The School of Tennis Oddsodds.tennis
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

Yue Yuan v Kayla Day

Kickoff: 2026-08-12 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

12 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Yue Yuan (Local)

Prediction 39.96%2.50fair odd
EV +0.710%
Edge +0.282%
Kelly +0.467%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 2.52

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.54%40.13%40.02%42.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.362.332.5245.45%42.34%43.01%39.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kayla Day (Visit)

Prediction 60.04%1.67fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -1.31%
Kelly -3.40%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.63

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.59%59.87%59.98%61.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.581.581.6365.36%63.39%63.49%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Yue Yuan (Local): 39.96%; Kayla Day (Visit): 60.04%. For Yue Yuan (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.50. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.52, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.710%.

Sportsbook Odds (12 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV +0.710%E +0.282%K +0.467%G +0.003%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -5.14%E -3.26%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-12 13:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.52I 39.68%NM 38.54%EV +0.710%E +0.282%K +0.467%G +0.003%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.46%EV -5.14%E -3.26%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-12 13:25
GTbets🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 39.85%EV -1.69%E -0.686%K -1.16%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 60.15%EV -2.14%E -1.31%K -3.40%G +0.000%2.0%2026-08-12 13:49
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -4.09%E -1.70%K -2.92%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -6.94%E -4.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 12:39
Pinnacle🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 40.10%EV -4.49%E -1.88%K -3.23%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -3.94%E -2.46%K -6.57%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 12:40
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.08%E -2.59%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -5.14%E -3.26%K -8.87%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-12 13:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.74%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 08:14
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.74%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 08:14
theScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -5.74%E -3.66%K -10.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 13:55
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.94%E -4.48%K -12.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-12 10:09
Marathon Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -8.08%E -3.51%K -6.22%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.15%E -5.32%K -15.37%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-12 13:55
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -12.08%E -5.49%K -10.07%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -2.74%E -1.69%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-12 10:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
ProphetX◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-08-12 13:35

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.