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Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)
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Jessica Pegula v Linda Noskova

2026-11-12 21:30 UTC — WTA Finals

Testa a testa

36 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Jessica Pegula (Casa)

Previsione 48.79%2.05quota equa
EV -2.42%
Vantaggio -1.21%
Kelly -2.42%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.37%48.76%48.82%50.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.831.941.952.0054.64%51.67%51.28%50.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Linda Noskova (Trasferta)

Previsione 51.21%1.95quota equa
EV -2.70%
Vantaggio -1.42%
Kelly -3.00%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.90

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%51.24%51.18%52.63%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.691.831.851.9059.17%54.50%54.20%52.63%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Per Testa a testa, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stima queste probabilità: Jessica Pegula (Casa): 48.79%; Linda Noskova (Trasferta): 51.21%. Per Jessica Pegula (Casa), questa stima equivale a una quota decimale equa di 2.05. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offre una quota superiore a tale livello: la migliore quota disponibile è 2.00, con un valore atteso del -2.42%; non produce valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
1xBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.45%EV -2.42%E -1.21%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 51.55%EV -3.73%E -1.98%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.2%2026-11-11 07:48
FanDuel🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.42%E -1.21%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-11 06:14
Bovada🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.42%E -1.21%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-11 07:49
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -2.42%E -1.21%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.57%G +0.000%4.6%2026-11-11 06:20
theScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.42%E -1.21%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.82%E -4.35%K -9.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-11 07:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.42%E -1.21%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.82%E -4.35%K -9.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-11-11 06:24
SportsBet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 47.47%EV -3.88%E -1.97%K -4.00%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.53%EV -8.85%E -4.97%K -11.34%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-11 06:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -4.37%E -2.23%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -5.77%E -3.14%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.4%2026-11-11 07:49
Fanatics🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -4.86%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -4.24%E -2.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-11-11 07:50
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.86%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.75%E -2.55%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-11 07:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.86%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.75%E -2.55%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-11 07:48
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.86%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.75%E -2.55%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-11 07:50
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -4.86%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -4.75%E -2.55%K -5.52%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-11 07:49
Bet Right🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.86%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.26%E -2.84%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-11 07:50
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.86%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.26%E -2.84%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-11 07:40
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.86%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.26%E -2.84%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-11 07:39
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.86%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.26%E -2.84%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-11 07:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.86%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.26%E -2.84%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-11 07:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.86%E -2.49%K -5.11%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.26%E -2.84%K -6.19%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-11 07:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.35%E -2.76%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -4.24%E -2.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-11 07:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.68%EV -5.35%E -2.76%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.32%EV -5.77%E -3.14%K -6.87%G +0.000%5.9%2026-11-11 07:50
Betr (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.54%EV -5.35%E -2.76%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.46%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-11 07:50
GTbets🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -5.83%E -3.02%K -6.27%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -3.73%E -1.98%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-11-11 07:49
picklebet_au🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.81%E -3.57%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-11 07:50
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.81%E -3.57%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-11 07:50
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.81%E -3.57%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.29%E -3.44%K -7.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-11 06:15
LeoVegas🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.81%E -3.57%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.82%E -4.35%K -9.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-11 07:50
betano_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.81%E -3.57%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.82%E -4.35%K -9.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-11 07:48
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -6.81%E -3.57%K -7.48%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -7.82%E -4.35%K -9.78%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-11 07:44
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.30%E -3.84%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.70%E -1.42%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-11-11 07:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -7.30%E -3.84%K -8.11%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -4.24%E -2.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%6.1%2026-11-11 06:39
PlayUp🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -8.27%E -4.40%K -9.40%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -3.73%E -1.98%K -4.23%G +0.000%6.4%2026-11-11 07:50
Caesars🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.76%E -4.69%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.24%E -2.27%K -4.87%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-11 06:02
ReBet🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 48.76%EV -9.25%E -4.97%K -10.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.24%EV -9.36%E -5.29%K -12.15%G +0.000%10.3%2026-11-11 07:50
Winamax (FR)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 48.89%EV -10.23%E -5.56%K -12.17%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.11%EV -9.87%E -5.61%K -12.99%G +0.000%11.2%2026-11-11 07:49
Unibet (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.01%EV -10.71%E -5.85%K -12.91%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 51.99%EV -13.46%E -7.96%K -19.50%G +0.000%13.8%2026-11-11 07:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Novig◎2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%4.6%2026-11-11 07:05
Smarkets◎1.82I 54.95%NM 48.88%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.12%12.4%2026-11-11 07:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 47.62%1.20I 83.33%NM 52.38%59.1%2026-11-11 06:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 47.62%1.20I 83.33%NM 52.38%59.1%2026-11-11 06:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.32I 75.76%NM 47.62%1.20I 83.33%NM 52.38%59.1%2026-11-11 06:00

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