Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Peyton Stearns v Harriet Dart

Início: 2026-08-14 17:05 UTC

Final: Peyton Stearns 2–0 Harriet Dart

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Peyton Stearns (Local)

Previsão 67.34%1.48odd justa
EV -1.68%
Vantagem -1.15%
Kelly -3.66%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.46

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.06%67.28%67.44%68.60%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.351.411.401.4674.07%70.97%71.43%68.49%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Harriet Dart (Visitante)

Previsão 32.66%3.06odd justa
EV -1.37%
Vantagem -0.453%
Kelly -0.677%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.02

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
31.40%32.72%32.56%34.94%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.702.912.943.0237.04%34.38%34.07%33.11%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Peyton Stearns (Local): 67.34%; Harriet Dart (Visitante): 32.66%. Para Harriet Dart (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.06. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.02, com valor esperado de -1.37%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
1xBet🎯1.46I 68.49%NM 65.48%EV -1.68%E -1.15%K -3.66%G +0.000%2.77I 36.10%NM 34.52%EV -9.53%E -3.44%K -5.39%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-14 16:54
Coolbet🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 67.05%EV -2.36%E -1.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.95%EV -3.65%E -1.24%K -1.87%G +0.000%2.9%2026-08-14 16:59
Pinnacle🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 66.89%EV -2.36%E -1.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 33.11%EV -4.31%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-14 16:35
PlayUp🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -2.36%E -1.63%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -11.82%E -4.38%K -6.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 16:29
GTbets🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 67.64%EV -3.03%E -2.10%K -6.89%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 32.36%EV -1.69%E -0.563%K -0.843%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-14 05:00
DraftKings🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.20%EV -3.03%E -2.10%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.80%EV -7.90%E -2.80%K -4.34%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 16:29
Betway🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -3.03%E -2.10%K -6.89%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -10.19%E -3.70%K -5.82%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 16:25
BetUS🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 67.20%EV -3.70%E -2.59%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 32.80%EV -4.31%E -1.47%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 16:34
BetAnything🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.70%E -2.59%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.29%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 16:45
Bovada🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -3.70%E -2.59%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV -5.29%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 16:33
Fanatics🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -3.70%E -2.59%K -8.61%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -6.92%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 16:59
Winamax (DE)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.38%E -3.08%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.02%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-14 08:45
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.38%E -3.08%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.02%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-14 09:00
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.87%EV -4.38%E -3.08%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.13%EV -2.02%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-14 09:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -4.38%E -3.08%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -6.92%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 16:30
Neds🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.38%E -3.08%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.19%E -3.70%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -4.38%E -3.08%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV -10.19%E -3.70%K -5.82%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 16:35
TAB🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -4.38%E -3.08%K -10.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -11.82%E -4.38%K -6.95%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 16:59
FanDuel🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.17%EV -5.05%E -3.58%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.83%EV -1.37%E -0.453%K -0.677%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-14 13:54
Winamax (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 68.03%EV -5.05%E -3.58%K -12.32%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.97%EV -2.02%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 08:44
ReBet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.05%E -3.58%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.65%E -1.24%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 15:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.05%E -3.58%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.65%E -1.24%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 10:14
Betsson🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.66%EV -5.05%E -3.58%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.34%EV -3.65%E -1.24%K -1.87%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 06:39
Marathon Bet🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 67.21%EV -5.05%E -3.58%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.89I 34.60%NM 32.79%EV -5.61%E -1.94%K -2.97%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 16:49
Betr (AU)🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV -5.05%E -3.58%K -12.32%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -6.92%E -2.43%K -3.74%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 16:29
Unibet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.02%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 11:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.02%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 11:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.02%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 11:25
Casumo🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.02%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 11:25
BetRivers🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.02%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 11:25
Unibet (NL)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.02%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 11:24
Grosvenor🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.02%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 11:24
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.02%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 11:25
Bally Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.02%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 11:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.02%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 11:24
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.02%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 11:24
betPARX🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.02%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 11:25
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.02%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 11:25
Sky Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.02%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 06:35
Betclic (FR)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -2.02%E -0.674%K -1.01%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 16:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.65%E -1.24%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.65%E -1.24%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:24
Unibet (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.82%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.18%EV -3.65%E -1.24%K -1.87%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 11:14
NordicBet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.29%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 16:59
BetMGM🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.29%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 16:34
theScore Bet🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.29%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 08:25
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -5.29%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 16:34
Paddy Power🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.94%E -2.06%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 06:35
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.94%E -2.06%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 07:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -5.94%E -2.06%K -3.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 06:44
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.27%E -2.18%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 04:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.21%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.79%EV -6.27%E -2.18%K -3.35%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 05:00
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.19%E -3.70%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 17:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.19%E -3.70%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 16:59
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.19%E -3.70%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 17:00
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.19%E -3.70%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 16:59
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -5.72%E -4.09%K -14.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -10.19%E -3.70%K -5.82%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-14 16:49
SportsBet🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 68.21%EV -7.74%E -5.65%K -20.93%G +0.000%2.94I 34.01%NM 31.79%EV -3.98%E -1.35%K -2.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 13:55
PMU (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -8.42%E -6.19%K -23.38%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -5.29%E -1.82%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 05:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.60%EV -9.09%E -6.73%K -25.97%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -3.65%E -1.24%K -1.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 06:09
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-08-14 17:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-08-14 17:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18%0.4%2026-08-14 17:00
Novig◎1.46I 68.49%NM 67.48%3.03I 33.00%NM 32.52%1.5%2026-08-14 16:55
ProphetX◎1.47I 68.03%NM 66.82%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18%1.8%2026-08-14 17:00
Matchbook◎1.45I 68.97%NM 67.12%2.96I 33.78%NM 32.88%2.7%2026-08-14 17:00