Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Zeynep Sonmez v Amanda Anisimova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-15 15:03 UTC

Score final : Zeynep Sonmez 0–2 Amanda Anisimova

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Zeynep Sonmez (Local)

Prévision 21.87%4.57cote équitable
EV +4.54%
Avantage +0.950%
Kelly +1.20%
Croissance +0.055%

avec la cote maximale 4.78

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.33%21.90%21.82%24.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.854.224.204.7825.97%23.69%23.81%20.92%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Amanda Anisimova (Visiteur)

Prévision 78.13%1.28cote équitable
EV -0.775%
Avantage -0.610%
Kelly -2.87%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.27

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
75.79%78.10%78.18%79.67%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.181.221.221.2784.75%81.71%81.97%78.74%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Zeynep Sonmez (Local) : 21.87% ; Amanda Anisimova (Visiteur) : 78.13%. Pour Zeynep Sonmez (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.57. 2 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.78, soit une espérance positive de +4.54%.

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle🎯4.78I 20.92%NM 20.33%EV +4.54%E +0.950%K +1.20%G +0.055%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.67%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-15 14:45
Winamax (DE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.96%EV +0.602%E +0.131%K +0.167%G +0.001%1.22I 81.97%NM 79.04%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-15 11:25
1xBet🎯4.54I 22.03%NM 21.04%EV -0.710%E -0.156%K -0.201%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.96%EV -5.46%E -4.51%K -26.01%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 14:59
BetOnline.ag🎯4.52I 22.12%NM 21.25%EV -1.15%E -0.254%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.75%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 11:29
LowVig.ag🎯4.52I 22.12%NM 21.25%EV -1.15%E -0.254%K -0.326%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.75%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-15 11:24
Coolbet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.60%EV -1.58%E -0.352%K -0.453%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.40%EV -3.12%E -2.52%K -13.00%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-15 11:05
Bovada🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.58%E -0.352%K -0.453%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 11:10
Winamax (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%EV -1.58%E -0.352%K -0.453%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 11:24
Betclic (FR)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.91%EV -1.58%E -0.352%K -0.453%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.09%EV -7.03%E -5.90%K -36.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-15 14:49
ReBet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.38%EV -2.68%E -0.602%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.62%EV -5.46%E -4.51%K -26.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 14:15
theScore Bet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -2.68%E -0.602%K -0.776%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -6.24%E -5.20%K -31.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 14:55
FanDuel🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.71%EV -3.77%E -0.857%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.29%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 14:09
Marathon Bet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.77%E -0.857%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.46%E -4.51%K -26.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 11:24
NordicBet🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.77%E -0.857%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.46%E -4.51%K -26.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 11:24
Unibet (UK)🎯4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV -3.77%E -0.857%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -5.46%E -4.51%K -26.01%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 11:40
Unibet (FR)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -4.87%E -1.12%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 11:25
Sky Bet🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.98%EV -5.30%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.02%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 06:49
BetMGM🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.84%EV -5.30%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.16%EV -5.46%E -4.51%K -26.01%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 10:15
betfred_uk🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.30%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.24%E -5.20%K -31.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 11:10
Paddy Power🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -5.30%E -1.22%K -1.59%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.24%E -5.20%K -31.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-15 14:04
Fanatics🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 14:49
BetUS🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 10:30
BetAnything🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 11:10
Betr (AU)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.96%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.04%EV -5.46%E -4.51%K -26.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 11:09
LeoVegas🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.24%E -5.20%K -31.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 11:39
Betsson🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.82%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.18%EV -6.24%E -5.20%K -31.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 14:59
Tipico (DE)🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -5.96%E -1.39%K -1.81%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.47%EV -7.81%E -6.62%K -43.37%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 11:14
DraftKings🎯4.28I 23.36%NM 22.32%EV -6.40%E -1.49%K -1.95%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.68%EV -3.90%E -3.17%K -16.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 13:33
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-15 10:04
Betway🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 08:59
SportsBet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV -7.05%E -1.66%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -6.24%E -5.20%K -31.22%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 06:44
888sport🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.15%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 10:04
888sport (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.15%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 10:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.15%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 10:05
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.15%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 06:29
William Hill🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -8.15%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 10:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.15%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.24%E -5.20%K -31.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:15
Coral🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.15%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.24%E -5.20%K -31.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 10:15
Caesars🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -8.15%E -1.94%K -2.55%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.24%E -5.20%K -31.22%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 14:59
GTbets🎯4.19I 23.87%NM 23.26%EV -8.36%E -2.00%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 76.74%EV -0.775%E -0.610%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-14 15:29
Unibet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:15
Unibet (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:14
TABtouch🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:14
Svenska Spel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:14
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:14
Virgin Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:14
BetRivers🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:14
Unibet (NL)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:15
Casumo🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:15
LiveScore Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:14
Grosvenor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:14
betPARX🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:14
Bally Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:13
ATG (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:14
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.34%E -1.87%K -9.35%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 09:15
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.12%E -2.52%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 14:09
Neds🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.12%E -2.52%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 10:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.12%E -2.52%K -13.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 10:14
TAB🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 14:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -4.68%E -3.84%K -21.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 07:05
Bet Victor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.24%E -5.20%K -31.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:25
betano_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -12.52%E -3.13%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.92%EV -6.24%E -5.20%K -31.22%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 11:29
PMU (FR)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -15.80%E -4.10%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -3.90%E -3.17%K -16.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-15 09:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.90I 20.41%NM 20.33%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.67%0.4%2026-08-15 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-08-15 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-08-15 15:00
ProphetX◎4.85I 20.62%NM 20.36%1.24I 80.65%NM 79.64%1.3%2026-08-15 15:00
Novig◎4.88I 20.49%NM 20.13%1.23I 81.30%NM 79.87%1.8%2026-08-15 15:00
Matchbook◎4.50I 22.22%NM 21.33%1.22I 81.97%NM 78.67%4.2%2026-08-15 15:00