Language:English
Sorana Cirstea v Nikola Bartunkova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sorana Cirstea (Local)
Prediction 59.85%1.67fair odd
EV -0.054%
Edge -0.033%
Kelly -0.081%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.40%59.68%59.85%60.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.581.571.6765.79%63.23%63.69%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nikola Bartunkova (Visit)
Prediction 40.15%2.49fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -1.17%
Kelly -1.99%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.24%40.32%40.15%42.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.242.342.332.4244.64%42.79%42.92%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sorana Cirstea (Local): 59.85%; Nikola Bartunkova (Visit): 40.15%. For Sorana Cirstea (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.671. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.670, with an expected value of -0.054%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -0.054%E -0.033%K -0.081%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -9.66%E -4.29%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 08:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -0.653%E -0.393%K -0.989%G +0.000% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -10.06%E -4.49%K -8.11%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 19:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -1.25%E -0.758%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -4.44%E -1.86%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 2.6% | 2026-08-15 19:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.05%E -1.88%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.63%E -1.51%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 12:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.05%E -1.88%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.63%E -1.51%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 3.4% | 2026-08-15 12:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.05%E -1.88%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-15 12:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.05%E -1.88%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.66%E -4.29%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 19:19 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.65%E -2.26%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-15 18:10 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.65%E -2.26%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -6.04%E -2.58%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 18:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.65%E -2.26%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 12:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.65%E -2.26%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 12:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.65%E -2.26%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-15 12:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.24%E -2.65%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.63%E -1.51%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-15 11:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -4.24%E -2.65%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 40.10%EV -4.04%E -1.69%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-15 03:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.24%E -2.65%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 16:19 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.84%E -3.05%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.63%E -1.51%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 19:18 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.84%E -3.05%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 12:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.84%E -3.05%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 19:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.84%E -3.05%K -8.21%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -5.44%E -3.44%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -2.83%E -1.17%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-15 16:14 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.44%E -3.44%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.63%E -1.51%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.44%E -3.44%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.44%E -1.86%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 11:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -5.44%E -3.44%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -6.45%E -2.77%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -5.44%E -3.44%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -6.45%E -2.77%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.44%E -3.44%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 08:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.44%E -3.44%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 08:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.44%E -3.44%K -9.38%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-15 16:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.63%E -1.51%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.63%E -1.51%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-15 16:12 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.44%E -1.86%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 18:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.44%E -1.86%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 12:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.44%E -1.86%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 16:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 08:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 19:14 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 19:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.45%E -2.77%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 09:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.45%E -2.77%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 09:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.45%E -2.77%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.45%E -2.77%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.45%E -2.77%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 09:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.45%E -2.77%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 09:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.45%E -2.77%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 09:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.45%E -2.77%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.45%E -2.77%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 09:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.45%E -2.77%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.45%E -2.77%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 09:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.45%E -2.77%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 18:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.66%E -4.29%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 14:24 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.64%E -4.25%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 15:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.64%E -4.25%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-15 19:17 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -6.64%E -4.25%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -8.45%E -3.71%K -6.60%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 09:29 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -6.64%E -4.25%K -11.85%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -9.66%E -4.29%K -7.73%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 19:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.24%E -4.67%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.63%E -1.51%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.24%E -4.67%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 08:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.24%E -4.67%K -13.16%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 08:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.61%EV -7.83%E -5.09%K -14.51%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.39%EV -4.84%E -2.04%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 16:14 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.03%E -5.94%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-15 08:05 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -9.03%E -5.94%K -17.37%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 19:18 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 19:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 19:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-08-15 19:20 |
| Novig◎ | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63% | 0.9% | 2026-08-15 19:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 19:20 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 18:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47% | 1.3% | 2026-08-15 19:19 |