Language:English
Mary Stoiana v Tereza Valentova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Mary Stoiana (Local)
Prediction 31.29%3.20fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.456%
Kelly -0.668%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.15
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
30.49%31.32%31.22%32.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.013.003.1534.72%33.24%33.33%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tereza Valentova (Visit)
Prediction 68.71%1.46fair odd
EV -2.43%
Edge -1.71%
Kelly -5.79%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.29%68.68%68.78%69.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.381.381.4274.07%72.31%72.46%70.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mary Stoiana (Local): 31.29%; Tereza Valentova (Visit): 68.71%. For Mary Stoiana (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.20. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.15, with an expected value of -1.44%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (60 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.44%E -0.456%K -0.668%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-14 18:55 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.13I 31.95%NM 30.60%EV -2.06%E -0.659%K -0.968%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-08-14 19:55 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.12I 32.05%NM 31.28%EV -2.37%E -0.761%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.72%EV -2.43%E -1.71%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-08-14 18:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -2.69%E -0.864%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.49%E -3.23%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 16:39 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -2.69%E -0.864%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.49%E -3.23%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-08-14 16:39 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -3.00%E -0.968%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -3.12%E -2.21%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-14 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -3.00%E -0.968%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.49%E -3.23%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 16:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.00%E -0.968%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.55%E -4.82%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 13:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -4.56%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -2.43%E -1.71%K -5.79%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-14 19:59 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.56%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-08-14 16:39 |
| ReBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.56%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.49%E -3.23%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 19:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.56%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.49%E -3.23%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-14 13:25 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.56%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 16:40 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.56%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 17:00 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.56%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 16:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.56%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-14 16:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.56%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.87%E -4.28%K -15.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 16:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.88%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-08-14 19:15 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 19:59 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 19:59 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-14 14:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 11:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 11:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 12:44 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 18:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 18:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 11:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 11:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 11:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 11:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 11:55 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 16:34 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 11:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 16:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.55%E -4.82%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 18:44 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.55%E -4.82%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 16:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.55%E -4.82%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 13:23 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.55%E -4.82%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 16:44 |
| Caesars🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.55%E -4.82%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 18:43 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.24%E -5.36%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-14 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.24%E -5.36%K -20.69%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-14 13:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 07:09 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-14 07:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.99I 33.44%NM 31.26%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.74%EV -6.55%E -4.82%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-14 13:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.69%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000% | 1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.49%E -3.23%K -11.52%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-14 19:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 15:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 15:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 15:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-14 15:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 13:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-14 13:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.55%E -4.82%K -18.21%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-14 11:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.88%E -3.43%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.52%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-14 18:55 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Novig◎ | 3.28I 30.49%NM 30.36% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 69.64% | 0.4% | 2026-08-14 19:35 |
| ProphetX◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 1.2% | 2026-08-14 18:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 1.2% | 2026-08-14 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 1.2% | 2026-08-14 19:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59% | 1.2% | 2026-08-14 19:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26% | 1.7% | 2026-08-14 19:55 |