Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Marie Bouzkova v Iva Jović

Kickoff: 2026-08-19 00:58 UTC

Final: Marie Bouzkova 2–0 Iva Jović

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (21 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Marie Bouzkova (Local)

Prediction 37.35%2.68fair odd
EV +0.101%
Edge +0.038%
Kelly +0.060%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.68

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.47%37.38%37.35%38.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.522.502.6842.55%39.64%40.00%37.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Iva Jović (Visit)

Prediction 62.65%1.60fair odd
EV -2.27%
Edge -1.45%
Kelly -4.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.56

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.04%62.62%62.65%64.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.511.521.5669.44%66.04%65.79%64.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Marie Bouzkova (Local): 37.35%; Iva Jović (Visit): 62.65%. For Marie Bouzkova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.677. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.680, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.101%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV +0.101%E +0.038%K +0.060%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -6.65%E -4.47%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-19 00:55
Pinnacle🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -1.02%E -0.385%K -0.618%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -2.89%E -1.87%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-18 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.02%E -0.385%K -0.618%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-18 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.02%E -0.385%K -0.618%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-18 18:30
BetUS🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.02%E -0.385%K -0.618%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-19 00:45
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -1.77%E -0.672%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-19 00:55
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.14%E -0.817%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 10:14
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.14%E -0.817%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.79%E -6.80%K -22.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-19 00:55
SportsBet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -2.51%E -0.963%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -9.16%E -6.32%K -20.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 00:55
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.89%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.89%E -1.87%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-18 17:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.89%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.52%E -2.29%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-18 17:40
BetAnything🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.89%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-18 18:05
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.89%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 17:30
1xBet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%EV -3.26%E -1.26%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -2.27%E -1.45%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-18 17:45
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.75%E -1.86%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.52%E -2.29%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-18 15:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.75%E -1.86%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.77%E -3.14%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.75%E -1.86%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.40%E -3.58%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 00:54
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.75%E -1.86%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.40%E -3.58%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 23:00
DraftKings🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.28%EV -5.13%E -2.02%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.72%EV -5.40%E -3.58%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 00:55
BetMGM🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -5.13%E -2.02%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 17:30
GTbets🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -5.13%E -2.02%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -6.65%E -4.47%K -13.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-17 10:44
ReBet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -5.50%E -2.17%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 23:32
Unibet (UK)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.50%E -2.17%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.77%E -3.14%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 19:35
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 17:40
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 08:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 08:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 10:20
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 10:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 10:20
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 10:19
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 10:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 10:19
Bally Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 10:20
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 10:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 10:19
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 10:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 10:20
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 10:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 10:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 10:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 10:19
NordicBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.77%E -3.14%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 00:55
Betsson🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.77%E -3.14%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 00:55
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.77%E -3.14%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 00:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.40%E -3.58%K -10.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 17:35
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 00:54
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 00:55
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 00:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 00:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 00:55
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 10:09
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.28%E -4.92%K -15.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-18 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.28%E -4.92%K -15.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-18 17:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.91%E -5.38%K -16.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 08:33
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -8.49%E -3.47%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -3.52%E -2.29%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 13:29
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.49%E -3.47%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.77%E -3.14%K -9.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-18 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.49%E -3.47%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.77%E -3.14%K -9.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-18 17:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.49%E -3.47%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-19 00:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.49%E -3.47%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-18 10:20
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-18 15:28
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-18 15:29
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.28%E -4.92%K -15.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-19 00:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -12.22%E -5.20%K -9.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-19 00:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-08-19 00:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-08-19 00:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-08-19 00:45
Matchbook2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-08-19 00:45
Novig2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-08-19 00:25
ProphetX2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%1.3%2026-08-19 00:55
Smarkets2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%2.6%2026-08-19 00:55