Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Marie Bouzkova v Iva Jović

Inicio: 2026-08-19 00:58 UTC

Final: Marie Bouzkova 2–0 Iva Jović

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Marie Bouzkova (Local)

Predicción 37.35%2.68momio equitativo
EV +0.101%
Ventaja +0.038%
Kelly +0.060%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.68

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.47%37.38%37.35%38.96%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.352.522.502.6842.55%39.64%40.00%37.31%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Iva Jović (Visitante)

Predicción 62.65%1.60momio equitativo
EV -2.27%
Ventaja -1.45%
Kelly -4.05%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
61.04%62.62%62.65%64.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.441.511.521.5669.44%66.04%65.79%64.10%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Marie Bouzkova (Local): 37.35%; Iva Jović (Visitante): 62.65%. Para Marie Bouzkova (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.677. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.680, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.101%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
FanDuel🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 35.73%EV +0.101%E +0.038%K +0.060%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.27%EV -6.65%E -4.47%K -13.58%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-19 00:55
Pinnacle🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.90%EV -1.02%E -0.385%K -0.618%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.10%EV -2.89%E -1.87%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.3%2026-08-18 17:40
LowVig.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.02%E -0.385%K -0.618%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-18 18:30
BetOnline.ag🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.60%EV -1.02%E -0.385%K -0.618%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.40%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.1%2026-08-18 18:30
BetUS🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV -1.02%E -0.385%K -0.618%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.4%2026-08-19 00:45
Sky Bet🎯2.63I 38.02%NM 36.32%EV -1.77%E -0.672%K -1.08%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.68%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-19 00:55
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.14%E -0.817%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-17 10:14
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -2.14%E -0.817%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -9.79%E -6.80%K -22.24%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-19 00:55
SportsBet🎯2.61I 38.31%NM 35.71%EV -2.51%E -0.963%K -1.56%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.29%EV -9.16%E -6.32%K -20.35%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-19 00:55
Coolbet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.35%EV -2.89%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 62.65%EV -2.89%E -1.87%K -5.26%G +0.000%3.0%2026-08-18 17:30
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.20%EV -2.89%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.80%EV -3.52%E -2.29%K -6.52%G +0.000%3.4%2026-08-18 17:40
BetAnything🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.05%EV -2.89%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.95%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%3.8%2026-08-18 18:05
Betway🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.89%E -1.11%K -1.80%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-18 17:30
1xBet🎯2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%EV -3.26%E -1.26%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -2.27%E -1.45%K -4.05%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-18 17:45
Bovada🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -4.75%E -1.86%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -3.52%E -2.29%K -6.52%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-18 15:30
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -4.75%E -1.86%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -4.77%E -3.14%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-18 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.75%E -1.86%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.40%E -3.58%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-19 00:54
Fanatics🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.19%EV -4.75%E -1.86%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.81%EV -5.40%E -3.58%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 23:00
DraftKings🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.28%EV -5.13%E -2.02%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.72%EV -5.40%E -3.58%K -10.59%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-19 00:55
BetMGM🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -5.13%E -2.02%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-18 17:30
GTbets🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.97%EV -5.13%E -2.02%K -3.33%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.03%EV -6.65%E -4.47%K -13.58%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-17 10:44
ReBet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.68%EV -5.50%E -2.17%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.32%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-18 23:32
Unibet (UK)🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.53%EV -5.50%E -2.17%K -3.60%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.47%EV -4.77%E -3.14%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-18 19:35
LeoVegas🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 17:40
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 08:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-17 08:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 10:20
Casumo🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 10:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 10:20
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 10:19
Grosvenor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 10:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 10:19
Bally Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 10:20
BetRivers🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 10:20
Unibet (NL)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 10:19
Unibet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 10:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 10:20
betPARX🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 10:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 10:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 10:19
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.15%E -2.71%K -7.82%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-18 10:19
NordicBet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.77%E -3.14%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 00:55
Betsson🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.77%E -3.14%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 00:55
PlayUp🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.77%E -3.14%K -9.18%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-19 00:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -5.40%E -3.58%K -10.59%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-18 17:35
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 00:54
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 00:55
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 00:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 00:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-19 00:55
Caesars🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-17 10:09
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.28%E -4.92%K -15.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-18 17:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -7.28%E -4.92%K -15.17%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-18 17:30
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.62%E -2.65%K -4.41%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -7.91%E -5.38%K -16.82%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-17 08:33
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -8.49%E -3.47%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -3.52%E -2.29%K -6.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-18 13:29
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.49%E -3.47%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.77%E -3.14%K -9.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-18 17:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.49%E -3.47%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.77%E -3.14%K -9.18%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-18 17:30
Unibet (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.49%E -3.47%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-19 00:45
PMU (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.49%E -3.47%K -5.86%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-18 10:20
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-18 15:28
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-18 15:29
Fliff🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -10.36%E -4.32%K -7.40%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 61.86%EV -7.28%E -4.92%K -15.17%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-19 00:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -12.22%E -5.20%K -9.06%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -6.03%E -4.02%K -12.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-19 00:54
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-08-19 00:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-08-19 00:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-08-19 00:45
Matchbook◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%0.5%2026-08-19 00:45
Novig◎2.82I 35.46%NM 35.17%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.83%0.8%2026-08-19 00:25
ProphetX◎2.78I 35.97%NM 35.50%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.50%1.3%2026-08-19 00:55
Smarkets◎2.72I 36.76%NM 35.85%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.15%2.6%2026-08-19 00:55