Idioma:Español
Xiyu Wang v Elina Svitolina
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Xiyu Wang (Local)
Predicción 26.23%3.81momio equitativo
EV +2.28%
Ventaja +0.584%
Kelly +0.786%
Crecimiento +0.018%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.71%26.19%26.25%28.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.253.623.653.9030.77%27.64%27.40%25.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Elina Svitolina (Visitante)
Predicción 73.77%1.36momio equitativo
EV -3.36%
Ventaja -2.56%
Kelly -10.82%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.31
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
71.59%73.81%73.75%75.29%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.251.291.291.3180.00%77.80%77.82%76.34%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Xiyu Wang (Local): 26.23%; Elina Svitolina (Visitante): 73.77%. Para Xiyu Wang (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.81. 6 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.90, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.28%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +2.28%E +0.584%K +0.786%G +0.018% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-18 06:43 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.86I 25.91%NM 24.76%EV +1.23%E +0.319%K +0.430%G +0.005% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 75.24%EV -6.31%E -4.97%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-18 17:02 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV +0.968%E +0.251%K +0.340%G +0.003% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-18 08:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.95%EV +0.968%E +0.251%K +0.340%G +0.003% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 75.05%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-18 06:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.49%EV +0.443%E +0.116%K +0.157%G +0.001% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.51%EV -3.36%E -2.56%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-18 14:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 25.49%EV +0.443%E +0.116%K +0.157%G +0.001% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.51%EV -3.36%E -2.56%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-08-18 16:10 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.20%EV -0.343%E -0.090%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.80%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-18 15:30 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -0.343%E -0.090%K -0.123%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.78%E -6.23%K -31.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-17 10:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.89%EV -1.65%E -0.441%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 74.11%EV -3.36%E -2.56%K -10.82%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-08-18 15:45 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.65%E -0.441%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.83%E -3.74%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-18 06:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -1.65%E -0.441%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.83%E -3.74%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-18 15:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.65%E -0.441%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.78%E -6.23%K -31.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 15:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -1.65%E -0.441%K -0.602%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.78%E -6.23%K -31.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 15:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.00%EV -2.97%E -0.802%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 74.00%EV -4.09%E -3.15%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-18 06:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -2.97%E -0.802%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.78%E -6.23%K -31.13%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-18 15:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -3.49%E -0.949%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -4.09%E -3.15%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-18 06:45 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.68I 27.17%NM 26.10%EV -3.49%E -0.949%K -1.30%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.90%EV -4.09%E -3.15%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-18 06:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -4.28%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.83%E -3.74%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-18 16:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.28%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.28%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.28%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.28%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.28%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.28%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.28%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.28%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.28%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.28%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.28%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.28%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.28%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.96%EV -4.28%E -1.17%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.04%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.62I 27.62%NM 26.12%EV -5.06%E -1.40%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.88%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 17:09 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.83%E -3.74%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 06:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.83%E -3.74%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 06:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.83%E -3.74%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 06:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.83%E -3.74%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 13:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.83%E -3.74%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 17:15 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.83%E -3.74%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-18 13:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.83%E -3.74%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-17 14:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-18 16:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -5.59%E -1.55%K -2.15%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.31%E -4.97%K -23.36%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-18 15:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.90%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.83%E -3.74%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 15:55 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.65%EV -6.90%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.35%EV -4.83%E -3.74%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-18 16:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.50%EV -6.90%E -1.94%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.50%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-18 15:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.21%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.09%E -3.15%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 17:05 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.21%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.09%E -3.15%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 17:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.21%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.09%E -3.15%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 15:39 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.21%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.09%E -3.15%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 15:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.21%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.09%E -3.15%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 15:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -8.21%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.09%E -3.15%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-18 15:40 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.21%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.83%E -3.74%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 03:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -8.21%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.83%E -3.74%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 15:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.21%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 06:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.21%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 06:34 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -8.21%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -5.57%E -4.35%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-18 16:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.47%EV -8.21%E -2.35%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.26I 79.37%NM 73.53%EV -7.04%E -5.59%K -27.09%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-18 17:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.43I 29.15%NM 27.48%EV -10.05%E -2.93%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.52%EV -4.09%E -3.15%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-18 15:45 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.14%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.09%E -3.15%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 06:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -12.14%E -3.63%K -5.17%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -4.09%E -3.15%K -13.64%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-18 06:34 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.77%E -4.54%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.83%E -3.74%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-18 17:30 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -14.77%E -4.54%K -6.56%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -4.83%E -3.74%K -16.66%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-18 17:28 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 17:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 0.6% | 2026-08-18 17:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19% | 0.8% | 2026-08-18 16:15 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67% | 1.3% | 2026-08-18 17:05 |
| Novig◎ | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.53% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.47% | 1.7% | 2026-08-18 17:05 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.80I 26.32%NM 25.78% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 74.22% | 2.1% | 2026-08-18 17:05 |