Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sara Bejlek v Coco Gauff

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-23 01:19 UTC

Score final : Sara Bejlek 0–2 Coco Gauff

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Sara Bejlek (Local)

Prévision 22.36%4.47cote équitable
EV +5.07%
Avantage +1.08%
Kelly +1.37%
Croissance +0.070%

avec la cote maximale 4.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.47%22.33%22.30%25.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.704.254.254.7027.03%23.53%23.53%21.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Coco Gauff (Visiteur)

Prévision 77.64%1.29cote équitable
EV -2.17%
Avantage -1.72%
Kelly -8.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.26

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
74.60%77.67%77.70%79.53%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.181.221.221.2684.75%82.02%81.97%79.37%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Sara Bejlek (Local) : 22.36% ; Coco Gauff (Visiteur) : 77.64%. Pour Sara Bejlek (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 4.47. 18 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 4.70, soit une espérance positive de +5.07%.

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Winamax (DE)🎯4.70I 21.28%NM 20.47%EV +5.07%E +1.08%K +1.37%G +0.070%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.53%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.82%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-23 01:19
Pinnacle🎯4.66I 21.46%NM 21.02%EV +4.18%E +0.897%K +1.14%G +0.048%1.24I 80.65%NM 78.98%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.51%G +0.000%2.1%2026-08-23 00:20
Winamax (FR)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +2.84%E +0.617%K +0.789%G +0.022%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 01:19
Unibet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +2.84%E +0.617%K +0.789%G +0.022%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 01:15
Unibet (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +2.84%E +0.617%K +0.789%G +0.022%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 01:10
TABtouch🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +2.84%E +0.617%K +0.789%G +0.022%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 01:10
ATG (SE)🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +2.84%E +0.617%K +0.789%G +0.022%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 01:10
Svenska Spel🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +2.84%E +0.617%K +0.789%G +0.022%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 01:10
Bally Bet🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +2.84%E +0.617%K +0.789%G +0.022%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 01:10
betPARX🎯4.60I 21.74%NM 20.83%EV +2.84%E +0.617%K +0.789%G +0.022%1.21I 82.64%NM 79.17%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.82%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-23 01:10
Betway🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.604%E +0.134%K +0.172%G +0.001%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.83%E -5.69%K -34.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 01:19
LiveScore Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.604%E +0.134%K +0.172%G +0.001%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.83%E -5.69%K -34.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 01:10
Unibet (NL)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.604%E +0.134%K +0.172%G +0.001%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.83%E -5.69%K -34.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 01:19
Virgin Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.604%E +0.134%K +0.172%G +0.001%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.83%E -5.69%K -34.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 01:10
Casumo🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.604%E +0.134%K +0.172%G +0.001%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.83%E -5.69%K -34.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 01:19
BetRivers🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.604%E +0.134%K +0.172%G +0.001%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.83%E -5.69%K -34.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 01:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 21.05%EV +0.604%E +0.134%K +0.172%G +0.001%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.95%EV -6.83%E -5.69%K -34.14%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 01:19
Tipico (DE)🎯4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +0.604%E +0.134%K +0.172%G +0.001%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.23%EV -8.38%E -7.10%K -46.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 01:15
NordicBet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -0.514%E -0.116%K -0.149%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -6.83%E -5.69%K -34.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 01:19
ReBet🎯4.45I 22.47%NM 21.24%EV -0.514%E -0.116%K -0.149%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.76%EV -6.83%E -5.69%K -34.14%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-23 01:19
Grosvenor🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.48%EV -2.75%E -0.632%K -0.821%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 78.52%EV -7.60%E -6.39%K -40.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 01:19
LowVig.ag🎯4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -2.97%E -0.685%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-23 01:19
BetOnline.ag🎯4.34I 23.04%NM 22.22%EV -2.97%E -0.685%K -0.890%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.78%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-23 01:15
GTbets🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 22.26%EV -3.20%E -0.738%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.74%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.51%G +0.000%3.7%2026-08-23 01:15
888sport🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.20%E -0.738%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.83%E -5.69%K -34.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 01:15
888sport (SE)🎯4.33I 23.09%NM 21.70%EV -3.20%E -0.738%K -0.960%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 78.30%EV -6.83%E -5.69%K -34.14%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 01:15
Coolbet🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.87%E -0.899%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 01:19
Fanatics🎯4.30I 23.26%NM 22.10%EV -3.87%E -0.899%K -1.17%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.90%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-23 01:15
Bovada🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.59%EV -4.99%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.41%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 01:14
Unibet (FR)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.45%EV -4.99%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.55%EV -4.50%E -3.66%K -19.56%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-22 21:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.99%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 00:10
Marathon Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.99%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 01:15
BetUS🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.30%EV -4.99%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.70%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.98%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-22 20:30
theScore Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 22.16%EV -4.99%E -1.17%K -1.53%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.84%EV -6.05%E -5.00%K -28.82%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-22 20:45
FanDuel🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.79%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 77.21%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-22 23:14
Unibet (UK)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.50%E -3.66%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 21:44
Betsson🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.65%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 77.35%EV -4.50%E -3.66%K -19.56%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 21:44
Paddy Power🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-22 23:14
TAB🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -6.10%E -1.45%K -1.91%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -6.83%E -5.69%K -34.14%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-23 00:24
BetAnything🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 23.01%EV -7.22%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.99%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 01:15
Betr (AU)🎯4.15I 24.10%NM 22.72%EV -7.22%E -1.74%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.28%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 01:15
DraftKings🎯4.12I 24.27%NM 23.28%EV -7.89%E -1.92%K -2.53%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.72%EV -2.95%E -2.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-23 01:19
1xBet🎯4.06I 24.63%NM 23.54%EV -9.23%E -2.27%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.46%EV -2.95%E -2.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-23 01:10
SportsBet🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -9.46%E -2.34%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 23:15
LeoVegas🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 23.15%EV -9.46%E -2.34%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.85%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.98%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-23 01:09
Fliff🎯4.05I 24.69%NM 22.71%EV -9.46%E -2.34%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.29%EV -7.60%E -6.39%K -40.02%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 01:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.95%E -2.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 21:10
BoyleSports🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -2.95%E -2.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-22 07:44
PlayUp🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -3.72%E -3.00%K -15.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 01:19
William Hill🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 01:19
betfred_uk🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 21:09
Sky Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 23:14
Coral🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 21:15
BetMGM🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 01:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 21:15
Caesars🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.98%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-22 20:04
Betclic (FR)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 22.93%EV -10.57%E -2.64%K -3.52%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.07%EV -7.60%E -6.39%K -40.02%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-23 01:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -16.16%E -4.31%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -2.95%E -2.36%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 23:14
Bet Victor🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -16.16%E -4.31%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 21:44
betano_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -16.16%E -4.31%K -5.88%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -5.27%E -4.32%K -23.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 21:45
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -17.28%E -4.67%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -2.17%E -1.72%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 21:15
Neds🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.40%EV -17.28%E -4.67%K -6.40%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.60%EV -2.17%E -1.72%K -8.34%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 21:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Novig◎4.55I 21.98%NM 21.82%1.27I 78.74%NM 78.18%0.7%2026-08-23 01:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-08-23 01:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-08-23 01:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎4.80I 20.83%NM 20.66%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.34%0.8%2026-08-23 01:10
Matchbook◎4.70I 21.28%NM 21.01%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.99%1.3%2026-08-23 01:15
ProphetX◎4.40I 22.73%NM 22.40%1.27I 78.74%NM 77.60%1.5%2026-08-23 01:15
Smarkets◎4.50I 22.22%NM 21.74%1.25I 80.00%NM 78.26%2.2%2026-08-23 01:15