Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.90
assuming max odds 1.31
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Xiyu Wang (Local): 26.23%; Elina Svitolina (Visit): 73.77%. For Xiyu Wang (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.81. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.28%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +2.28%E +0.584%K +0.786%G +0.018% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-18 06:43 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.76%EV +1.23%E +0.319%K +0.430%G +0.005% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.24%EV -6.31%E -4.97%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-18 17:02 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV +0.968%E +0.251%K +0.340%G +0.003% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-18 08:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV +0.968%E +0.251%K +0.340%G +0.003% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-18 06:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.49%EV +0.443%E +0.116%K +0.157%G +0.001% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.51%EV -3.36%E -2.56%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-18 14:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.49%EV +0.443%E +0.116%K +0.157%G +0.001% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.51%EV -3.36%E -2.56%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-18 16:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.343%E -0.090%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-18 15:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -0.343%E -0.090%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.78%E -6.23%K -31.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 10:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -1.65%E -0.441%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -3.36%E -2.56%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-18 15:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.65%E -0.441%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.83%E -3.74%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-18 06:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.65%E -0.441%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.83%E -3.74%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-18 15:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.65%E -0.441%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.78%E -6.23%K -31.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 15:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.65%E -0.441%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.78%E -6.23%K -31.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 15:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.97%E -0.802%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.09%E -3.15%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-18 06:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.97%E -0.802%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.78%E -6.23%K -31.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 15:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -3.49%E -0.949%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -4.09%E -3.15%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-18 06:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -3.49%E -0.949%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -4.09%E -3.15%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-18 06:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.28%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.83%E -3.74%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 16:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.28%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.28%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.28%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.28%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.28%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.28%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.28%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.28%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.28%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.28%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.28%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.28%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.28%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.28%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -5.06%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 17:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.83%E -3.74%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 06:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.83%E -3.74%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 06:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.83%E -3.74%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 06:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.83%E -3.74%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 13:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.83%E -3.74%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 17:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.83%E -3.74%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.83%E -3.74%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 14:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.31%E -4.97%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-18 15:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.90%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.83%E -3.74%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 15:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.90%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.83%E -3.74%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 16:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -6.90%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 15:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.21%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.09%E -3.15%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 17:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.21%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.09%E -3.15%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 17:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.21%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.09%E -3.15%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 15:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.21%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.09%E -3.15%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 15:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.21%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.09%E -3.15%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 15:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.21%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.09%E -3.15%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 15:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.21%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.83%E -3.74%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 03:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.21%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.83%E -3.74%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 15:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.21%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 06:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.21%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 06:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.21%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 16:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.21%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -7.04%E -5.59%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-18 17:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.48%EV -10.05%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.52%EV -4.09%E -3.15%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.14%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.09%E -3.15%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 06:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.14%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.09%E -3.15%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 06:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.77%E -4.54%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.83%E -3.74%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-18 17:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.77%E -4.54%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.83%E -3.74%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-18 17:28 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 17:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 16:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 1.3% | 2026-08-18 17:05 |
| Novig◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47% | 1.7% | 2026-08-18 17:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.22% | 2.1% | 2026-08-18 17:05 |