La escuela de los momios

Ann Li v Shuai Zhang

Inicio: 2026-05-26 12:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Ann Li (Local)

Predicción 71.62%1.40momio equitativo
EV -0.443%
Ventaja -0.319%
Kelly -1.14%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.39

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.78%71.71%71.42%76.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.321.321.3981.97%75.94%75.76%71.94%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Shuai Zhang (Visitante)

Predicción 28.38%3.52momio equitativo
EV +13.51%
Ventaja +3.38%
Kelly +4.50%
Crecimiento +0.608%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.37%28.29%28.58%31.22%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.853.333.254.0035.09%30.00%30.77%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
888sport (SE)1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -12.62%E -10.34%K -57.36%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +13.51%E +3.38%K +4.50%G +0.608%7.0%2026-05-26 11:20
Betway1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -12.62%E -10.34%K -57.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV +7.83%E +2.06%K +2.80%G +0.219%8.3%2026-05-26 11:20
Bovada1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -7.61%E -5.90%K -26.23%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV +6.41%E +1.71%K +2.33%G +0.149%4.2%2026-05-26 11:19
Unibet (SE)1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -9.04%E -7.12%K -33.47%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV +6.41%E +1.71%K +2.33%G +0.149%5.4%2026-05-26 11:20
theScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -10.47%E -8.38%K -41.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +6.41%E +1.71%K +2.33%G +0.149%6.7%2026-05-26 11:20
Paddy Power1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -12.62%E -10.34%K -57.36%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV +6.41%E +1.71%K +2.33%G +0.149%8.6%2026-05-26 11:20
NordicBet1.23I 81.30%NM 75.25%EV -11.90%E -9.68%K -51.75%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 24.75%EV +6.13%E +1.64%K +2.24%G +0.137%8.0%2026-05-26 11:20
Virgin Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -10.47%E -8.38%K -41.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV +3.57%E +0.979%K +1.35%G +0.048%7.4%2026-05-26 11:20
LiveScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -10.47%E -8.38%K -41.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV +3.57%E +0.979%K +1.35%G +0.048%7.4%2026-05-26 11:20
Grosvenor1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -10.47%E -8.38%K -41.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV +3.57%E +0.979%K +1.35%G +0.048%7.4%2026-05-26 11:20
Bally Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -10.47%E -8.38%K -41.88%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV +3.57%E +0.979%K +1.35%G +0.048%7.4%2026-05-26 11:20
Coolbet1.29I 77.52%NM 73.83%EV -7.61%E -5.90%K -26.23%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 26.17%EV +3.29%E +0.904%K +1.25%G +0.041%5.0%2026-05-26 11:20
FanDuel1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -7.61%E -5.90%K -26.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV +2.16%E +0.599%K +0.829%G +0.018%5.3%2026-05-26 11:20
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -9.04%E -7.12%K -33.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV +2.16%E +0.599%K +0.829%G +0.018%6.5%2026-05-26 11:20
888sport1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.61%E -5.90%K -26.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.683%E -0.195%K -0.273%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 11:20
BetMGM1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.61%E -5.90%K -26.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -0.683%E -0.195%K -0.273%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-26 11:20
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -9.04%E -7.12%K -33.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -0.683%E -0.195%K -0.273%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 11:20
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -6.17%E -4.71%K -19.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -3.52%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 11:10
Bet Victor1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.89%E -5.30%K -22.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -3.52%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 11:20
BoyleSports1.29I 77.52%NM 72.49%EV -7.61%E -5.90%K -26.23%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -3.52%E -1.04%K -1.47%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-26 11:19
Pinnacle1.36I 73.53%NM 71.25%EV -2.59%E -1.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.75%EV -4.37%E -1.30%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.2%2026-05-26 11:10
Unibet (NL)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.46%E -4.13%K -17.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.94%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 11:20
Svenska Spel1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.46%E -4.13%K -17.05%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -4.94%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-26 11:20
Fliff1.27I 78.74%NM 72.51%EV -9.04%E -7.12%K -33.47%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -4.94%E -1.47%K -2.10%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-26 11:20
Caesars1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -6.17%E -4.71%K -19.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -6.36%E -1.93%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-26 11:20
SportsBet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.93%EV -4.02%E -3.00%K -11.84%G +0.000%3.27I 30.58%NM 29.07%EV -7.21%E -2.20%K -3.18%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-26 11:09
BetRivers1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.31%E -2.45%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 11:02
Casumo1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.31%E -2.45%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 11:09
TABtouch1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -3.31%E -2.45%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 11:09
NetBet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.74%E -3.56%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 11:00
Mr Green (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.74%E -3.56%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-26 11:20
Betr (AU)1.31I 76.34%NM 71.27%EV -6.17%E -4.71%K -19.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -7.78%E -2.39%K -3.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-26 11:10
GTbets1.39I 71.94%NM 69.98%EV -0.443%E -0.319%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.24I 30.86%NM 30.02%EV -8.06%E -2.49%K -3.60%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-26 10:59
Codere (IT)1.37I 72.99%NM 70.02%EV -1.88%E -1.37%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.98%EV -9.20%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-26 10:59
PlayUp1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -2.59%E -1.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -9.20%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-26 10:58
Bet Right1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -3.31%E -2.45%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -9.20%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 11:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.74%E -3.56%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.20%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 11:20
Everygame1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -4.74%E -3.56%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -9.20%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-26 11:09
TAB1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV -5.46%E -4.13%K -17.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -9.20%E -2.87%K -4.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-26 11:20
1xBet1.36I 73.53%NM 70.11%EV -2.59%E -1.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.89%EV -9.48%E -2.97%K -4.33%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-26 10:59
Betclic (FR)1.32I 75.76%NM 70.60%EV -5.46%E -4.13%K -17.05%G +0.000%3.17I 31.55%NM 29.40%EV -10.05%E -3.17%K -4.63%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-26 11:20
Unibet (FR)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -2.59%E -1.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 10:58
Fanatics1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -3.31%E -2.45%K -9.45%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -10.61%E -3.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 11:20
DraftKings1.36I 73.53%NM 69.57%EV -2.59%E -1.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.11I 32.15%NM 30.43%EV -11.75%E -3.78%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-26 11:19
William Hill1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -2.59%E -1.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-26 11:04
Coral1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.74%E -3.56%K -14.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.03%E -3.88%K -5.73%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-26 11:20
Betsson1.32I 75.76%NM 70.07%EV -5.46%E -4.13%K -17.05%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 29.93%EV -12.32%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-26 11:10
BetOnline.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -0.443%E -0.319%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV -12.60%E -4.09%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 11:13
LowVig.ag1.39I 71.94%NM 68.90%EV -0.443%E -0.319%K -1.14%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 31.10%EV -12.60%E -4.09%K -6.06%G +0.000%4.4%2026-05-26 11:14
Neds1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -1.16%E -0.840%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -13.45%E -4.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 11:06
Ladbrokes (AU)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -1.16%E -0.840%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -13.45%E -4.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-26 11:06
Unibet1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -2.59%E -1.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -13.45%E -4.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 11:20
betPARX1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -2.59%E -1.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -13.45%E -4.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 11:20
ATG (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -2.59%E -1.91%K -7.20%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -13.45%E -4.41%K -6.56%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-26 11:20
Marathon Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -1.16%E -0.840%K -3.05%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -13.74%E -4.52%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-26 11:02
Winamax (DE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.44%EV -5.46%E -4.13%K -17.05%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -14.87%E -4.96%K -7.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-26 11:20
Winamax (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 68.84%EV -7.61%E -5.90%K -26.23%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.16%EV -19.13%E -6.71%K -10.34%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-26 11:20
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.79%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.21%0.7%2026-05-26 11:20
Smarkets1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%0.7%2026-05-26 11:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 74.95%3.95I 25.32%NM 25.05%1.1%2026-05-26 11:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.35I 74.07%NM 73.27%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.73%1.1%2026-05-26 11:20
Matchbook1.26I 79.37%NM 78.13%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.88%1.6%2026-05-26 11:20
Novig1.27I 78.74%NM 73.76%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.24%6.8%2026-05-26 11:20