A Escola das Odds

Aryna Sabalenka v Elsa Jacquemot

Início: 2026-05-28 16:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

50 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Aryna Sabalenka (Local)

Previsão 94.17%1.06odd justa
EV -2.07%
Vantagem -1.99%
Kelly -51.69%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.04

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
90.74%93.95%94.62%96.67%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.001.011.011.04100.00%98.72%99.01%96.15%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Elsa Jacquemot (Visitante)

Previsão 5.83%17.14odd justa
EV +69.19%
Vantagem +2.39%
Kelly +2.47%
Crescimento +1.71%

pressupondo odds máximas de 29.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
3.33%6.05%5.38%9.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
10.0017.2216.0029.0010.00%5.81%6.25%3.45%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (50 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)1.01I 99.01%NM 96.63%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.37%EV +69.19%E +2.39%K +2.47%G +1.71%2.5%2026-05-28 16:19
Winamax (FR)1.00I 100.00%NM 96.67%EV -5.83%E -5.83%K +0.000%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.33%EV +69.19%E +2.39%K +2.47%G +1.71%3.4%2026-05-28 16:19
DraftKings1.02I 98.04%NM 96.36%EV -3.95%E -3.87%K -197.55%G +0.000%27.00I 3.70%NM 3.64%EV +57.52%E +2.13%K +2.21%G +1.27%1.7%2026-05-28 16:20
theScore Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 96.26%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.74%EV +51.69%E +1.99%K +2.07%G +1.07%2.9%2026-05-28 16:19
William Hill1.00I 100.00%NM 96.30%EV -5.83%E -5.83%K +0.000%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.70%EV +51.69%E +1.99%K +2.07%G +1.07%3.8%2026-05-28 15:39
Unibet (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 96.12%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%25.00I 4.00%NM 3.88%EV +45.86%E +1.83%K +1.91%G +0.876%3.0%2026-05-28 15:39
1xBet1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +34.19%E +1.49%K +1.55%G +0.531%3.4%2026-05-28 15:59
Neds1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +34.19%E +1.49%K +1.55%G +0.531%3.4%2026-05-28 15:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.01I 99.01%NM 95.79%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.21%EV +34.19%E +1.49%K +1.55%G +0.531%3.4%2026-05-28 15:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.00I 100.00%NM 95.83%EV -5.83%E -5.83%K +0.000%G +0.000%23.00I 4.35%NM 4.17%EV +34.19%E +1.49%K +1.55%G +0.531%4.3%2026-05-28 16:19
Pinnacle1.02I 98.04%NM 95.62%EV -3.95%E -3.87%K -197.55%G +0.000%22.27I 4.49%NM 4.38%EV +29.93%E +1.34%K +1.41%G +0.421%2.5%2026-05-28 16:00
NetBet (FR)1.00I 100.00%NM 95.65%EV -5.83%E -5.83%K +0.000%G +0.000%22.00I 4.55%NM 4.35%EV +28.35%E +1.29%K +1.35%G +0.383%4.5%2026-05-28 16:10
BoyleSports1.02I 98.04%NM 95.37%EV -3.95%E -3.87%K -197.55%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.63%EV +22.52%E +1.07%K +1.13%G +0.254%2.8%2026-05-28 15:39
BetMGM1.01I 99.01%NM 95.41%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.59%EV +22.52%E +1.07%K +1.13%G +0.254%3.8%2026-05-28 16:18
Codere (IT)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +10.85%E +0.571%K +0.603%G +0.065%4.3%2026-05-28 15:39
Coral1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +10.85%E +0.571%K +0.603%G +0.065%4.3%2026-05-28 16:10
Fanatics1.01I 99.01%NM 94.95%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.05%EV +10.85%E +0.571%K +0.603%G +0.065%4.3%2026-05-28 16:19
Bovada1.00I 100.00%NM 95.00%EV -5.83%E -5.83%K +0.000%G +0.000%19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +10.85%E +0.571%K +0.603%G +0.065%5.3%2026-05-28 16:08
Coolbet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.62%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%17.75I 5.63%NM 5.38%EV +3.56%E +0.200%K +0.212%G +0.008%4.6%2026-05-28 16:19
BetOnline.ag1.01I 99.01%NM 94.59%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%17.67I 5.66%NM 5.41%EV +3.09%E +0.175%K +0.185%G +0.006%4.7%2026-05-28 15:39
LowVig.ag1.01I 99.01%NM 94.59%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%17.67I 5.66%NM 5.41%EV +3.09%E +0.175%K +0.185%G +0.006%4.7%2026-05-28 15:39
PlayUp1.03I 97.09%NM 94.29%EV -3.01%E -2.92%K -100.31%G +0.000%17.00I 5.88%NM 5.71%EV -0.818%E -0.048%K -0.051%G +0.000%3.0%2026-05-28 15:49
LeoVegas (SE)1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.95%E -3.87%K -197.55%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -6.65%E -0.416%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-28 15:58
LeoVegas1.02I 98.04%NM 94.01%EV -3.95%E -3.87%K -197.55%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.99%EV -6.65%E -0.416%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-28 15:59
Unibet (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -6.65%E -0.416%K -0.443%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 16:19
Unibet (NL)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -6.65%E -0.416%K -0.443%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 16:19
Bet Right1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -6.65%E -0.416%K -0.443%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 15:39
ATG (SE)1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -6.65%E -0.416%K -0.443%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 16:19
Hard Rock Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 94.06%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%16.00I 6.25%NM 5.94%EV -6.65%E -0.416%K -0.443%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 16:19
betPARX1.02I 98.04%NM 93.63%EV -3.95%E -3.87%K -197.55%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.37%EV -12.49%E -0.832%K -0.892%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-28 16:17
Betsson1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -12.49%E -0.832%K -0.892%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 16:19
NordicBet1.01I 99.01%NM 93.49%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%14.50I 6.90%NM 6.51%EV -15.40%E -1.06%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 16:09
Unibet1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -3.95%E -3.87%K -197.55%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -18.32%E -1.31%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 16:20
Casumo1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -3.95%E -3.87%K -197.55%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -18.32%E -1.31%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 16:20
Svenska Spel1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -3.95%E -3.87%K -197.55%G +0.000%14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -18.32%E -1.31%K -1.41%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 16:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -3.95%E -3.87%K -197.55%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -24.15%E -1.86%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 16:10
TABtouch1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -24.15%E -1.86%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-28 16:19
Caesars1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -24.15%E -1.86%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-28 15:37
LiveScore Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 92.79%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -24.15%E -1.86%K -2.01%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-28 16:19
Grosvenor1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -27.07%E -2.17%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 16:20
Bally Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -27.07%E -2.17%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 16:20
Virgin Bet1.01I 99.01%NM 92.52%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%12.50I 8.00%NM 7.48%EV -27.07%E -2.17%K -2.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-28 16:20
Bet Victor1.01I 99.01%NM 92.24%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.76%EV -29.99%E -2.50%K -2.73%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-28 16:18
FanDuel1.04I 96.15%NM 91.36%EV -2.07%E -1.99%K -51.69%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.64%EV -35.82%E -3.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-28 16:20
PointsBet (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 91.44%EV -3.01%E -2.92%K -100.31%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV -35.82%E -3.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 16:19
Betr (AU)1.02I 98.04%NM 91.51%EV -3.95%E -3.87%K -197.55%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV -35.82%E -3.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-28 16:13
Tipico (DE)1.01I 99.01%NM 91.59%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.41%EV -35.82%E -3.26%K -3.58%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-28 16:17
Paddy Power1.02I 98.04%NM 91.15%EV -3.95%E -3.87%K -197.55%G +0.000%10.50I 9.52%NM 8.85%EV -38.74%E -3.69%K -4.08%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-28 16:18
Betway1.02I 98.04%NM 90.74%EV -3.95%E -3.87%K -197.55%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.26%EV -41.66%E -4.17%K -4.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-28 16:19
Betclic (FR)1.01I 99.01%NM 90.83%EV -4.89%E -4.84%K -489.26%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.17%EV -41.66%E -4.17%K -4.63%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-28 16:14
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-05-28 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 93.40%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.60%1.0%2026-05-28 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 94.39%17.50I 5.71%NM 5.61%1.9%2026-05-28 16:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 93.52%15.00I 6.67%NM 6.48%2.8%2026-05-28 16:20
Novig1.02I 98.04%NM 95.33%20.83I 4.80%NM 4.67%2.8%2026-05-28 16:20
Smarkets1.05I 95.24%NM 92.53%13.00I 7.69%NM 7.47%2.9%2026-05-28 16:20