La escuela de los momios

Anna Kalinskaya v Alina Korneeva

Inicio: 2026-05-28 13:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Anna Kalinskaya (Local)

Predicción 68.01%1.47momio equitativo
EV -2.06%
Ventaja -1.43%
Kelly -4.69%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
66.27%68.09%68.01%70.64%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.331.391.401.4475.19%72.07%71.43%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Alina Korneeva (Visitante)

Predicción 31.99%3.13momio equitativo
EV +2.36%
Ventaja +0.739%
Kelly +1.07%
Crecimiento +0.025%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.36%31.91%31.99%33.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.993.003.2036.36%33.45%33.33%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
BoyleSports1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -9.55%E -7.18%K -28.92%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV +2.36%E +0.739%K +1.07%G +0.025%6.4%2026-05-28 12:39
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.834%E -0.269%K -0.397%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 12:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.834%E -0.269%K -0.397%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 13:00
Casumo1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.834%E -0.269%K -0.397%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 13:00
Grosvenor1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.834%E -0.269%K -0.397%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 12:59
Unibet (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.834%E -0.269%K -0.397%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 12:59
Unibet (NL)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.834%E -0.269%K -0.397%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 13:00
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.834%E -0.269%K -0.397%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 12:59
LeoVegas1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.834%E -0.269%K -0.397%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 13:00
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.834%E -0.269%K -0.397%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 13:00
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.834%E -0.269%K -0.397%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 13:00
Svenska Spel1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.834%E -0.269%K -0.397%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 13:00
Bally Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -0.834%E -0.269%K -0.397%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 12:59
Caesars1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -9.55%E -7.18%K -28.92%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -0.834%E -0.269%K -0.397%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-28 12:39
Coolbet1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -3.42%E -2.41%K -8.15%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -2.43%E -0.798%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-28 12:40
Winamax (DE)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.10%E -2.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.43%E -0.798%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-28 12:39
Codere (IT)1.41I 70.92%NM 68.39%EV -4.10%E -2.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.61%EV -2.43%E -0.798%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.7%2026-05-28 12:39
BetOnline.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.43%E -0.798%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-28 12:39
LowVig.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -2.43%E -0.798%K -1.19%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-28 12:39
PMU (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -2.43%E -0.798%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 13:00
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -2.43%E -0.798%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 12:59
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -7.50%E -5.52%K -20.85%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -2.43%E -0.798%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 12:59
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 67.86%EV -2.06%E -1.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 32.14%EV -2.75%E -0.906%K -1.35%G +0.000%2.3%2026-05-28 12:40
1xBet1.44I 69.44%NM 67.71%EV -2.06%E -1.43%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 32.29%EV -3.39%E -1.12%K -1.68%G +0.000%2.6%2026-05-28 13:09
DraftKings1.38I 72.46%NM 68.56%EV -6.14%E -4.45%K -16.17%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.44%EV -3.71%E -1.23%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-28 12:50
Unibet (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-28 12:39
BetUS1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-28 12:40
BetAnything1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-28 12:39
Betclic (FR)1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -6.82%E -4.98%K -18.45%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -4.03%E -1.34%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 12:59
MyBookie.ag1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -4.35%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 12:39
SportsBet1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -4.35%E -1.46%K -2.19%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-28 12:33
FanDuel1.41I 70.92%NM 67.88%EV -4.10%E -2.91%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 32.12%EV -4.67%E -1.57%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-28 12:40
Marathon Bet1.39I 71.94%NM 68.19%EV -5.46%E -3.93%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.81%EV -4.67%E -1.57%K -2.36%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 13:19
NetBet (FR)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.28%EV -6.14%E -4.45%K -16.17%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.72%EV -4.99%E -1.68%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-28 12:39
Bet Right1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 13:09
Fanatics1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-28 12:40
Winamax (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -5.46%E -3.93%K -14.01%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -5.63%E -1.91%K -2.89%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-28 12:39
Betsson1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -6.14%E -4.45%K -16.17%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -5.95%E -2.02%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 12:39
NordicBet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.06%EV -6.14%E -4.45%K -16.17%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.94%EV -5.95%E -2.02%K -3.07%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-28 12:39
Betr (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 12:59
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 12:40
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 12:39
BetMGM1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 12:40
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 12:39
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 12:40
theScore Bet1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 12:40
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 12:39
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -7.23%E -2.49%K -3.81%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-28 12:40
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.87%E -2.73%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 12:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -7.87%E -2.73%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-28 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -8.19%E -2.85%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-28 12:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.42%E -2.41%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 12:40
Neds1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -3.42%E -2.41%K -8.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -8.83%E -3.10%K -4.77%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-28 12:39
Bet Victor1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.43%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-28 12:59
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -10.43%E -3.73%K -5.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-28 12:39
Betway1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -4.78%E -3.42%K -11.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -12.03%E -4.37%K -6.87%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-28 13:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-05-28 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.47I 68.03%NM 67.83%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.17%0.3%2026-05-28 13:20
Matchbook1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-05-28 13:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 68.13%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.87%1.2%2026-05-28 13:20
Novig1.44I 69.44%NM 68.42%3.12I 32.05%NM 31.58%1.5%2026-05-28 13:16
Smarkets1.44I 69.44%NM 67.93%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.07%2.2%2026-05-28 13:00