Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sorana Cirstea v Nikola Bartunkova

Início: 2026-08-15 19:21 UTC

Final: Sorana Cirstea 2–0 Nikola Bartunkova

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (20 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Sorana Cirstea (Local)

Previsão 59.85%1.67odd justa
EV -0.054%
Vantagem -0.033%
Kelly -0.081%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.67

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
57.40%59.68%59.85%60.76%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.521.581.571.6765.79%63.23%63.69%59.88%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nikola Bartunkova (Visitante)

Previsão 40.15%2.49odd justa
EV -2.83%
Vantagem -1.17%
Kelly -1.99%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.24%40.32%40.15%42.60%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.242.342.332.4244.64%42.79%42.92%41.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Sorana Cirstea (Local): 59.85%; Nikola Bartunkova (Visitante): 40.15%. Para Sorana Cirstea (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.671. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.670, com valor esperado de -0.054%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BoyleSports🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 57.40%EV -0.054%E -0.033%K -0.081%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.60%EV -9.66%E -4.29%K -7.73%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 08:05
1xBet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.44%EV -0.653%E -0.393%K -0.989%G +0.000%2.24I 44.64%NM 42.56%EV -10.06%E -4.49%K -8.11%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-15 19:20
Pinnacle🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 59.06%EV -1.25%E -0.758%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.94%EV -4.44%E -1.86%K -3.22%G +0.000%2.6%2026-08-15 19:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.05%E -1.88%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.63%E -1.51%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 12:29
BetOnline.ag🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -3.05%E -1.88%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -3.63%E -1.51%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-15 12:29
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.05%E -1.88%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-15 12:44
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.05%E -1.88%K -4.91%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -9.66%E -4.29%K -7.73%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 19:19
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -3.65%E -2.26%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-15 18:10
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.65%E -2.26%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -6.04%E -2.58%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 18:54
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.65%E -2.26%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 12:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.65%E -2.26%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 12:44
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -3.65%E -2.26%K -5.98%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 12:45
Winamax (DE)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -4.24%E -2.65%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -3.63%E -1.51%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-15 11:25
GTbets🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 59.90%EV -4.24%E -2.65%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 40.10%EV -4.04%E -1.69%K -2.90%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-15 03:35
PlayUp🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.24%E -2.65%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-15 16:19
Bovada🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.84%E -3.05%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -3.63%E -1.51%K -2.60%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 19:18
Fanatics🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.84%E -3.05%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 12:19
Marathon Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.84%E -3.05%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 19:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -4.84%E -3.05%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 09:29
FanDuel🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.50%EV -5.44%E -3.44%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.50%EV -2.83%E -1.17%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-15 16:14
Winamax (FR)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -5.44%E -3.44%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -3.63%E -1.51%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-15 11:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 60.10%EV -5.44%E -3.44%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.90%EV -4.44%E -1.86%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 11:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -5.44%E -3.44%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -6.45%E -2.77%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 09:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.59%EV -5.44%E -3.44%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.41%EV -6.45%E -2.77%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 09:29
Neds🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.44%E -3.44%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 08:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.44%E -3.44%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 08:24
TAB🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -5.44%E -3.44%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.88%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 16:19
theScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.63%E -1.51%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 08:55
Paddy Power🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -3.63%E -1.51%K -2.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-15 16:12
betfred_uk🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.44%E -1.86%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 18:59
Sky Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.44%E -1.86%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 12:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -4.44%E -1.86%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 16:14
NordicBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 19:14
BetMGM🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 08:20
Betsson🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 19:14
ReBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 19:19
Unibet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.45%E -2.77%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 09:30
BetRivers🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.45%E -2.77%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 09:30
Casumo🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.45%E -2.77%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 09:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.45%E -2.77%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 09:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.45%E -2.77%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 09:30
Grosvenor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.45%E -2.77%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 09:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.45%E -2.77%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 09:30
TABtouch🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.45%E -2.77%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 09:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.45%E -2.77%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 09:30
betPARX🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.45%E -2.77%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 09:29
Bally Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.45%E -2.77%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 09:30
ATG (SE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -6.45%E -2.77%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 09:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.88%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 18:15
Bet Victor🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.04%E -3.85%K -10.60%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.66%E -4.29%K -7.73%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 14:24
Unibet (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.64%E -4.25%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 15:45
Caesars🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.64%E -4.25%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-15 19:17
PMU (FR)🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.38%EV -6.64%E -4.25%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.63%EV -8.45%E -3.71%K -6.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 09:29
Fliff🎯1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -6.64%E -4.25%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -9.66%E -4.29%K -7.73%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-15 19:20
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.24%E -4.67%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.63%E -1.51%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-15 13:45
Coral🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.24%E -4.67%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 08:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -7.24%E -4.67%K -13.16%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.88%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 08:19
SportsBet🎯1.54I 64.94%NM 60.61%EV -7.83%E -5.09%K -14.51%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.39%EV -4.84%E -2.04%K -3.53%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-15 16:14
Tipico (DE)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -9.03%E -5.94%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -5.64%E -2.40%K -4.18%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-15 08:05
Betclic (FR)🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 60.21%EV -9.03%E -5.94%K -17.37%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.79%EV -7.65%E -3.33%K -5.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 19:18
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-08-15 19:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%0.7%2026-08-15 19:20
Matchbook◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-08-15 19:20
Novig◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.37%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.63%0.9%2026-08-15 19:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.72%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.28%1.0%2026-08-15 19:20
ProphetX◎1.66I 60.24%NM 59.51%2.44I 40.98%NM 40.49%1.2%2026-08-15 18:55
Smarkets◎1.63I 61.35%NM 60.53%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.47%1.3%2026-08-15 19:19