Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Mary Stoiana v Tereza Valentova

Início: 2026-08-14 20:00 UTC

Final: Mary Stoiana 0–2 Tereza Valentova

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

60 casas de apostas (19 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Mary Stoiana (Local)

Previsão 31.29%3.20odd justa
EV -1.44%
Vantagem -0.456%
Kelly -0.668%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.15

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
30.49%31.32%31.22%32.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.883.013.003.1534.72%33.24%33.33%31.75%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Tereza Valentova (Visitante)

Previsão 68.71%1.46odd justa
EV -2.43%
Vantagem -1.71%
Kelly -5.79%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.42

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
67.29%68.68%68.78%69.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.351.381.381.4274.07%72.31%72.46%70.42%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Mary Stoiana (Local): 31.29%; Tereza Valentova (Visitante): 68.71%. Para Mary Stoiana (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.20. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 3.15, com valor esperado de -1.44%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (60 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Pinnacle🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.77%EV -1.44%E -0.456%K -0.668%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 69.23%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.52%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 18:55
BetUS🎯3.13I 31.95%NM 30.60%EV -2.06%E -0.659%K -0.968%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 69.40%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-14 19:55
1xBet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 31.28%EV -2.37%E -0.761%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.72%EV -2.43%E -1.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%2.5%2026-08-14 18:00
LowVig.ag🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -2.69%E -0.864%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.49%E -3.23%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 16:39
BetOnline.ag🎯3.11I 32.15%NM 30.89%EV -2.69%E -0.864%K -1.27%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.11%EV -4.49%E -3.23%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.1%2026-08-14 16:39
Winamax (DE)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 31.26%EV -3.00%E -0.968%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 68.74%EV -3.12%E -2.21%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 16:40
Betclic (FR)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.96%EV -3.00%E -0.968%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 69.04%EV -4.49%E -3.23%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 16:39
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -3.00%E -0.968%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -6.55%E -4.82%K -18.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 13:29
Coolbet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.77%EV -4.56%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 68.23%EV -2.43%E -1.71%K -5.79%G +0.000%3.2%2026-08-14 19:59
Winamax (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.46%EV -4.56%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.54%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-14 16:39
ReBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.56%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.49%E -3.23%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 19:35
FanDuel🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.31%EV -4.56%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.69%EV -4.49%E -3.23%K -11.52%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-14 13:25
NordicBet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.56%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 16:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.56%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 17:00
Unibet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.56%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 16:39
Betsson🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.56%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 16:39
Unibet (UK)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.00%EV -4.56%E -1.50%K -2.23%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.00%EV -5.87%E -4.28%K -15.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 16:39
Marathon Bet🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.22%EV -4.88%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.78%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 19:15
BetAnything🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 19:59
Bovada🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 19:59
Sky Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 14:14
Unibet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 11:54
Grosvenor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 11:54
Unibet (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 11:55
TABtouch🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 11:55
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 12:44
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 18:44
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 18:14
ATG (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 11:54
betPARX🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 11:54
BetRivers🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 11:55
Casumo🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 11:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 11:54
Virgin Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 11:55
Unibet (NL)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 11:54
Svenska Spel🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 11:54
Bally Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 11:55
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 16:34
Hard Rock Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 11:55
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 16:40
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.55%E -4.82%K -18.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 18:44
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.55%E -4.82%K -18.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 16:34
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.55%E -4.82%K -18.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 13:23
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.55%E -4.82%K -18.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 16:44
Caesars🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.55%E -4.82%K -18.21%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 18:43
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.24%E -5.36%K -20.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.03%EV -6.13%E -2.04%K -3.06%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.97%EV -7.24%E -5.36%K -20.69%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 13:29
GTbets🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 07:09
DraftKings🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.89%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.11%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.52%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 07:09
SportsBet🎯2.99I 33.44%NM 31.26%EV -6.44%E -2.15%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.74%EV -6.55%E -4.82%K -18.21%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 13:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 32.03%EV -7.69%E -2.61%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 67.97%EV -4.49%E -3.23%K -11.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-14 19:59
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 15:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 15:10
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 15:10
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.52%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 15:10
Neds🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 13:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.76%EV -5.18%E -3.75%K -13.63%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-14 13:29
PMU (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.92%EV -9.26%E -3.19%K -4.87%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.08%EV -6.55%E -4.82%K -18.21%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 11:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -9.88%E -3.43%K -5.26%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -3.81%E -2.72%K -9.52%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-14 18:55
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Novig◎3.28I 30.49%NM 30.36%1.43I 69.93%NM 69.64%0.4%2026-08-14 19:35
ProphetX◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-08-14 18:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-08-14 19:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-08-14 19:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.25I 30.77%NM 30.41%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.59%1.2%2026-08-14 19:35
Matchbook◎3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%1.42I 70.42%NM 69.26%1.7%2026-08-14 19:55