%97.48%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.001.021.011.04100.00%98.49%99.01%96.15%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visiteur)

Prévision 5.93%16.86cote équitable
EV +131.34%
Avantage +3.37%
Kelly +3.46%
Croissance +4.54%

avec la cote maximale 39.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
2.52%6.05%5.71%10.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
9.0016.0915.0039.0011.11%6.22%6.67%2.56%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Aryna Sabalenka (Local) : 94.07% ; Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visiteur) : 5.93%. Pour Jessica Bouzas Maneiro (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 16.86. 23 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 39.00, soit une espérance positive de +131.34%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
FanDuel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 97.48%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%39.00I 2.56%NM 2.52%EV +131.34%E +3.37%K +3.46%G +4.54%1.6%2026-05-26 10:19
Paddy Power🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 97.14%EV -5.93%E -5.93%K +0.000%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.86%EV +101.68%E +2.99%K +3.08%G +3.13%2.9%2026-05-26 10:20
DraftKings🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -4.05%E -3.97%K -202.52%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +24.57%E +1.17%K +1.23%G +0.302%2.8%2026-05-26 10:19
BoyleSports🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -4.05%E -3.97%K -202.52%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +24.57%E +1.17%K +1.23%G +0.302%2.8%2026-05-26 10:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +24.57%E +1.17%K +1.23%G +0.302%3.8%2026-05-26 10:20
888sport🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.93%E -5.93%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +24.57%E +1.17%K +1.23%G +0.302%4.8%2026-05-26 10:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.93%E -5.93%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +24.57%E +1.17%K +1.23%G +0.302%4.8%2026-05-26 10:20
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.93%E -5.93%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +24.57%E +1.17%K +1.23%G +0.302%4.8%2026-05-26 10:19
888sport (SE)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.45%EV -5.93%E -5.93%K +0.000%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.55%EV +24.57%E +1.17%K +1.23%G +0.302%4.8%2026-05-26 10:20
Betclic (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.15%EV -4.05%E -3.97%K -202.52%G +0.000%20.00I 5.00%NM 4.85%EV +18.64%E +0.932%K +0.981%G +0.183%3.0%2026-05-26 10:19
Coral🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +12.70%E +0.669%K +0.706%G +0.090%4.3%2026-05-26 10:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.82%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%18.50I 5.41%NM 5.18%EV +9.74%E +0.526%K +0.556%G +0.054%4.4%2026-05-26 10:18
theScore Bet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.64%EV -4.05%E -3.97%K -202.52%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.36%EV +6.77%E +0.376%K +0.398%G +0.027%3.6%2026-05-26 10:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +6.77%E +0.376%K +0.398%G +0.027%4.6%2026-05-26 10:20
Unibet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +6.77%E +0.376%K +0.398%G +0.027%4.6%2026-05-26 10:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +6.77%E +0.376%K +0.398%G +0.027%4.6%2026-05-26 10:19
Winamax (DE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +6.77%E +0.376%K +0.398%G +0.027%4.6%2026-05-26 10:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +6.77%E +0.376%K +0.398%G +0.027%4.6%2026-05-26 10:19
Svenska Spel🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.69%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%18.00I 5.56%NM 5.31%EV +6.77%E +0.376%K +0.398%G +0.027%4.6%2026-05-26 10:20
BetMGM🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.54%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.46%EV +3.81%E +0.217%K +0.231%G +0.009%4.7%2026-05-26 10:20
Pinnacle🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.11%E -3.02%K -103.66%G +0.000%17.02I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV +0.959%E +0.056%K +0.060%G +0.001%3.0%2026-05-26 10:10
Coolbet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +0.840%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 10:20
BetOnline.ag🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.37%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%16.93I 5.91%NM 5.63%EV +0.425%E +0.025%K +0.027%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 10:10
LowVig.ag🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.04%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%15.93I 6.28%NM 5.96%EV -5.51%E -0.346%K -0.369%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 10:10
Codere (IT)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 93.57%EV -3.11%E -3.02%K -103.66%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.43%EV -11.02%E -0.735%K -0.787%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-26 09:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.05%E -3.97%K -202.52%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -11.02%E -0.735%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 10:20
Bovada🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.05%E -3.97%K -202.52%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -11.02%E -0.735%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 10:10
betPARX🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -4.05%E -3.97%K -202.52%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -11.02%E -0.735%K -0.787%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-26 10:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -11.02%E -0.735%K -0.787%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 10:20
Fanatics🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -11.02%E -0.735%K -0.787%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 10:20
TAB🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -11.02%E -0.735%K -0.787%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 10:17
1xBet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.55%EV -4.05%E -3.97%K -202.52%G +0.000%14.80I 6.76%NM 6.45%EV -12.21%E -0.825%K -0.885%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 09:59
Betsson🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -13.99%E -0.965%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-26 10:18
Marathon Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -15.47%E -1.09%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 09:58
Bet Right🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.05%E -3.97%K -202.52%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -16.96%E -1.21%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 10:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.27%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.73%EV -16.96%E -1.21%K -1.30%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 09:59
Unibet (FR)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.98%EV -4.05%E -3.97%K -202.52%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 7.02%EV -19.92%E -1.48%K -1.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:59
NordicBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.04%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%13.50I 7.41%NM 6.96%EV -19.92%E -1.48%K -1.59%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 10:20
William Hill🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.05%E -3.97%K -202.52%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -22.89%E -1.76%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 10:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -22.89%E -1.76%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 10:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -22.89%E -1.76%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 10:20
Bet Victor🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -22.89%E -1.76%K -1.91%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-26 10:19
GTbets🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.47%EV -4.05%E -3.97%K -202.52%G +0.000%12.52I 7.99%NM 7.53%EV -25.73%E -2.06%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 09:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.46%EV -4.05%E -3.97%K -202.52%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.54%EV -25.85%E -2.07%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 10:08
Casumo🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.11%E -3.02%K -103.66%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -28.82%E -2.40%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:58
TABtouch🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 92.10%EV -3.11%E -3.02%K -103.66%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.90%EV -28.82%E -2.40%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 09:58
Caesars🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.17%EV -4.05%E -3.97%K -202.52%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.83%EV -28.82%E -2.40%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 10:20
Grosvenor🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.93%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.07%EV -31.78%E -2.76%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-26 10:10
Neds🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.17%E -2.09%K -54.23%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -34.75%E -3.16%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 10:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.17%E -2.09%K -54.23%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -34.75%E -3.16%K -3.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 10:04
PlayUp🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.11%E -3.02%K -103.66%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -34.75%E -3.16%K -3.48%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-26 10:09
Betway🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -34.75%E -3.16%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-26 10:20
LeoVegas🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -34.75%E -3.16%K -3.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-26 10:16
Bally Bet🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.07%EV -3.11%E -3.02%K -103.66%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.93%EV -37.72%E -3.59%K -3.97%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 10:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.23%EV -4.99%E -4.94%K -499.11%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.77%EV -37.72%E -3.59%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-26 10:10
Tipico (DE)🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 89.64%EV -2.17%E -2.09%K -54.23%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -46.61%E -5.18%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 10:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.02I 98.04%NM 97.83%46.08I 2.17%NM 2.17%0.2%2026-05-26 10:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 97.83%46.00I 2.17%NM 2.17%0.2%2026-05-26 10:20
Matchbook1.02I 98.04%NM 97.63%42.00I 2.38%NM 2.37%0.4%2026-05-26 10:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 97.51%40.00I 2.50%NM 2.49%0.5%2026-05-26 10:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.02I 98.04%NM 97.51%40.00I 2.50%NM 2.49%0.5%2026-05-26 10:20
Novig1.00I 100.00%NM 96.43%27.03I 3.70%NM 3.57%3.7%2026-05-26 10:19