Language:English
Peyton Stearns v Harriet Dart
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Peyton Stearns (Local)
Prediction 67.34%1.48fair odd
EV -1.68%
Edge -1.15%
Kelly -3.66%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
65.06%67.28%67.44%68.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.411.401.4674.07%70.97%71.43%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Harriet Dart (Visit)
Prediction 32.66%3.06fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.453%
Kelly -0.677%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.02
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.40%32.72%32.56%34.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.912.943.0237.04%34.38%34.07%33.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Peyton Stearns (Local): 67.34%; Harriet Dart (Visit): 32.66%. For Harriet Dart (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.06. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.02, with an expected value of -1.37%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -1.68%E -1.15%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -9.53%E -3.44%K -5.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 16:54 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -2.36%E -1.63%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -3.65%E -1.24%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 2.9% | 2026-08-14 16:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -2.36%E -1.63%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -4.31%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-14 16:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.36%E -1.63%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -11.82%E -4.38%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 67.64%EV -3.03%E -2.10%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 32.36%EV -1.69%E -0.563%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-08-14 05:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -3.03%E -2.10%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -7.90%E -2.80%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.03%E -2.10%K -6.89%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.19%E -3.70%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 16:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -3.70%E -2.59%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -4.31%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 16:34 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.70%E -2.59%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.29%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 16:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.70%E -2.59%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.29%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 16:33 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.70%E -2.59%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.92%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-14 16:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.38%E -3.08%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.02%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-14 08:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.38%E -3.08%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.02%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-14 09:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.38%E -3.08%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.02%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-08-14 09:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.38%E -3.08%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.92%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 16:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.38%E -3.08%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.19%E -3.70%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.38%E -3.08%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.19%E -3.70%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-14 16:35 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.38%E -3.08%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.82%E -4.38%K -6.95%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-14 16:59 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -5.05%E -3.58%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -1.37%E -0.453%K -0.677%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-08-14 13:54 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.05%E -3.58%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -2.02%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-08-14 08:44 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.05%E -3.58%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.65%E -1.24%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 15:14 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.05%E -3.58%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.65%E -1.24%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 10:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.05%E -3.58%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.65%E -1.24%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 06:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -5.05%E -3.58%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -5.61%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-14 16:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.05%E -3.58%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.92%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-14 16:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.02%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.02%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.02%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.02%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.02%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.02%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.02%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.02%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.02%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.02%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.02%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.02%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.02%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.02%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 06:35 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.02%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 16:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.65%E -1.24%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 11:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.65%E -1.24%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 11:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.65%E -1.24%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 11:14 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.29%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 16:59 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.29%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 16:34 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.29%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 08:25 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.29%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 16:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.94%E -2.06%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 06:35 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.94%E -2.06%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 07:59 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.94%E -2.06%K -3.16%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 06:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.27%E -2.18%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 04:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.27%E -2.18%K -3.35%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-14 05:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.19%E -3.70%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 17:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.19%E -3.70%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 16:59 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.19%E -3.70%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 17:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.19%E -3.70%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 16:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.19%E -3.70%K -5.82%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-14 16:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.21%EV -7.74%E -5.65%K -20.93%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.79%EV -3.98%E -1.35%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 13:55 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.42%E -6.19%K -23.38%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -5.29%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 05:00 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.09%E -6.73%K -25.97%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -3.65%E -1.24%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 06:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 17:00 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 17:00 |
| Novig◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.48% | 3.03I 33.00%NM 32.52% | 1.5% | 2026-08-14 16:55 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.82% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18% | 1.8% | 2026-08-14 17:00 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.45I 68.97%NM 67.12% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 32.88% | 2.7% | 2026-08-14 17:00 |