Idioma:Español
Aryna Sabalenka v Elsa Jacquemot
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Aryna Sabalenka (Local)
Predicción 94.17%1.06momio equitativo
EV -2.07%
Ventaja -1.99%
Kelly -51.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.04
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
90.74%93.95%94.62%96.67%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.001.011.011.04100.00%98.72%99.01%96.15%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Elsa Jacquemot (Visitante)
Predicción 5.83%17.14momio equitativo
EV +69.19%
Ventaja +2.39%
Kelly +2.47%
Crecimiento +1.71%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 29.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
3.33%6.05%5.38%9.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
10.0017.2216.0029.0010.00%5.81%6.25%3.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Aryna Sabalenka (Local): 94.17%; Elsa Jacquemot (Visitante): 5.83%. Para Elsa Jacquemot (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 17.14. 21 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 29.00, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +69.19%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +69.19%E +2.39%K +2.47%G +1.71% | 2.5% | 2026-05-28 16:19 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -5.83%E -5.83%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +69.19%E +2.39%K +2.47%G +1.71% | 3.4% | 2026-05-28 16:19 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 96.36%EV -3.95%E -3.87%K -197.55%G +0.000% | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.64%EV +57.52%E +2.13%K +2.21%G +1.27% | 1.7% | 2026-05-28 16:20 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +51.69%E +1.99%K +2.07%G +1.07% | 2.9% | 2026-05-28 16:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -5.83%E -5.83%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +51.69%E +1.99%K +2.07%G +1.07% | 3.8% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000% | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +45.86%E +1.83%K +1.91%G +0.876% | 3.0% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +34.19%E +1.49%K +1.55%G +0.531% | 3.4% | 2026-05-28 15:59 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +34.19%E +1.49%K +1.55%G +0.531% | 3.4% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +34.19%E +1.49%K +1.55%G +0.531% | 3.4% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.83%EV -5.83%E -5.83%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.17%EV +34.19%E +1.49%K +1.55%G +0.531% | 4.3% | 2026-05-28 16:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.62%EV -3.95%E -3.87%K -197.55%G +0.000% | 22.27I 4.49%NM 4.38%EV +29.93%E +1.34%K +1.41%G +0.421% | 2.5% | 2026-05-28 16:00 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.65%EV -5.83%E -5.83%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 22.00I 4.55%NM 4.35%EV +28.35%E +1.29%K +1.35%G +0.383% | 4.5% | 2026-05-28 16:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -3.95%E -3.87%K -197.55%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +22.52%E +1.07%K +1.13%G +0.254% | 2.8% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +22.52%E +1.07%K +1.13%G +0.254% | 3.8% | 2026-05-28 16:18 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +10.85%E +0.571%K +0.603%G +0.065% | 4.3% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +10.85%E +0.571%K +0.603%G +0.065% | 4.3% | 2026-05-28 16:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +10.85%E +0.571%K +0.603%G +0.065% | 4.3% | 2026-05-28 16:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -5.83%E -5.83%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +10.85%E +0.571%K +0.603%G +0.065% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 16:08 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.62%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000% | 17.75I 5.63%NM 5.38%EV +3.56%E +0.200%K +0.212%G +0.008% | 4.6% | 2026-05-28 16:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.59%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000% | 17.67I 5.66%NM 5.41%EV +3.09%E +0.175%K +0.185%G +0.006% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.59%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000% | 17.67I 5.66%NM 5.41%EV +3.09%E +0.175%K +0.185%G +0.006% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.01%E -2.92%K -100.31%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV -0.818%E -0.048%K -0.051%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-05-28 15:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.95%E -3.87%K -197.55%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -6.65%E -0.416%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-28 15:58 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.95%E -3.87%K -197.55%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -6.65%E -0.416%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-28 15:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -6.65%E -0.416%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 16:19 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -6.65%E -0.416%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 16:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -6.65%E -0.416%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 15:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -6.65%E -0.416%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 16:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000% | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -6.65%E -0.416%K -0.443%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 16:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.95%E -3.87%K -197.55%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -12.49%E -0.832%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-28 16:17 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -12.49%E -0.832%K -0.892%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-28 16:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -15.40%E -1.06%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 16:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -3.95%E -3.87%K -197.55%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -18.32%E -1.31%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 16:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -3.95%E -3.87%K -197.55%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -18.32%E -1.31%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 16:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -3.95%E -3.87%K -197.55%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -18.32%E -1.31%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 16:20 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.95%E -3.87%K -197.55%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -24.15%E -1.86%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-28 16:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -24.15%E -1.86%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-28 16:19 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -24.15%E -1.86%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-28 15:37 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -24.15%E -1.86%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-28 16:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -27.07%E -2.17%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 16:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -27.07%E -2.17%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 16:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -27.07%E -2.17%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-28 16:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -29.99%E -2.50%K -2.73%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-28 16:18 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.07%E -1.99%K -51.69%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -35.82%E -3.26%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-28 16:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.01%E -2.92%K -100.31%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -35.82%E -3.26%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 16:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -3.95%E -3.87%K -197.55%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -35.82%E -3.26%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-28 16:13 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -35.82%E -3.26%K -3.58%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-28 16:17 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -3.95%E -3.87%K -197.55%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -38.74%E -3.69%K -4.08%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-28 16:18 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -3.95%E -3.87%K -197.55%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -41.66%E -4.17%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-28 16:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -41.66%E -4.17%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-28 16:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-05-28 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60% | 1.0% | 2026-05-28 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 94.39% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.61% | 1.9% | 2026-05-28 16:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.04I 96.15%NM 93.52% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48% | 2.8% | 2026-05-28 16:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 95.33% | 20.83I 4.80%NM 4.67% | 2.8% | 2026-05-28 16:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47% | 2.9% | 2026-05-28 16:20 |