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Jessica Pegula v Linda Noskova

2026-11-12 21:30 UTC — WTA Finals

Head to Head

36 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Jessica Pegula (Local)

Prediction 49.56%2.02fair odd
EV -0.883%
Edge -0.442%
Kelly -0.883%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%49.45%49.61%52.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.911.912.0055.56%52.31%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Linda Noskova (Visit)

Prediction 50.44%1.98fair odd
EV +0.379%
Edge +0.190%
Kelly +0.383%
Growth +0.001%

assuming max odds 1.99

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.91%50.55%50.39%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.711.861.871.9958.48%53.74%53.62%50.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Jessica Pegula (Local): 49.56%; Linda Noskova (Visit): 50.44%. For Linda Noskova (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.98. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 1.99, producing a positive expected value of +0.379%.

Sportsbook Odds (36 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
GTbets🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -9.31%E -5.09%K -11.21%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV +0.379%E +0.190%K +0.383%G +0.001%4.9%2026-11-11 06:30
DraftKings🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -6.33%E -3.35%K -7.12%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -2.65%E -1.37%K -2.85%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-11 06:30
1xBet🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 49.10%EV -1.87%E -0.947%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.90%EV -3.66%E -1.91%K -4.02%G +0.000%2.9%2026-11-11 07:40
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.66%E -1.91%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-11 06:55
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.66%E -1.91%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-11 07:35
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.66%E -1.91%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-11 06:35
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.66%E -1.91%K -4.02%G +0.000%4.7%2026-11-11 06:35
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.84%E -3.07%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.16%E -2.19%K -4.62%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-11 07:35
PlayUp🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -7.33%E -3.92%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -4.16%E -2.19%K -4.62%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-11 06:55
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.85%E -2.53%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.67%E -2.47%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-11 07:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.85%E -2.53%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.67%E -2.47%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-11 07:40
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -4.85%E -2.53%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -4.67%E -2.47%K -5.24%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-11 07:39
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.85%E -2.53%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.17%E -2.75%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-11 07:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.85%E -2.53%K -5.27%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.17%E -2.75%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-11 07:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.35%E -2.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.67%E -3.03%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-11 07:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.84%E -3.07%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.67%E -3.03%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-11 07:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.84%E -3.07%K -6.49%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -5.67%E -3.03%K -6.52%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-11 06:39
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.33%E -3.92%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.67%E -3.03%K -6.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-11 06:02
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -3.36%E -1.72%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -6.18%E -3.32%K -7.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-11 07:40
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.36%E -1.72%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-11 07:40
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.36%E -1.72%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-11 07:39
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.36%E -1.72%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-11 07:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.36%E -1.72%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-11 07:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.36%E -1.72%K -3.54%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-11 07:40
picklebet_au🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.83%E -3.63%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -6.68%E -3.61%K -7.86%G +0.000%7.2%2026-11-11 07:40
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.883%E -0.442%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-11 06:14
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.883%E -0.442%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-11 06:20
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.34%E -2.80%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.27%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-11 06:15
LeoVegas🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.83%E -3.63%K -7.76%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.27%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-11 07:39
betano_uk🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.33%E -3.92%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-11 07:39
Bet Victor🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -7.33%E -3.92%K -8.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -7.69%E -4.20%K -9.27%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-11 07:37
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -0.883%E -0.442%K -0.883%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -9.20%E -5.11%K -11.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-11 06:24
ReBet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.59%EV -9.31%E -5.09%K -11.21%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.41%EV -9.20%E -5.11%K -11.51%G +0.000%10.2%2026-11-11 07:39
SportsBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -2.37%E -1.20%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -10.21%E -5.74%K -13.09%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-11 06:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 49.72%EV -10.80%E -6.00%K -13.49%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.28%EV -10.21%E -5.74%K -13.09%G +0.000%11.7%2026-11-11 07:40
Unibet (FR)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 48.72%EV -10.80%E -6.00%K -13.49%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 51.28%EV -13.74%E -8.04%K -19.36%G +0.000%14.0%2026-11-11 07:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig◎2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%4.6%2026-11-11 07:05
Smarkets◎1.80I 55.56%NM 49.44%1.76I 56.82%NM 50.56%12.4%2026-11-11 07:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 47.62%1.20I 83.33%NM 52.38%59.1%2026-11-11 06:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 47.62%1.20I 83.33%NM 52.38%59.1%2026-11-11 06:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 47.62%1.20I 83.33%NM 52.38%59.1%2026-11-11 06:00

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