Language:English
Anna Kalinskaya v Alina Korneeva
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Anna Kalinskaya (Local)
Prediction 68.01%1.47fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -1.43%
Kelly -4.69%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.44
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
66.27%68.09%68.01%70.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.331.391.401.4475.19%72.07%71.43%69.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Alina Korneeva (Visit)
Prediction 31.99%3.13fair odd
EV +2.36%
Edge +0.739%
Kelly +1.07%
Growth +0.025%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.36%31.91%31.99%33.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.993.003.2036.36%33.45%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Anna Kalinskaya (Local): 68.01%; Alina Korneeva (Visit): 31.99%. For Alina Korneeva (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.13. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.20, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.36%.
Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -9.55%E -7.18%K -28.92%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +2.36%E +0.739%K +1.07%G +0.025% | 6.4% | 2026-05-28 12:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.834%E -0.269%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 12:59 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.834%E -0.269%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 13:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.834%E -0.269%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 13:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.834%E -0.269%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 12:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.834%E -0.269%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 12:59 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.834%E -0.269%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 13:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.834%E -0.269%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 12:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.834%E -0.269%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 13:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.834%E -0.269%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 13:00 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.834%E -0.269%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 13:00 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.834%E -0.269%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 13:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.834%E -0.269%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 12:59 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -9.55%E -7.18%K -28.92%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -0.834%E -0.269%K -0.397%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-28 12:39 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.42%E -2.41%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.43%E -0.798%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-05-28 12:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.10%E -2.91%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.43%E -0.798%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-28 12:39 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.10%E -2.91%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.43%E -0.798%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-05-28 12:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.43%E -0.798%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 12:39 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.43%E -0.798%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-28 12:39 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -2.43%E -0.798%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 13:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -2.43%E -0.798%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 12:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.85%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -2.43%E -0.798%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 12:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.86%EV -2.06%E -1.43%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 32.14%EV -2.75%E -0.906%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 2.3% | 2026-05-28 12:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.71%EV -2.06%E -1.43%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 32.29%EV -3.39%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-05-28 13:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.56%EV -6.14%E -4.45%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.44%EV -3.71%E -1.23%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-28 12:50 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 12:39 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 12:40 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-28 12:39 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.82%E -4.98%K -18.45%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 12:59 |
| MyBookie.ag🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -4.35%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 12:39 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -4.35%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-28 12:33 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -4.10%E -2.91%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -4.67%E -1.57%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-28 12:40 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -5.46%E -3.93%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -4.67%E -1.57%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 13:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.28%EV -6.14%E -4.45%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.72%EV -4.99%E -1.68%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-28 12:39 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 13:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-28 12:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.46%E -3.93%K -14.01%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-28 12:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -6.14%E -4.45%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -5.95%E -2.02%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 12:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -6.14%E -4.45%K -16.17%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -5.95%E -2.02%K -3.07%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-28 12:39 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 12:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 12:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 12:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 12:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 12:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 12:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 12:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 12:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-28 12:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.87%E -2.73%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 12:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.87%E -2.73%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-28 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.19%E -2.85%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-28 12:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.42%E -2.41%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 12:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.42%E -2.41%K -8.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-28 12:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.43%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-28 12:59 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.43%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-28 12:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.03%E -4.37%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-28 13:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 0.3% | 2026-05-28 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17% | 0.3% | 2026-05-28 13:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-05-28 13:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87% | 1.2% | 2026-05-28 13:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.42% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.58% | 1.5% | 2026-05-28 13:16 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07% | 2.2% | 2026-05-28 13:00 |