Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zeynep Sonmez v Amanda Anisimova

Kickoff: 2026-08-15 15:03 UTC

Final: Zeynep Sonmez 0–2 Amanda Anisimova

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Zeynep Sonmez (Local)

Prediction 21.87%4.57fair odd
EV +4.54%
Edge +0.950%
Kelly +1.20%
Growth +0.055%

assuming max odds 4.78

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.33%21.90%21.82%24.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.854.224.204.7825.97%23.69%23.81%20.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Amanda Anisimova (Visit)

Prediction 78.13%1.28fair odd
EV -0.775%
Edge -0.610%
Kelly -2.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.27

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
75.79%78.10%78.18%79.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.221.221.2784.75%81.71%81.97%78.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zeynep Sonmez (Local): 21.87%; Amanda Anisimova (Visit): 78.13%. For Zeynep Sonmez (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.57. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.78, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.54%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯4.78I 20.92%NM 20.33%EV +4.54%E +0.950%K +1.20%G +0.055%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.67%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-15 14:45
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +0.602%E +0.131%K +0.167%G +0.001%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 11:25
1xBet🎯4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -0.710%E -0.156%K -0.201%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -5.46%E -4.51%K -26.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 14:59
BetOnline.ag🎯4.52I 22.12%NM 21.25%EV -1.15%E -0.254%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.75%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 11:29
LowVig.ag🎯4.52I 22.12%NM 21.25%EV -1.15%E -0.254%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.75%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 11:24
Coolbet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.58%E -0.352%K -0.453%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.12%E -2.52%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-15 11:05
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.58%E -0.352%K -0.453%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 11:10
Winamax (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.58%E -0.352%K -0.453%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 11:24
Betclic (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -1.58%E -0.352%K -0.453%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -7.03%E -5.90%K -36.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 14:49
ReBet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -2.68%E -0.602%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.46%E -4.51%K -26.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 14:15
theScore Bet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -2.68%E -0.602%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -6.24%E -5.20%K -31.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 14:55
FanDuel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.77%E -0.857%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 14:09
Marathon Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.77%E -0.857%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.46%E -4.51%K -26.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 11:24
NordicBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.77%E -0.857%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.46%E -4.51%K -26.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 11:24
Unibet (UK)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.77%E -0.857%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.46%E -4.51%K -26.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 11:40
Unibet (FR)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.87%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 11:25
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -5.30%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 06:49
BetMGM🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -5.30%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -5.46%E -4.51%K -26.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 10:15
betfred_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.30%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.24%E -5.20%K -31.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 11:10
Paddy Power🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.30%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.24%E -5.20%K -31.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 14:04
Fanatics🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 14:49
BetUS🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:30
BetAnything🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 11:10
Betr (AU)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.46%E -4.51%K -26.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 11:09
LeoVegas🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.24%E -5.20%K -31.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 11:39
Betsson🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.24%E -5.20%K -31.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 14:59
Tipico (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.81%E -6.62%K -43.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 11:14
DraftKings🎯4.28I 23.36%NM 22.32%EV -6.40%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.68%EV -3.90%E -3.17%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 13:33
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:04
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 08:59
SportsBet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.24%E -5.20%K -31.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 06:44
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.15%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 10:04
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.15%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 10:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.15%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 10:05
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.15%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 06:29
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.15%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 10:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.15%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.24%E -5.20%K -31.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:15
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.15%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.24%E -5.20%K -31.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:15
Caesars🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.15%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.24%E -5.20%K -31.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 14:59
GTbets🎯4.19I 23.87%NM 23.26%EV -8.36%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.74%EV -0.775%E -0.610%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-14 15:29
Unibet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:15
Unibet (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:14
TABtouch🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:14
Svenska Spel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:14
Virgin Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:14
BetRivers🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:14
Unibet (NL)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:15
Casumo🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:15
LiveScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:14
Grosvenor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:14
betPARX🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:14
Bally Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:13
ATG (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:15
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.12%E -2.52%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 14:09
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.12%E -2.52%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 10:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.12%E -2.52%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 10:14
TAB🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 14:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 07:05
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.24%E -5.20%K -31.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:25
betano_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.24%E -5.20%K -31.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:29
PMU (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -15.80%E -4.10%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -3.90%E -3.17%K -16.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 09:14
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%0.4%2026-08-15 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-08-15 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-08-15 15:00
ProphetX4.85I 20.62%NM 20.36%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.64%1.3%2026-08-15 15:00
Novig4.88I 20.49%NM 20.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.87%1.8%2026-08-15 15:00
Matchbook4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%4.2%2026-08-15 15:00