Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sara Bejlek v Coco Gauff

Kickoff: 2026-08-23 01:19 UTC

Final: Sara Bejlek 0–2 Coco Gauff

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

62 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sara Bejlek (Local)

Prediction 22.36%4.47fair odd
EV +5.07%
Edge +1.08%
Kelly +1.37%
Growth +0.070%

assuming max odds 4.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.47%22.33%22.30%25.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.704.254.254.7027.03%23.53%23.53%21.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Coco Gauff (Visit)

Prediction 77.64%1.29fair odd
EV -2.17%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -8.34%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.26

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.60%77.67%77.70%79.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.181.221.221.2684.75%82.02%81.97%79.37%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sara Bejlek (Local): 22.36%; Coco Gauff (Visit): 77.64%. For Sara Bejlek (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.47. 18 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.70, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.07%.

Sportsbook Odds (62 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Winamax (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +5.07%E +1.08%K +1.37%G +0.070%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-23 01:19
Pinnacle🎯4.66I 21.46%NM 21.02%EV +4.18%E +0.897%K +1.14%G +0.048%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.98%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.51%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-23 00:20
Winamax (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +2.84%E +0.617%K +0.789%G +0.022%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 01:19
Unibet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +2.84%E +0.617%K +0.789%G +0.022%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 01:15
Unibet (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +2.84%E +0.617%K +0.789%G +0.022%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 01:10
TABtouch🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +2.84%E +0.617%K +0.789%G +0.022%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 01:10
ATG (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +2.84%E +0.617%K +0.789%G +0.022%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 01:10
Svenska Spel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +2.84%E +0.617%K +0.789%G +0.022%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 01:10
Bally Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +2.84%E +0.617%K +0.789%G +0.022%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 01:10
betPARX🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +2.84%E +0.617%K +0.789%G +0.022%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 01:10
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.604%E +0.134%K +0.172%G +0.001%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.83%E -5.69%K -34.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 01:19
LiveScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.604%E +0.134%K +0.172%G +0.001%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.83%E -5.69%K -34.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 01:10
Unibet (NL)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.604%E +0.134%K +0.172%G +0.001%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.83%E -5.69%K -34.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 01:19
Virgin Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.604%E +0.134%K +0.172%G +0.001%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.83%E -5.69%K -34.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 01:10
Casumo🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.604%E +0.134%K +0.172%G +0.001%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.83%E -5.69%K -34.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 01:19
BetRivers🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.604%E +0.134%K +0.172%G +0.001%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.83%E -5.69%K -34.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 01:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.604%E +0.134%K +0.172%G +0.001%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.83%E -5.69%K -34.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 01:19
Tipico (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +0.604%E +0.134%K +0.172%G +0.001%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -8.38%E -7.10%K -46.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 01:15
NordicBet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -0.514%E -0.116%K -0.149%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -6.83%E -5.69%K -34.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 01:19
ReBet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -0.514%E -0.116%K -0.149%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -6.83%E -5.69%K -34.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 01:19
Grosvenor🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -2.75%E -0.632%K -0.821%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -7.60%E -6.39%K -40.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 01:19
LowVig.ag🎯4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -2.97%E -0.685%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-23 01:19
BetOnline.ag🎯4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -2.97%E -0.685%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-23 01:15
GTbets🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 22.26%EV -3.20%E -0.738%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.74%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-23 01:15
888sport🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.20%E -0.738%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.83%E -5.69%K -34.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 01:15
888sport (SE)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.20%E -0.738%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.83%E -5.69%K -34.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 01:15
Coolbet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.87%E -0.899%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 01:19
Fanatics🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.87%E -0.899%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 01:15
Bovada🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -4.99%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 01:14
Unibet (FR)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -4.99%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.50%E -3.66%K -19.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 21:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.99%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 00:10
Marathon Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.99%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 01:15
BetUS🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.99%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 20:30
theScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -4.99%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 20:45
FanDuel🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 23:14
Unibet (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.50%E -3.66%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 21:44
Betsson🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.50%E -3.66%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 21:44
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 23:14
TAB🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.83%E -5.69%K -34.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 00:24
BetAnything🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -7.22%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 01:15
Betr (AU)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -7.22%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 01:15
DraftKings🎯4.12I 24.27%NM 23.28%EV -7.89%E -1.92%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.72%EV -2.95%E -2.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 01:19
1xBet🎯4.06I 24.63%NM 23.54%EV -9.23%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.46%EV -2.95%E -2.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-23 01:10
SportsBet🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -9.46%E -2.34%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 23:15
LeoVegas🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -9.46%E -2.34%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 01:09
Fliff🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 22.71%EV -9.46%E -2.34%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.29%EV -7.60%E -6.39%K -40.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 01:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.95%E -2.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 21:10
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.95%E -2.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 07:44
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 01:19
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 01:19
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 21:09
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 23:14
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 21:15
BetMGM🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 01:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 21:15
Caesars🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 20:04
Betclic (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -7.60%E -6.39%K -40.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 01:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -16.16%E -4.31%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -2.95%E -2.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 23:14
Bet Victor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -16.16%E -4.31%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 21:44
betano_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -16.16%E -4.31%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -17.28%E -4.67%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -2.17%E -1.72%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 21:15
Neds🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -17.28%E -4.67%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -2.17%E -1.72%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 21:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Novig4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%0.7%2026-08-23 01:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-08-23 01:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-08-23 01:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-08-23 01:10
Matchbook4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%1.3%2026-08-23 01:15
ProphetX4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%1.5%2026-08-23 01:15
Smarkets4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%2.2%2026-08-23 01:15