StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aryna Sabalenka v Elsa Jacquemot

Matchstart: 2026-05-28 16:30 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

50 spelbolag (19 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Aryna Sabalenka (Hemma)

Prognos 94.17%1.06rättvist odds
EV -2.07%
Fördel -1.99%
Kelly -51.69%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 1.04

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
90.74%93.95%94.62%96.67%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
1.001.011.011.04100.00%98.72%99.01%96.15%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Elsa Jacquemot (Borta)

Prognos 5.83%17.14rättvist odds
EV +69.19%
Fördel +2.39%
Kelly +2.47%
Tillväxt +1.71%

med antagandet om högsta odds 29.00

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
3.33%6.05%5.38%9.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
10.0017.2216.0029.0010.00%5.81%6.25%3.45%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Aryna Sabalenka (Hemma): 94.17%; Elsa Jacquemot (Borta): 5.83%. För Elsa Jacquemot (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 17.14. 21 spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån; bästa odds var 29.00, motsvarande ett positivt väntevärde på +69.19%.

Spelbolagsodds (50 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemmaBorta ▼MarginalUppdaterat
Winamax (DE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +69.19%E +2.39%K +2.47%G +1.71%2.5%2026-05-28 16:19
Winamax (FR)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -5.83%E -5.83%K +0.000%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +69.19%E +2.39%K +2.47%G +1.71%3.4%2026-05-28 16:19
DraftKings🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 96.36%EV -3.95%E -3.87%K -197.55%G +0.000%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.64%EV +57.52%E +2.13%K +2.21%G +1.27%1.7%2026-05-28 16:20
theScore Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +51.69%E +1.99%K +2.07%G +1.07%2.9%2026-05-28 16:19
William Hill🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -5.83%E -5.83%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +51.69%E +1.99%K +2.07%G +1.07%3.8%2026-05-28 15:39
Unibet (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +45.86%E +1.83%K +1.91%G +0.876%3.0%2026-05-28 15:39
1xBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +34.19%E +1.49%K +1.55%G +0.531%3.4%2026-05-28 15:59
Neds🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +34.19%E +1.49%K +1.55%G +0.531%3.4%2026-05-28 15:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +34.19%E +1.49%K +1.55%G +0.531%3.4%2026-05-28 15:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.83%EV -5.83%E -5.83%K +0.000%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.17%EV +34.19%E +1.49%K +1.55%G +0.531%4.3%2026-05-28 16:19
Pinnacle🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.62%EV -3.95%E -3.87%K -197.55%G +0.000%22.27I 4.49%NM 4.38%EV +29.93%E +1.34%K +1.41%G +0.421%2.5%2026-05-28 16:00
NetBet (FR)🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.65%EV -5.83%E -5.83%K +0.000%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.35%EV +28.35%E +1.29%K +1.35%G +0.383%4.5%2026-05-28 16:10
BoyleSports🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -3.95%E -3.87%K -197.55%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +22.52%E +1.07%K +1.13%G +0.254%2.8%2026-05-28 15:39
BetMGM🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +22.52%E +1.07%K +1.13%G +0.254%3.8%2026-05-28 16:18
Codere (IT)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +10.85%E +0.571%K +0.603%G +0.065%4.3%2026-05-28 15:39
Coral🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +10.85%E +0.571%K +0.603%G +0.065%4.3%2026-05-28 16:10
Fanatics🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +10.85%E +0.571%K +0.603%G +0.065%4.3%2026-05-28 16:19
Bovada🎯1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -5.83%E -5.83%K +0.000%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +10.85%E +0.571%K +0.603%G +0.065%5.3%2026-05-28 16:08
Coolbet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.62%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%17.75I 5.63%NM 5.38%EV +3.56%E +0.200%K +0.212%G +0.008%4.6%2026-05-28 16:19
BetOnline.ag🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.59%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%17.67I 5.66%NM 5.41%EV +3.09%E +0.175%K +0.185%G +0.006%4.7%2026-05-28 15:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.59%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%17.67I 5.66%NM 5.41%EV +3.09%E +0.175%K +0.185%G +0.006%4.7%2026-05-28 15:39
PlayUp🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.01%E -2.92%K -100.31%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV -0.818%E -0.048%K -0.051%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-28 15:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.95%E -3.87%K -197.55%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -6.65%E -0.416%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-28 15:58
LeoVegas🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.95%E -3.87%K -197.55%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -6.65%E -0.416%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-28 15:59
Unibet (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -6.65%E -0.416%K -0.443%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 16:19
Unibet (NL)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -6.65%E -0.416%K -0.443%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 16:19
Bet Right🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -6.65%E -0.416%K -0.443%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 15:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -6.65%E -0.416%K -0.443%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 16:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -6.65%E -0.416%K -0.443%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 16:19
betPARX🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.95%E -3.87%K -197.55%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -12.49%E -0.832%K -0.892%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 16:17
Betsson🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -12.49%E -0.832%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 16:19
NordicBet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -15.40%E -1.06%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 16:09
Unibet🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -3.95%E -3.87%K -197.55%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -18.32%E -1.31%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 16:20
Casumo🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -3.95%E -3.87%K -197.55%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -18.32%E -1.31%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -3.95%E -3.87%K -197.55%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -18.32%E -1.31%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.95%E -3.87%K -197.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -24.15%E -1.86%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 16:10
TABtouch🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -24.15%E -1.86%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-28 16:19
Caesars🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -24.15%E -1.86%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-28 15:37
LiveScore Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -24.15%E -1.86%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-28 16:19
Grosvenor🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -27.07%E -2.17%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 16:20
Bally Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -27.07%E -2.17%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 16:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -27.07%E -2.17%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 16:20
Bet Victor🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -29.99%E -2.50%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-28 16:18
FanDuel🎯1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.07%E -1.99%K -51.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -35.82%E -3.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 16:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.01%E -2.92%K -100.31%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -35.82%E -3.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 16:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -3.95%E -3.87%K -197.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -35.82%E -3.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-28 16:13
Tipico (DE)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -35.82%E -3.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-28 16:17
Paddy Power🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -3.95%E -3.87%K -197.55%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -38.74%E -3.69%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 16:18
Betway🎯1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -3.95%E -3.87%K -197.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -41.66%E -4.17%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-28 16:19
Betclic (FR)🎯1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -41.66%E -4.17%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-28 16:14
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (6)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Matchbook1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-05-28 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-05-28 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 94.39%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.61%1.9%2026-05-28 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 93.52%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48%2.8%2026-05-28 16:20
Novig1.02I 98.04%NM 95.33%20.83I 4.80%NM 4.67%2.8%2026-05-28 16:20
Smarkets1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%2.9%2026-05-28 16:20