Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ann Li v Shuai Zhang

Kickoff: 2026-05-26 12:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ann Li (Local)

Prediction 71.62%1.40fair odd
EV -0.443%
Edge -0.319%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.39

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.78%71.71%71.42%76.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.321.321.3981.97%75.94%75.76%71.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Shuai Zhang (Visit)

Prediction 28.38%3.52fair odd
EV +13.51%
Edge +3.38%
Kelly +4.50%
Growth +0.608%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.37%28.29%28.58%31.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.853.333.254.0035.09%30.00%30.77%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ann Li (Local): 71.62%; Shuai Zhang (Visit): 28.38%. For Shuai Zhang (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.52. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +13.51%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
888sport (SE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -12.62%E -10.34%K -57.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +13.51%E +3.38%K +4.50%G +0.608%7.0%2026-05-26 11:20
Betway🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -12.62%E -10.34%K -57.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV +7.83%E +2.06%K +2.80%G +0.219%8.3%2026-05-26 11:20
Bovada🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -7.61%E -5.90%K -26.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +6.41%E +1.71%K +2.33%G +0.149%4.2%2026-05-26 11:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -9.04%E -7.12%K -33.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +6.41%E +1.71%K +2.33%G +0.149%5.4%2026-05-26 11:20
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -10.47%E -8.38%K -41.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +6.41%E +1.71%K +2.33%G +0.149%6.7%2026-05-26 11:20
Paddy Power🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -12.62%E -10.34%K -57.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV +6.41%E +1.71%K +2.33%G +0.149%8.6%2026-05-26 11:20
NordicBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 75.25%EV -11.90%E -9.68%K -51.75%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.75%EV +6.13%E +1.64%K +2.24%G +0.137%8.0%2026-05-26 11:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -10.47%E -8.38%K -41.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV +3.57%E +0.979%K +1.35%G +0.048%7.4%2026-05-26 11:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -10.47%E -8.38%K -41.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV +3.57%E +0.979%K +1.35%G +0.048%7.4%2026-05-26 11:20
Grosvenor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -10.47%E -8.38%K -41.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV +3.57%E +0.979%K +1.35%G +0.048%7.4%2026-05-26 11:20
Bally Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -10.47%E -8.38%K -41.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV +3.57%E +0.979%K +1.35%G +0.048%7.4%2026-05-26 11:20
Coolbet🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -7.61%E -5.90%K -26.23%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV +3.29%E +0.904%K +1.25%G +0.041%5.0%2026-05-26 11:20
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.61%E -5.90%K -26.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.16%E +0.599%K +0.829%G +0.018%5.3%2026-05-26 11:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -9.04%E -7.12%K -33.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV +2.16%E +0.599%K +0.829%G +0.018%6.5%2026-05-26 11:20
888sport🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.61%E -5.90%K -26.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.683%E -0.195%K -0.273%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 11:20
BetMGM🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.61%E -5.90%K -26.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.683%E -0.195%K -0.273%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 11:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -9.04%E -7.12%K -33.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -0.683%E -0.195%K -0.273%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 11:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.17%E -4.71%K -19.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.52%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 11:10
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.89%E -5.30%K -22.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.52%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 11:20
BoyleSports🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.61%E -5.90%K -26.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -3.52%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 11:19
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.25%EV -2.59%E -1.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.75%EV -4.37%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-26 11:10
Unibet (NL)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.46%E -4.13%K -17.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.94%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 11:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.46%E -4.13%K -17.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.94%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 11:20
Fliff🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -9.04%E -7.12%K -33.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -4.94%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-26 11:20
Caesars🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.17%E -4.71%K -19.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 11:20
SportsBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -4.02%E -3.00%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -7.21%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 11:09
BetRivers🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.31%E -2.45%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 11:02
Casumo🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.31%E -2.45%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 11:09
TABtouch🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.31%E -2.45%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 11:09
NetBet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.74%E -3.56%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 11:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.74%E -3.56%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 11:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.17%E -4.71%K -19.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 11:10
GTbets🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 69.98%EV -0.443%E -0.319%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 30.02%EV -8.06%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-26 10:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -1.88%E -1.37%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -9.20%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 10:59
PlayUp🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.59%E -1.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -9.20%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 10:58
Bet Right🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.31%E -2.45%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.20%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 11:09
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.74%E -3.56%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.20%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 11:20
Everygame🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.74%E -3.56%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.20%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 11:09
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.46%E -4.13%K -17.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.20%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 11:20
1xBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -2.59%E -1.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -9.48%E -2.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 10:59
Betclic (FR)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.60%EV -5.46%E -4.13%K -17.05%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.40%EV -10.05%E -3.17%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 11:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.59%E -1.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 10:58
Fanatics🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.31%E -2.45%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 11:20
DraftKings🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.57%EV -2.59%E -1.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.43%EV -11.75%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 11:19
William Hill🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.59%E -1.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 11:04
Coral🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.74%E -3.56%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 11:20
Betsson🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.07%EV -5.46%E -4.13%K -17.05%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 29.93%EV -12.32%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-26 11:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -0.443%E -0.319%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV -12.60%E -4.09%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 11:13
LowVig.ag🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -0.443%E -0.319%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV -12.60%E -4.09%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 11:14
Neds🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -1.16%E -0.840%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -13.45%E -4.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 11:06
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -1.16%E -0.840%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -13.45%E -4.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 11:06
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -2.59%E -1.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -13.45%E -4.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 11:20
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -2.59%E -1.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -13.45%E -4.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 11:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -2.59%E -1.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -13.45%E -4.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 11:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -1.16%E -0.840%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -13.74%E -4.52%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 11:02
Winamax (DE)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -5.46%E -4.13%K -17.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -14.87%E -4.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-26 11:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 68.84%EV -7.61%E -5.90%K -26.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.16%EV -19.13%E -6.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-26 11:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-05-26 11:20
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-05-26 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-05-26 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-05-26 11:20
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.6%2026-05-26 11:20
Novig1.27I 78.74%NM 73.76%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.24%6.8%2026-05-26 11:20